Quite an active session on Friday with several catalysts, but not enough to change much structurally. So, we head into next week with composite balances. $NVDA reporting and End of Month the focus post OPEX. Potential binary catalysts in the form of Iran conflict and Tariff fight. 👇
Pretty healthy list of playbook potentials generated from the signals today. You can always review the prior sessions playbook signals for free. https://t.co/mHz6R3zTPH.
Checking in on the $VIX curve pre-market. $SPX has been in a 3% range so far this year. Currently hovering at YTD VWAP. Translation? No directional conviction.
Under the surface, we’re seeing VOL creep ever so higher toward inversion.
Binary paths this week with cont’ Tariff discussion and $NVDA earnings post OPEX…..
1. Normalization in the curve, taking us once again back to test 7K
2. Curve starts to pinch and send us lower.
If we breach lower….look for a retest of the November lows.
Coming into Monday. I'm tracking the trailing aVWAPs and 30sec ranges from 2 binary events from Friday in #NQ_F: PCE and Tariff announcement.
Viewing acceptance beyond these prices (24820-25075) as a view into how participants are digesting them and accepting them:
A bit of Fed speak to navigate around today. #RTY_F showing a new posture. #ES_F#NQ_F balanced.
However, with yesterday's trend lower days, we'll be looking for potential follow-on weakness in NQ & ES.
So. Much. Balance......
When an auction is at balance, it's waiting for new information that shifts the perspective of where "value" resides. Until then.....🥢
The challenge is to go from range bound trading to directional when the break from balance occurs.
So, 👀 on the edges.
You can walk through any of our prior day’s playbook signals like this for free, https://t.co/5kkGkftXom. Get the free starter plan. Learn our playbook as you are developing your own!
Stopped and closed on the move back into the micro balance and developing HVN, thus completing the IBGW, which progressed into larger targets with the development of a trend day.