@ClarkSquareCap@ACapitalLP Ok, so most likely not gonna get any returns in the form of cash.
Either you’ll get return by multiple expansion.
Or.
Growth of cash flow at steady valuation.
What’s your thesis on drivers for value creation from a shareholder perspective?
@ClarkSquareCap@ACapitalLP What’s the track record of return cash back to shareholders in the form of dividends and buybacks? And what’s management historical track record on capital allocation?
IMPORTANT COMMENT ON HINDENBURG REPORT RUMORS REGARDING $XP
Last Sunday, I published an analysis of XP, the Brazilian brokerage firm. My report highlighted several critical points, including risks related to its banking activities and advisor network issues, but overall, my assessment was positive.
After publishing, I came across rumors suggesting that Hindenburg Research (@HindenburgRes) might be preparing a report on XP.
I have no way to verify or refute these claims. It is unclear whether such a report even exists, whether Hindenburg is indeed behind it, or if it will ever be published. Nevertheless, I believe it is crucial to bring this information to the attention of anyone who has read my analysis, as these rumors introduce significant additional risks to the investment thesis.
Regardless of the accuracy of any potential claims against XP, two major risks stand out:
- If a short report of this magnitude is released, XP’s stock could move down violently, as has happened in previous occasions.
- Trust is paramount for a financial institution. If such a report is published and gains traction in Brazil’s mainstream media, it could trigger a crisis of confidence. I suspect this risk factor may be one reason why the rumored report was not published.
While I cannot predict how this situation will unfold, my commitment is to total trust, transparency, and honesty with readers.
1/🧵
I’ve known Aswath Damodaran is great, but this may well be the most entertaining investment lecture there is.
The whole 45min lecture on the WORST VALUATION MISTAKES AND HOW TO AVOID THEM is worth watching but summarizing best bits in this thread.
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@10_till_10 Hur tänker du kring perioder av underperformance mot index? Både Investor och Buffet har i perioder haft det tufft, men på längre perioder slår de index.