Estonian Foreign Intelligence Service (EFIS) published today its annual report „International Security and Estonia 2026“.
In our assessment, Russia has no intention of militarily attacking Estonia or any other NATO member state in the coming year.
We are likely to reach a similar assessment next year because Estonia and Europe have taken steps that compel the Kremlin to calculate very carefully what, if anything, it can risk attempting. Even if no such intention exists today, our task is to ensure that this remains the case tomorrow and in the future.
“The time is not in (Russian President Vladimir) Putin’s favor,” at least as long as the West maintains pressure through sanctions and aid to Ukraine, Rosin said in an interview at the Lennart Meri Conference in Tallinn.
Russia is grappling with brewing internal pressure due to battlefield failures in Ukraine and domestic economic difficulties, Kaupo Rosin, head of the Estonian Foreign Intelligence Service, told the Kyiv Independent.
https://t.co/5odTHSEzbj
Amid battlefield failures and economic woes, time is not on Putin's side, Kaupo Rosin, Estonian intelligence chief @valisluure, told me last week in Tallinn.
Read more at @KyivIndependent
https://t.co/PwgqZnhNX3
🇪🇪 Excited to present my latest podcast - an interview with Estonia's Foreign Intelligence Service Chief @Kaupo_Rosin.
🎙️ We chatted at the Lennart Meri Conference about the 'unfavourable' turn the war has taken for Putin, possible mobilisation in Russia, the effect of Trump's NATO missives and troop and assets withdrawal and pauses, as well as China's dominance over Russia.
On all podcast apps or here: https://t.co/SosWlXzsyW
🎙️
Watch the first episode of EFIS podcast!
Director General Kaupo Rosin discusses Estonia's external security threats as described in our annual report.
ENG subs are available on YouTube: https://t.co/LhpoM1zmHY
On Kapo's proposal, the @police sent out a Russian citizen, Andrei Zhuravlyov, from Estonia, whom Russia planned to use to gather intelligence. Such action is part of the preparation of a hybrid attack. Do not fall for it and let us know if you have received a similar job offer from Russia.
The Russian economy has clearly entered a downturn.
Sanctions are the main reason and are having a direct, powerful effect.
Kaupo Rosin, Director of the Estonian Foreign Intelligence Service, commenting on the recently published yearbook.👇
https://t.co/UfnjUU3ni1
⚡️ The kremlin is attempting to restore its political influence in the Baltic region through a network of controlled academic structures. This is stated in the annual report of the Estonian Foreign Intelligence Service.
🇪🇪 Estonian intelligence's top Russia analyst Andres Vosman warns that Moscow obsessively monitors its society, dreads fallout from returning war veterans, and faces economic stagnation and dependence on China—making Russia unstable and unpredictable. https://t.co/GUalskMfks
Estonia's Foreign Intelligence Service chief Kaupo Rosin warned that "Russia remains a dangerous country despite its incompetence," as Tallinn published its annual security assessment report on the threat Russia poses to the region and NATO.
https://t.co/hTcQNGrV37
Today the Estonian Foreign Intelligence Service released its annual yearbook.
A candid and clear-eyed assessment of the security environment facing Europe and NATO. A must-read!
https://t.co/BCdW5bptyy
Putin thinks he can outsmart Trump over Ukraine & Russian officials believe the US remains Moscow's "main enemy," Estonia's intel chief told @AP. Fiona Hill, suggested Trump won't care about that as his officials are spinning a story that he's a peacemaker https://t.co/5PnW5xIcXu
What’s going on in Mordor? Well, of course we know. Our 🇪🇪 Intel Service today published 1 of the 2 most waited annual books in Estonia. #WeAreNATO#StandWithUkraine
It’s that time of year again, when the western intelligence community gets its hands on the annual report from the Estonian Foreign Intelligence Service.
Enjoy 😉 https://t.co/nPV4MXcUcJ