You’ll reach a point in your career as a trader where you won’t feel the urge to prove anything anymore, to perform everyday regardless of the situation, to trade your ego rather than the market.
One day maybe, but first you need to go through everything like this.
If their CDS spreads push past 200 basis points, we’re essentially looking at conditions that mirror the early stages of 2008.
The chart below highlights how the run-up to the Global Financial Crisis compares with today’s CDS spike in AI companies.
What’s even more striking is that some names — CoreWeave and Oracle — are already showing risk levels worse than the weakest banks in mid-2007, right before the financial crisis unfolded.
Next week’s Oracle and CoreWeave debt auctions are going to be critical.
Thread 🧵: AI & Gold ($4,200/oz) – What Investors Should Know in 2025–2026
1/ AI investments are surging, with record capital deployment, leverage, and soaring valuations. Questions about sustainability and systemic risk are rising. Meanwhile, gold trades at $4,200/oz.
7/ Most likely outcome 🔍
Given current spending trends and manageable leverage from large investors, Balanced Growth seems most probable.
Gold is expected to trade near $4,000–$4,400/oz, continuing its role as a stable hedge.