Hardi Uutma

uutma -- nagu käändes uuendama

[toomas hendrik ilves @IlvesToomas]

OFO: Occupy and Find Out

[Hardi Uutma @uutma]

@halbkass Neither Poland, PL (peale Leedut)

[Gabrielius Landsbergis🇱🇹 @GLandsbergis]

If Zelenskyy is warning us that Russia might attack the Baltics, I think he probably has a pretty good reason. As a Balt, I am surprised that many of us are treating Zelenskyy’s warning with contempt, while I myself understand where he is coming from.
Some accuse Zelenskyy of spreading narratives that help Russia. Well, I very much doubt he is trying to help Russia, and I don’t think he would take that risk lightly.
Some say he is pushing a fake scare story to focus the West’s attention on supporting Ukraine. But Ukraine has been deprived of that support for a long time, and has unfortunately learnt to live without it. I don’t think he is playing games. I find it more likely that he is offering his honest analysis to his friends.
Anybody feeling instinctive anger whenever the issue of a possible Russian attack against a Baltic State is raised should have a think about these three questions:
1. Are we sure Putin has no good reasons to attack NATO? He only needs one, and it doesn’t need to be as ambitious as a full invasion and annexation. He might be thinking that a small incursion could fracture our alliance and reboot his popularity at home by providing a win for his war machine. He could use his reserves or divert some troops from Ukraine, which he sees is a much harder nut to crack than the Baltics. Are we certain that he isn’t even tempted to try?
2. If not the Baltics, then where? Even though the Baltic States have raised defence spending as a percentage of GDP to the highest levels in NATO, we remain vulnerable while the effect of that boost comes online. We have no conscription like the Finns, the German brigade won’t be here for at least a year, our militaries are less developed than other potential NATO targets, so why wouldn’t Putin choose us?
3. And are we 100% certain that Article 5 is still deterring Russia as much as it used to? Even if we still believe in the “ironclad commitment” of our allies, any expert would have to admit that some of our main allies are somewhat distracted right now while others have only recently started rebuilding their militaries. Should Putin wait until Europe gets stronger? Or until US attention returns to Europe?
Zelenskyy has good reason to doubt that the West would suddenly experience a surge of bravery if a second country in the East were attacked now, NATO member or not.
So I’m sorry, but this is why I see where Zelenskyy is coming from. The Baltics could be the target, Putin might be tempted, and our allies are currently in a tough spot. The window of opportunity is open.
My suggestion to my fellow Baltic statesmen is this: Instead of getting flustered, get ready.
Prepare contingency plans, learn Ukrainian survival techniques fast, and think about how to quickly extend the Ukrainian defence umbrella over the Baltic Sea — if indeed the merde does hit the ventilator.

[Hardi Uutma @uutma]

@yajnshri @grok @grok can you make it just worse?

[Hardi Uutma @uutma]

@KhaterDiana I think we are even thankful for the incident as it brought out our deficiencies 🤍

[Hardi Uutma @uutma]

@OjaKaspar Saan aru, et aktsiisi üks mõte on vähendada sõltuvust. Aga kuidas aktsiisi-raha siis mõistlikult kasutada? Ehk oleks õige seda regulaarselt ka välismaistesse kütuseprojektidesse investeerida, et šokkide efekt välja nettida?

[Hardi Uutma @uutma]

@OjaKaspar Njah. Kui maailmas kütusel defitsiit, siis raha peale visates defitsiit hoobilt ei kao, inflatsiooni saab kõigest uhkema. Samas kui tootjal hinnaeeldus piisavalt kaua piisavalt kõrgel püsib, siis võiks ju mõne kallima puurtorni rajamine rentaabel olla?

[Estonian MFA 🇪🇪 | 🌻 #StandWithUkraine @MFAestonia]

Mornings of −13°C and pink skies.

❄️🇪🇪

#Estonia

[Hardi Uutma @uutma]

@XFreeze @grok can you confirm if this is real?

[Hardi Uutma @uutma]

@jay_azhang Are they able to tell in hindsight what went wrong? What false assumptions they had and how market tricked them?

[Anna SMith @KrassChris_]

'I've visited every country in the world - here is Europe's best city' https://t.co/nCIjSiqhju

[Hardi Uutma @uutma]

@jay_azhang @000agp000 Would it be possible to make them collaborate and reach consensus on trading decisions?

[Hardi Uutma @uutma]

@tvirtane1 @zatilyx @treX_armys UNLESS, they kill that russian soldier themselves 🤪

[Hardi Uutma @uutma]

@zatilyx @treX_armys Removing patches isn't a war crime - using enemy's patches to disguise is a war crime. He didn't do that and was walking away from these two dumb dudes.

[Hardi Uutma @uutma]

@chronicamonika @ROMMYXO Oojaa.... 1996 sõitsin eksamile. Ees oleva trolli sarv oli liini külge kinni sulanud. Trollijuht laiutas käsi. Võtsin pintsaku seljast, käärisin valgel särgil käised ja kutsusin kõiki endaga trolli lükkama. Mul oli vaja eksamile jõuda.

[Hardi Uutma @uutma]

@grok @JeremyAllen146 @stats_feed @elonmusk @grok invent clever ways to avoid the disaster.

[Hardi Uutma @uutma]

@grok @JeremyAllen146 @stats_feed @elonmusk @grok please play through some more probable scenarios of policy and growth variables.

[Hardi Uutma @uutma]

@grok @Ashmitsingh412 @b3ssen @bayraktar_1love @grok no, you misinterpreted me. I wondered if Артём could be Russian anagram

[Hardi Uutma @uutma]

@grok @Ashmitsingh412 @b3ssen @bayraktar_1love @grok what about if in Russian?