This chart highlights the long-term holder ratios for Ethereum and Bitcoin.
Currently, 74.7% of Ethereum addresses are long-term holders, significantly outpacing Bitcoin. This trend is likely to hold until Ethereum approaches its all-time high and holders start taking profits.
I’ve sold all my #Bitcoin
Yes, I did. I didn’t lose my faith in Bitcoin, I’m not expecting Bitcoin to be topped out for this cycle. I’ve not become a complete believer in Gold.
I’ve sold all my Bitcoin.
In this longread I’ll explain why I’ve done this and what I’ve done with that amount of Bitcoin I had.
Technically speaking, I’ve sold my Bitcoin as I’m aiming to get more Bitcoin back later in the year. It’s a bull cycle, we can’t deny that.
In the past week we’ve seen that pension funds, insurance companies and the biggest hedge funds of the U.S. have been allocating funds towards the Spot Bitcoin ETF. CME Group has announced a futures ETF to be launched and sooner, than later, we’ll be getting option based trading through which Bitcoin becomes an mature asset in the world.
That automatically means that the simplicity of the four-year cycle is going to diminish over time and that the halving will have a reduction in impact over the cycles, as institutions do care more about risk appetite in their portfolio combined with macroeconomic events taking place. They’ll derisk when the liquidity is going to be drying up and a stronger Dollar will be taking place. It’s all about risk, at the end of the day.
If you want to watch my strategy behind the fact that I’ve sold my Bitcoin, I explain it all in my latest video on YouTube: https://t.co/TY0dQJ4Vg2
Therefore, this cycle is, relatively, the final easy cycle to make a lot of money from through altcoins. How do you generate a lot of return through a bull cycle in Bitcoin terms? That can be done in several ways.
First à You can sell your Bitcoin at highs and aim to generate more Bitcoin from it by buying back from lower regions. This is a common principle and could easily be done, although there’s a lot of risk involved by doing this as you could be off by your timing through which you’ll be looking to get yourself into losing your BTC.
Second à You’ll be able to use leverage to go long/short on Bitcoin and get more Bitcoin through trading futures on the actual asset. For me, on most exchanges in the Netherlands, it’s simply not possible to be doing this.
Third à Accumulate more Bitcoin by stacking sats through getting income outside (or inside) the crypto ecosystem by labor. This is the easiest way of generating more Bitcoin.
Fourth à Trade altcoins within the Web 3.0 ecosystem to get more Bitcoin. The riskiest path, as you can easily lose your Bitcoin by timing the markets wrongly or timing your investment at the wrong moment in time.
I’ve chosen the last one. I’m 31 years old, entrepreneur and in this markets since 2017, surviving multiple bear and bull markets in the past years. I know the tides, and I know that, in order to get a large return, you’ll need to get more knowledge and you need to dare to take the risk, against all odds and sentiment. That’s where I fancy it the most and that’s also where I’ve had periods that things went south. Can’t deny that.
In order to have a proper working decentralized ecosystem, you’ll need to succeed with assets outside of Bitcoin, it’s as simple as it is. The Web 2.0 space needs to get tokenized, through which we’re going to be seeing a lot of tokenization taking place and even the CEOs of the largest funds and asset managements have been stating that everything will be tokenized at some point in time.
That’s my bet.
But why now? Why did I decide to swap my Bitcoin in the past weeks to altcoins?
Multiple factors. Solely dedicated to Bitcoin, but also dedicated to the ecosystem as a whole, and I’m not diving too much in it yet. All I know, this world is going to be about getting as much Bitcoin and Gold as you can. Hard assets. Salable assets, because QE will start sooner than later and inflation is killing your purchasing power, living standard and pleasure in life. Bitcoin is the outcome.
The Spot Bitcoin ETF has been approved in the past months and that has resulted into a lot of liquidity to be pushed towards the ecosystem. That’s great. It opened doors for crypto as an asset which we’ve not seen before and that’s a positive signal. As mentioned before, parties as insurance companies, pension funds and likely governments are allocating funds towards Bitcoin through the ETF.
However, crypto-native people have swapped their altcoins for Bitcoin during this period. How do I know? It’s in the charts. Since the week of the approval on the Bitcoin Spot ETF, you’ve seen that Bitcoin valuations of altcoins have started to drop substantially, and, as a result, we’ve seen that they are down 70% since then, through which Bitcoin was kept up and has relatively shallow corrections.
On the other hand, if you’re looking at previous cycles, you would suggest that the rotation from Bitcoin to the altcoins (around the halving) happens prior to the halving. This time it’s entirely different as the markets continued to show strength. The only weakness we’ve seen lately is the rotation of Bitcoin towards USDT, showing the current slight outflow on the ETF in the past weeks and the heavy correction on altcoins. That was fueled by some other big events.
The Ethereum ETF. The chances of an approval are close to zero due to the security aspect of Ethereum. It might be unclear which part of Ethereum is the security part, it might be the staking part, it might be the ICO in 2015, it might be both. We’ll know in a few weeks.
However, Ethereum remains to be the central point of the Web 3.0 ecosystem, whether you like it or not. Solana is not a representative of the ecosystem, you can’t tell me that institutions are going to opt for a system that can easily be out of work for more than six hours and isn’t completely decentralized.
From a investment perspective, the latest letters from the SEC stated that most altcoins are unregistered securities and several upcoming events are taking place showing where this is going to. What is particularly the security part of all these events?
Due to this, the chances of a potential approval of an Ethereum ETF close to zero, it’s the time to wake up. Why? Well, usually this becomes a ‘Sell the Rumour, Buy the News’ type of events. Everyone is expecting the worst. If the worst comes, the news is out and it can only be better. If news is only slightly better than that, markets make a significant U-turn.
That’s where multiple dots are important for me.
- The chances of an Ethereum ETF might be close to zero, but Invesco’s application has been delayed, not denied. The SEC needs to come forward to provide clarity on this aspect and are likely going for the security stance. Court will decide.
- FIT21 bill to be voted in the House is finally going to give a framework for crypto in the U.S.
- XRP lawsuit coming to a final stage where they are likely going to be winning and not being declared a security.
From that perspective, I think the altcoins have been crushed unreasonably hard. The upside can’t be denied. DePIN and RWA are going to be massive, more and more traditional companies are transitioning towards the Web 3.0 ecosystem. It’s time to allocate yourself into this if you want to make a large return.
Then; what’s the downside of this bet? It’s relatively huge. At the moment of posting, I’m down around 20% already in a matter of 1-2 weeks on the overall investment. It’s part of the game. I can lose 50-80%, why I’m fine with, as I’ll find ways of continuing my life to generating income anyway.
On the other hand, I might make a return of 300-900% in the coming 6-12 months in Bitcoin value. If Bitcoin stabilizes through that period, I can make another 300-600% return by simply holding Bitcoin afterwards, through which you could say that 900-4500% is the ballpark of a potential return for the coming 12-24 months in this super cycle.
I’m fine by taking that bet. I’m happily allocating entirely towards altcoins and I’ve happily swapped my Bitcoin towards them.
The bull cycle will be glorious.
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