Josh Schuler

In markets since '09. Farming out "4Question Playbook Traders & Self-directed Investors" since '14. #Futures #Options Nothing shared is investment advice.

[Josh Schuler @tradewithprof]

@NoelSmith

[Josh Schuler @tradewithprof]

@Andrew_Menaker Yes! Edge is not found, it’s earned.

[Josh Schuler @tradewithprof]

@NoelSmith Great for “skilled” undercapitalized retail.

[Josh Schuler @tradewithprof]

It’s kind of like low margins in futures accounts. If you have skill, the ability to rotate dollars and grow quickly is remarkable opportunity…..IF you have skill.

[Investing.com @Investingcom]

$25K pattern day trader (PDT) restrictions eliminated today.

Good? Bad? WDYT?

[Josh Schuler @tradewithprof]

Sent this to my kids this morning. Maybe you need to hear it too.

[Josh Schuler @tradewithprof]

Q: What’s the difference between a trader and an investor?

A: It’s a spectrum. On one end an investor provides risk capital and lets go of the outcome. On the other end, a trader believes the outcome is a result of the trader’s activity. You get to choose where you want to live on that spectrum.

[Josh Schuler @tradewithprof]

Interesting #AI condor drip in @miiflo_hq “flow” this morning $FSLY. Post earnings, so IV is still coming down while the auction balances. Really good capital efficiency. Offer $2.10 or better. Wrong on close below 17.90 or above 32.10.

[Josh Schuler @tradewithprof]

@NoelSmith That’s what I hoped your take would be. 👊

[Josh Schuler @tradewithprof]

Curious @NoelSmith's take on this. Here's my $SPX chart with $JHEQX strikes plotted. $JPM typically prices the strikes well w/price remaining below the red line (sold call) for most of the qtr. Then there is this qtr....👀

[Josh Schuler @tradewithprof]

I’ve found “Auction Posture” to be a shortcut to find “context” in the timeframe most traders like to operate in. Note the different “shape” of inventory for #NQ_F #ES_F #RTY_F

There are 9 orientations of 3 variables: Price, 1W POC, 1M POC. Try it out. If you use @tradingview here’s the study script I wrote: https://t.co/lPdqxLVSLp

[Josh Schuler @tradewithprof]

From the quicksheet this morning, noting the “posture” divergence in equities. That’s typically a clue to me to hold directional opinions lightly.

[Josh Schuler @tradewithprof]

From the quicksheet this morning, noting the “posture” divergence in equities. That’s typically a clue to me to hold directional opinions lightly.

[Josh Schuler @tradewithprof]

Love this…..“We go for it, managing risk prudently but pursuing unusual reward.”

[Brett Steenbarger @steenbab]

Here's a great source of outstanding market opportunities. The right trading psychology is one that is entrepreneurial, immersed in the hunt for ideas and the pursuit of profit: https://t.co/6uMnaoKveb @Upticken

[Josh Schuler @tradewithprof]

#NQ_F plan for Thursday. Post $AVGO. Key change in auction, 5D shifted higher and auction closed below.

Now, 650-675 zone to watch for sellers to engage and push auction lower toward 30200, cleaning open “singles”.

If opening in a gap, 30200 and lower possible…potential to 30K.

Buyers can resume control and challenge Wed selling excess above 675 and keep pushing toward 31k.

#NFP on Friday.

[Josh Schuler @tradewithprof]

🎯

[Matthew@Public @BuildwithPublic]

Just using an Agent will not make you profitable by itself- you really need to understand the strategy that you are creating.

You are in full deterministic control of your Agent here @public

[Josh Schuler @tradewithprof]

This is the industry’s play to compete with @Polymarket bots. With no PDT and APIs, this is likely to drive remarkable activity. Key distinction…binary markets are not convex like equity options. So, we’ll see how that goes. 😬

[Matthew@Public @BuildwithPublic]

This is the headline but here's what it actually unlocks for API traders:

Options rebates on every API-placed trade. Historical data ready to wire into your strategy. One-command setup via CLI, MCP or dev in Python SDK. And now - no $25K minimum standing between you and automated execution.

The barriers to becoming a systematic trader just hit zero. The API is open to all. The infrastructure is live, what will you build?

[Josh Schuler @tradewithprof]

Maybe get out more? Half of Americans, if they have a $500 emergency, put it on a credit card.

[I Sell Options Guy @RentYourStocks]

Honestly, it feels like everyone I know is worth $4-5 million.

Not even sure $10m is a flex anymore. Am I right?

[Josh Schuler @tradewithprof]

Got a @tastytrade account? Don't want to spend a lot of time trying to find ideas that fit your investing capital? @miiflo_hq pre-fits ideas that are sized to your account, big OR small. https://t.co/eUAQzhvTaX

[Josh Schuler @tradewithprof]

While it seems all of fintwit is busy posting macro #bearporn….let’s just do what we do…show up each day with a consistent process for #NQ_F

For Wednesday, $AVGO earnings after the close.

👀 for potential liquidation break back to 30300.

Above 675 and we’re back looking toward 31K.

Weak gaps favor quick revisit to 674 given composite acceptance.

[Josh Schuler @tradewithprof]

Where we headed $BTC? 🧲

[Josh Schuler @tradewithprof]

Was talking about this to a CIO for a family office yesterday. He was complaining about lack of vol. I responded, “in indexes, sure, but when was the last time you looked under the surface?” 👇

[SpotGamma @spotgamma]

CBOE DSPX (dispersion) is now the 3rd highest reading of this index ever, second only to Tariffs in Apr 25 and Covid in 2020.

DSPX measures the IV of the SPX to the IV of single stocks and marks the degree to which they differ from each other.

This says people expect single stocks to move a whole lot more that than the index.

You may have caught on that the previous highs were during crisis periods. In both Covid & Tariffs there were very clear winners and losers and that drove volatility expectations.

Here its AI or bust.