Kadir Özgür Çırak

Economy, finance and technology

[Kadir Özgür Çırak @Trader_KOC]

@3T1SAkademi global piyasalarda da sizinle
1⃣ #BTC 83.860 > 100.112 | 19%
2⃣ #MSTR 356 > 424 | 20%
3⃣ #SEZL 49.50 > 79.58 | 60%
4⃣ #USA spot portföyü 2025 YTD büyüme oranı > 34%

Bunlar ve çok daha fazlası için https://t.co/rSUM3yChwM

[Herman Trading @RHerman]

When London sweeps both Asia High and Asia Low before New York:

• Median NY Low of Day forms at 10:35amET
• Median NY High of Day forms at 11:40am ET
• 40% of daily lows are already in place by 10:00am ET
• The strongest High of Day window does not arrive until 3:55–4:00pm ET

Read that again.
The downside move often delivers fast.
The upside can keep grinding for hours - sometimes directly into the closing bell.

This matters because symmetrical trade management can quietly destroy your edge.

A short may require faster profit-taking after the downside liquidity is delivered.

A long may need more patience if the structure still supports a late-session expansion.

Same market.
Same session.
Different time distribution.

Trade management should follow probabilities - not habit.

Source: Own NQ study
Market: Nasdaq futures
Period: 2015–2025
Scenario: London sweeps both sides of the Asia Range before New York

Do you manage longs and shorts differently - or still use the exact same rules for both?

#NQ #FuturesTrading

[Kadir Özgür Çırak @Trader_KOC]

@AhmetSunelcan1 Abi paylasimlara sadece takip ettiklerim yorum yapabilir diye sec, kafan rahat etsin.

[Kadir Özgür Çırak @Trader_KOC]

@DeanTTraining For the last week, i switched from “increase weight/decrease reps” 5 sets to 3-4 working sets w max reps 1 RIR. It does wonders…

[Herman Trading @RHerman]

The indicator did not make me money today.

It did something equally important:

It saved me from a LOSS.

The market was in an obvious downtrend.

At 9:30, price initiated another move lower.
A bearish iFVG appeared, pointing directly toward the liquidity below.
It looked like an easy short.

But ORB15 Intelligent Balance showed 73% LONGS as the more probable side.

So I did not chase the fake move down.
I did not short into the trap.
I simply stayed out.

This is what most traders underestimate.

A valuable tool is not only the one that helps you find winning trades.

It is also the one that stops you from taking the trades that were designed to trap you.

Intelligent Balance does BOTH.

Would you have taken that short if the chart looked bearish but the data pointed LONG?

[Kadir Özgür Çırak @Trader_KOC]

@lee_adjoa Breath:)

[Kadir Özgür Çırak @Trader_KOC]

@Nurullahh1fg @DSAkdag

[Kadir Özgür Çırak @Trader_KOC]

@exoticistanbull Abi tassak geciyon degil mi?

[Kadir Özgür Çırak @Trader_KOC]

@ertem_emre Ben Berlin deyim, Wollankstraße diye bir S-Bahn duragi var 2 yildir yenileme calismasi yapiyorlar, 2027 sonunda bitecek. Basit 1 yenileme…

[Herman Trading @RHerman]

Most traders treat an Asia breakout like a binary event:

It breaks.
So they expect continuation.

But the probability collapses with every additional target.

After London first breaks the Asia Range on NQ:
→ +10% of Asia Range: 91.7%
→ +25%: 76.4%
→ +50%: 56.4%
→ +75%: 40.4%
→ +100%: 29.4%

The first extension is common.

A full 1:1 expansion beyond the Asia Range happens in fewer than 3 out of 10 sessions.

And this is not only an NQ pattern.

The same probability curve appears across ES, YM and RTY, with only minor differences between indices.

This is why a breakout should never be treated as a single all-or-nothing target.

Every additional extension level is a separate statistical decision:
• secure a partial early
• leave a runner for further expansion
• reduce expectations as price reaches deeper targets

A breakout is not a prediction.

It is a probability ladder.

Do you scale out into extension targets, or hold the full position for one final TP?

Source: Herman Trading ,Asia–London session study.
NQ futures data: 2015–2025.

[Herman Trading @RHerman]

London Session today, both of my probability tools aligned:

• Probability Map: 76.5% LONGS
• Intelligent Balance: 72% LONGS

That immediately simplified the entire session.

I was not interested in predicting every candle.
I was not looking for shorts.

I was looking for one thing only:
BULLISH signatures toward the statistically more probable side.

Any bullish iFVG?
Any FVG supporting continuation?
Any willingness from price to expand higher?

The moment price started confirming the bias, I was joining in.

This is how I approach day trading:

Probability gives me the direction.
Price action gives me the entry.

Entries do not need to be complicated when you already know which side of the market deserves your attention.

Would your trading improve if you stopped trying to trade both directions?

[Kadir Özgür Çırak @Trader_KOC]

@DeanTTraining So this much volume can decrease muscle growth

Actually i built this aiming for 15 sets for each muscle group but i will sincerely take your comment into consideration

[Kadir Özgür Çırak @Trader_KOC]

@DeanTTraining Can u make a variation for 3 days/week full body?

[Kadir Özgür Çırak @Trader_KOC]

@Sevket_B_Cansu @F1Krampon Bence de

[Kadir Özgür Çırak @Trader_KOC]

@marvel_updat3s

[Kadir Özgür Çırak @Trader_KOC]

@RHerman this is so powerful for a London trader like me. Bro dropping back to back gems..

[Kadir Özgür Çırak @Trader_KOC]

@RinoTheBouncer Graphics with life like experience. A game should feel like a game.

[Kadir Özgür Çırak @Trader_KOC]

@hthieblot ICQ
Winamp

[Kadir Özgür Çırak @Trader_KOC]

@techNmak @ikdannefret