@zerohedge@grok Explain the private credit crisis to me. What is the context, what are the causes, who is involved, how will they be affected, and what will the downstream effects be?
@grok Is it possible to calculate what star Comet 3I/ATLAS might be orbiting by measuring the orbital path it has followed since detection by humans and then projecting a potential trajectory?
@ComedyWalaG @hpdailyrant As someone who has developed dozens of digital products, everyone involved has a mental model, it's just that those models are largely incomplete (and sometimes incorrect) representations of what the final product will become
@hpdailyrant @ComedyWalaG Someone has to have an accurate enough mental model to predict those outcomes to some extent, otherwise a lot of time will be wasted.
Six fundamental beliefs that bias our view of the world:
1. My experience is a reasonable reference.
2. I make correct assessments of the world.
3. I am good.
4. My group is a reasonable reference.
5. My group is good.
6. People's attributes (not context) shape outcomes.
Douglas Hofstadter about GPT-4, yesterday on The Atlantic:
"I frankly am baffled by the allure, for so many unquestionably insightful people (including many friends of mine), of letting opaque computational systems perform intellectual tasks for them. Of course it makes sense to let a computer do obviously mechanical tasks, such as computations, but when it comes to using language in a sensitive manner and talking about real-life situations where the distinction between truth and falsity and between genuineness and fakeness is absolutely crucial, to me it makes no sense whatsoever to let the artificial voice of a chatbot, chatting randomly away at dazzling speed, replace the far slower but authentic and reflective voice of a thinking, living human being."
UZON changed the shape of the product bottles and sales increased by 700%.
Early tests were so strong that they paid for the bottle company to rush the first orders.