Valuefiend

Market Participant searching for value in a hopeless place

[Valuefiend @valuefiend]

@prutioi Business has been consistently doing well since losing the TRANSCOM loss and the market has not been open to the reality of the spinoffs. Feels like a consistent place I can put capital for a good r/r

[Valuefiend @valuefiend]

$KBR finally getting a little respect for all the projects wins since last ER. Crazy that thing has just bopped around while every incremental oil & natgas asset needing repair and the expansion of U.S. defense spending makes the future that much more attractive

[Valuefiend @valuefiend]

still cheap as all hell

[Valuefiend @valuefiend]

@blindspotvalue Yeah it cheap no doubt, I feel like MSD-HSD is fair. I feel comfortable where we are, especially activists on the board, buybacks, and the strong BS. It has been a year of uncertainty and the market is showing it

[Valuefiend @valuefiend]

@blindspotvalue This is purely accedotal/ vibes but I feel that the new CEO approaching this more methodically & education focused versus James who was tech focused. This could make the business grow a slower, especially if during this outcome retool. Is DD growth assumption fair now?

[Valuefiend @valuefiend]

@blindspotvalue I view macro for the market as strong but if more kids are entering virtual schooling, outcomes will likely come under greater scrutiny. If stride hasn't prioritized it internally I could see it being a persistent shadow on the business

[Valuefiend @valuefiend]

@blindspotvalue Long term I think the risk is this outcomes piece becoming more relevant. Lone Star seems like a one off with the new wins they got over the quarter but the commentary from the CEO gives me some pause. Internal reorganization and a refocusing isn't a good look

[Valuefiend @valuefiend]

*arent, really messed up the meaning of this one with that one word

[Valuefiend @valuefiend]

$ANAB had some intense selling during the hearing today, waiting to see if anything material comes out once official reporting is done. Even so, at current price or even $50 feels like the upside optionality and outcomes of the trial are reflected

[Valuefiend @valuefiend]

@EquityBrian @NickNemo17 has been following the name, had the exec chair on his pod

[Valuefiend @valuefiend]

@taobanker @SebKrog At this rate just sell the turbines

[Valuefiend @valuefiend]

@taobanker Truly

[Valuefiend @valuefiend]

@RodAlzmann Without new information back to a very attractive range; so many of these nice merger/ capital return plays, $GDOT, $ZIM, $VISN

[Valuefiend @valuefiend]

$GDOT Falling out of the window; could be a fund blowing out or someone who knows something. Will be adding if it goes back toward my buy in ~$11

[Valuefiend @valuefiend]

$ANAB & the rest of bio being put through the woodchipper today; may have to add a little bit

[Stoic Point Capital Management @stoic_point]

$LUXE monster print & guides '27 EBITDA >80% ahead of Street. Also massive share repurchase of a tiny float w/ high short interest. Today <30m shares in float w/ ~4m short & just 270k shares/day trading. Won't $50m "accelerated" buyback alone eat entire short or ~25% of float?

[Valuefiend @valuefiend]

@ACapitalLP would not be surprised if the company was in the market heavily today with this dislocation. Hope they are hungry

[Valuefiend @valuefiend]

@ACapitalLP I have funneled all the cap distro back into shares. Just too too cheap at these levels

[Valuefiend @valuefiend]

@ragingbullcap Incredible call here, loved the thesis but didnt make it into my port. 🤝

[Valuefiend @valuefiend]

@taobanker you have been absolutely spitting today. fighting the good fight