@Mr_Derivatives@grok NVIDIA just crushed earnings and the stock barely moved. Not sure what it will take to get a substantial gain the rest of the year. Is it really the best YOLO stock?
Commentary:
Trump bought ServiceNOW seven times into the wreckage. $3.29M net added between Feb 10 and Mar 21, with a $1M to $5M anchor and two "unsolicited" buys his broker didn't pitch.
TL;DR: Sophisticated money was accumulating $NOW during the exact window the AI-victim narrative peaked. Q1 print smoked the stock 17.7%. He kept buying. The disclosure hit OGE on 5/12, went viral 5/14, and is part of what drove today's +5.6%. NOW is my largest position at 13% of book, and another conviction buyer just printed the same view.
The timing. Feb 10 anchor at $1M to $5M, two weeks before Q1. Then Mar 12, Mar 18, Mar 21, each one into worse tape. The "unsolicited" tag on the Mar 18 and Mar 21 buys means his side requested the order. The broker didn't pitch it. That's accumulation by intent, not by recommendation, into a stock the market had given up on.
The basket. NOW sits next to NVDA, AVGO, and ORCL in the same filing. Compute, networking, database, orchestration. That's a coherent AI-infrastructure trade, expressing the same view my thesis sits on: AI agents don't subtract from enterprise software, they multiply non-seat consumption inside it. Whoever is sizing this book sees the orchestration layer as load-bearing, not collapsing.
The signal. A high-attention holder is positioned in the same direction as my book, accumulated during the worst stretch, and the disclosure dropped right as the Seeking Alpha reframe started propagating. Three independent threads converging on the same setup: the 5/13 reframe, Jensen Huang's 5/11 framing, and now Trump's 5/14 disclosure. None of them is the thesis. All of them say the consensus read is mispriced. I'm holding through 7/22.
My math, my book. Yours is yours.
@Isuckatpicking He’s leaving. I cannot comprehend that he hasn’t talked about this “with his family” and agent every year the last few seasons. UFA status didn’t just come into play. Not sure what is going to happen to get him to change his mind, “a feeling” isn’t encouraging.