I think about this quote often. The only alpha in markets is your difference in opinion vs consensus
If you just follow consensus, you are generating beta
That is fine for people who just want to track returns, but that is not what LPs pay you for if you are running a fund
I don’t understand who is going to invest in a $300 billion reconstruction fund for Iran. The U.S. is not doing so, and why would the Qataris or any other country in the Middle East that was just attacked by Iran invest one penny to support Iran’s reconstruction?
Most of the damage inflicted on Iran was directed to military targets. Why would anyone want to help Iran rebuild its military capabilities?
Even if the funds were limited to humanitarian-related infrastructure, if there is such a thing, money is fungible, and we know the first freed up dollar will go to rebuild Iran’s ballistic and nuclear capabilities.
What am I missing?