U.S. bond yields slide as relatively mild June inflation data boost hopes that Fed is nearly done raising rates. After recent spike,10-year Treasury yield falls to 3.86% from 3.97% Tues. https://t.co/2blP6nXXKy
Recession coming? Many industrial stocks don’t see it. The $XLI ETF of S&P 500 industrial shares rose 1.4% Mon. to a new 52-wk high. Some standouts:
Carrier $CARR +3.9%
Rockwell $ROK +3.2
WW Grainger $GWW +2.6
Ingersoll $IR +2.4
Eaton $ETN +2.3
$GE +2.2
Parker Hannifin $PH +2.2
Bond yields spike on fresh data showing US economic strength. 2-yr Treasury note hits 5.14% before pulling back. The yield was 4.0% as recently as May. U.S. June jobs data due Friday. https://t.co/RAct8c7ibU
With the Fed still worried that inflation could resurge, policymakers are holding short-term interest rates well above long-term rates, seeking to slow the economy. US Treasury yields by term:
6-mo. 5.45%
1-yr. 5.42
2-yr. 4.89
3-yr. 4.52
5-yr. 4.15
10-yr. 3.84
30-yr. 3.86
Stocks were mostly higher in the first half of 2023, but big techs far outpaced most other sectors. Key indexes:
Nasdaq 100 +38.8%
Nasdaq composite +31.7
Dow transports +16.0
S&P 500 +15.9
S&P midcaps +7.9
Russell 2000 smallcaps +7.2
S&P smallcaps +5.1
NYSE avg. +4.6
Dow 30 +3.8
Boom to bust: Oil and gas in the 1980s. The dot-com craze in the 1990s. Housing in the late-2000s. Now AI stocks?
“Please God, just give me one more investing mania, and I promise not to be greedy next time.”
Stocks’ rally finally broadened after Thursday’s tech-centered surge.
Dow ends +328, +1.0%, as talks continued toward a debt-ceiling deal in Washington. S&P +1.3%.
But Nasdaq jumped 2.2% as investors scrambled to buy anything AI-related.
For wk:
Nasdaq +2.5%
S&P +0.3
Dow -1.0
After the Fed-powered surge in interest rates over the last 12 months, individual investors are pouring cash into fixed annuity contracts. https://t.co/3wFNbPXD4a
“This just shows you how close to the abyss we’re getting,” said TD Securities strategist Gennadiy Goldberg. “While some in Congress question the Treasury’s math, I think the cash balances speak volumes: we’re going to be going over the cliff very soon.” https://t.co/yrUYMAkJOO