Kira

Building @trymasterticker

[3X Long Labubu @labubu_trader]

Yes important lesson learned to me, most of the price action on FOMC day is not trustable. The 2nd day or globex market would tell the truth.
I just forgot to hold this rule of “no trading on FOMC day” today.
From the past experience, only 2024/12/18 FOMC day was a real move

[Kira @tickerkira]

@RYANHINGSHING 看我们家产品里的，谢谢大家

https://t.co/qRADbQPx74

[MasterTicker @trymasterticker]

🔥 800V theme is heating up.
More KOLs turning bullish on $WOLF could spark real momentum.
MasterTicker puts KOL opinions, ticker mentions & sentiment in one dashboard.
Stop chasing scattered posts.Start tracking the signal.

#800V #WOLF #SiC #FinTwit #StockPicks

[MasterTicker @trymasterticker]

🔥 800V theme is heating up.
More KOLs turning bullish on $WOLF could spark real momentum.
MasterTicker puts KOL opinions, ticker mentions & sentiment in one dashboard.
Stop chasing scattered posts.Start tracking the signal.

#800V #WOLF #SiC #FinTwit #StockPicks

[Kira @tickerkira]

不挑战CPI了，清了些，上次非农够刺激了

[Kira @tickerkira]

@ShanghaoJin 他就只攻击中文区的，中文区戾气有点夸张，我还很喜欢看的@labubu_trader 老师，直接不说中文了

[Herman Jin @ShanghaoJin]

@NiNibili NOK去年收Infinera，仅那个InP fab产能就值回本了

有加州的InP fab做基础还能迅速扩产，现在雄心勃勃要扩10倍。比LITE扩的还猛，而且扩10倍都不够用

CIEN做fabless就有点尴尬，要去跟NV抢LITE、COHR、5802产能

[3X Long Labubu @labubu_trader]

@aleabitoreddit Every hedge fund/family offices, even sovereign funds I know… are watching your tweets everyday!

[Kira @tickerkira]

@ShanghaoJin 昨天看到个视频，博主投创始人很在意一点，是对方融钱能力，这丐帮对上了哈哈

[Kira @tickerkira]

Add some COHU at $46

1. Analysis of COHU’s Strategic Investment in AI

Based on public data, COHU’s AI strategy follows a "Concentrated Breakthrough" model rather than broad-market expansion.
R&D Front: In 2025, total R&D expenses reached $92 million (calculated as $213M OpEx minus $121M SG&A). At least 40% of this ($36.8M) is dedicated to HPC/AI chip testing technologies. This investment intensity represents over 30% of their current AI-related backlog, significantly higher than the semiconductor equipment industry average of roughly 15%.

Capacity Front: Judging by the consecutive AI test cell orders secured in March and April, the company has prioritized AI business within its high-end equipment capacity. Orders for traditional consumer electronics and industrial semiconductor testing have been de-prioritized, effectively betting 80% of their flexible capacity on the AI track.
Intellectual Property (IP): The company currently holds 17 public patents related to AI chip testing, primarily focused on thermal testing for high-compute chips and high-frequency signal testing. These are precisely the most critical bottlenecks in AI chip production—segments previously monopolized by Teradyne and Advantest. COHU is the first second-tier player to successfully break into this market.
2. Valuation Re-rating based on AI Output Elasticity

Current market pricing suggests that expectations are not yet "fully baked in" when evaluating potential market capture:
Market Share Potential: The global AI chip test equipment market is projected to reach $2.8 billion by 2026. COHU’s current backlog stands at $60 million (the initial March order plus the $30 million follow-on in April), representing a 2.1% market share.

The Bull Case: Given that COHU’s testing solutions are approximately 30% cheaper than Teradyne’s and have already passed validation by Tier-1 AI chipmakers, a neutral assumption suggests they could capture 8% market share by 2027. This would translate to $224 million in AI revenue. Applying a 15x P/S multiple to the AI segment yields a valuation of $3.36 billion.
Price Target: Even if we value the legacy cyclical business conservatively at $750 million, the combined fair value reaches $4.11 billion. This implies a stock price of approximately $88, suggesting nearly 100% upside from current levels.
3. The Core Tension: Conversion of Investment into Sustained Orders

At the current price of $46, the market has only priced in the "secured $60M backlog" and the "theoretical possibility" of more orders; it has not priced in the expansion to an 8% market share. The key catalyst will be the April 30 earnings report:
Upside Scenario: If the company provides 2026 AI revenue guidance exceeding $120 million or announces a new Tier-1 customer win, the valuation will undergo a significant re-rating.

Downside Risk: If guidance falls below $80 million, it would suggest that the conversion efficiency of their R&D investment is lower than expected, posing a short-term risk of a pullback.
Summary: Current prices reflect the fact that COHU can produce AI testing equipment, but they do not yet reflect the expectation that COHU can seize significant market share. The efficiency of their "investment-to-execution" pipeline is the primary variable to watch.

[Kira @tickerkira]

$VRT 跌3个点， $GEV 涨13个点...

[Kira @tickerkira]

AI财报季，看看Claude实力如何，即使大涨仍值得押注的Prompt
稳健型组合：$VRT 40% + $TER 30% + $LRCX 30%— 三者都具备"基本面可验证 + 估值有支撑 + 财报催化明确"的特征，综合Fwd PE约42x，组合PEG约1.0。
进攻型组合：$VRT 30% + $TER 35% + $CLS 25% + $LRCX 10%— 更高弹性但客户集中度风险更大

[Kira @tickerkira]

https://t.co/S881M31lZP

[Kira @tickerkira]

因为这两天看见$POET没理由在大涨，发现是Wolfpack在做空拉上去的，就让manus调查了下机构做空AI股票的胜率，不到30%。最典型的就是香橼做空$SNDK和$AAOI，越做空越高哈哈

[Kira @tickerkira]

Claude分析链接：https://t.co/7c53RuQ05n

[Kira @tickerkira]

$VRT 和 $LRCX 在4.22号，4.29号是 $TER

[Kira @tickerkira]

@liaotem31 @ShanghaoJin 你看他历史call，胜率很高的，评论区全是感谢，前高盛亚洲高管

[Kira @tickerkira]

哥太强了，太空股全线起飞

[Kira @tickerkira]

2000亿美金的埃森哲和现在30亿美金的 $ANDG ，二十多年前是一家，很有意思的瓜哈哈

[Kira @tickerkira]

$ANDG 一家刚上市不到半年的公司，走势强势。全球领先的专业咨询服务公司，主营业务涵盖税务、法律、估值及商业咨询。它起源于前“五大”会计师事务所之一的安达信的合伙人，在 2002 年母公司解体后通过 Andersen Global 联盟在全球重建。（现在的四大之前，加上受“安然”丑闻影响的安达信是五大）

[Kira @tickerkira]

目前分析师整体评级为"适度买入"，综合目标价约为33.33美元。具体来看：UBS给出"买入"评级，目标价34美元；Robert W. Baird给出"跑赢大盘"评级，目标价42美元；Morgan Stanley给出"持平"评级，目标价24美元；Weiss Ratings则给出"卖出"评级。