TMC leaders and candidates Kunal Ghosh and Shashi Panja are staging a sit-in protest outside the strong room at Khudiram Anushilan Kendra in #Kolkata.
#TMC has raised serious allegations of trespassing inside the sealed strong room and also alleged that attempts are being made to open ballot boxes without the presence of relevant party stakeholders. DEO north Kolkata arrives at the spot.
(CCTV footage shared by tmc sources)
Bloomberg: The United Arab Emirates and Qatar are privately lobbying allies to help them persuade Donald Trump to reach for an off-ramp that would keep US military operations against Iran short, according to people familiar with the matter.
https://t.co/hoxUVD9UqR
Kapil Dev, Sunil Gavaskar among 14 former international cricket captains requesting Pakistan Govt for fair medical treatment, dignified detention conditions and fair trial for Imran Khan
These guys have shown how they may have been rivals on the field but will be friends forever
IMP: The list has no Pakistani name on it. Sad
Bayes’ theorem is probably the single most important thing any rational person can learn.
So many of our debates and disagreements that we shout about are because we don’t understand Bayes’ theorem or how human rationality often works.
Bayes’ theorem is named after the 18th-century Thomas Bayes, and essentially it’s a formula that asks: when you are presented with all of the evidence for something, how much should you believe it?
Bayes’ theorem teaches us that our beliefs are not fixed; they are probabilities. Our beliefs change as we weigh new evidence against our assumptions, or our priors. In other words, we all carry certain ideas about how the world works, and new evidence can challenge them.
For example, somebody might believe that smoking is safe, that stress causes mouth ulcers, or that human activity is unrelated to climate change. These are their priors, their starting points. They can be formed by our culture, our biases, or even incomplete information.
Now imagine a new study comes along that challenges one of your priors. A single study might not carry enough weight to overturn your existing beliefs. But as studies accumulate, eventually the scales may tip. At some point, your prior will become less and less plausible.
Bayes’ theorem argues that being rational is not about black and white. It’s not even about true or false. It’s about what is most reasonable based on the best available evidence. But for this to work, we need to be presented with as much high-quality data as possible. Without evidence—without belief-forming data—we are left only with our priors and biases. And those aren’t all that rational.
In Pakistan's 2024 general elections, MQM-P won the majority of National Assembly seats in Karachi, seventeen constituencies according to the Election Commission. But did the returned candidates really win, or were results altered after polls closed?
This investigation examines three Karachi constituencies: NA-242 (Mustafa Kamal vs Dawa Khan Sabir), NA-238 (Sadiq Iftikhar vs Haleem Adil Sheikh), and NA-236 (Hassaan Sabir vs Alamgir Khan).
We compared National and Provincial Assembly results, analyzed turnout patterns, examined Form 45 documents, and identified mathematical fingerprints revealing vote manipulation.
All data and evidence mentioned in the video is publicly available for independent verification:
https://t.co/y9uIgYTeJj
Columbia CS Prof explains why LLMs can’t generate new scientific ideas.
Bcz LLMs learn a structured “map”, Bayesian manifold, of known data and work well within it, but fail outside it.
But true discovery means creating new maps, which LLMs cannot do.
Sunday thought: Today is the birthday of the one and only Imran Khan. That Pakistan’s former cricket captain, PM and most popular public figure has been in jail for two years and there isn’t any sign of him being let out in a hurry, tells you a lot about the authoritarian army state in that country . Here in India, we must cherish the right to life and liberty, not allow our agencies to be weaponised to the point where wrongful arrests are ‘normalised’ and vendetta politics trumps rule of law. Do pause and think. 🙏
This is a must-read!
Hasan once served as a law clerk to Chief Justice Qazi Faez Isa. Yet, unlike many who turned into admirers or mere loyalists, he never lost his integrity. He still speaks truth with courage and records those testing times with candour, a rare voice of principles!