Latent Conviction

Day trader. Small Caps. Systematic. 80% short 20% long

[Latent Conviction @varsity_tech]

$BIRD got lucky on this one, but not enough to cover my massive loss on the short side

[Latent Conviction @varsity_tech]

max pain today $SKYQ

[Latent Conviction @varsity_tech]

@deterrence2020 @jackquanrong how do you size for tailrisk if there are cases where they are technically unknown e.g. PGHL, CIIT, PLYX

[Latent Conviction @varsity_tech]

$GLND, the day after $UGRO , still holding on to some, hopefully $50

[Latent Conviction @varsity_tech]

The Agentic AI revolution is going full throttle

over the past week:

1) CEO of coinbase $COIN posted
"Very soon there are going to be more AI agents than humans making transactions. They can’t open a bank account, but they can own a crypto wallet. Think about it."

2) CEO of Binance:
"AI agents will make 1 million times more payments than humans, and they will use crypto."

3) $Meta acquired Moltbook, a social network for AI agents

4) $NVDA released Nemoclaw, an open-source AI agent platform allowing enterprises to deploy AI agents for their workforces

5) Openclaw hype has spread to China, despite the strict censorship, thousands of people are queueing up to install their first personal ai agent.

soon the demand for services and infrastructure for agents will breed the next wave of startups

[Latent Conviction @varsity_tech]

$PRSO

Catalyst quality: 8/10 (defense drone IFF is real, timely, and strategically important)

figured will be short crowded given lack of runners today

[Latent Conviction @varsity_tech]

Top watches for Monday,

mainly small caps in oil & gas, energy and shipping, with some defense stocks:

$DWSN
$RBNE
$STAK
$BATL
$OP
$TMDE
$PTLE
$MARPS
$NEHC
$SAFX
$HUSA
$KWE
$WFF
$SKYQ
$CREG
$LSE
$SRFM
$USEG
$ICON
$HCAI
$KWM
$XTIA
$SOAR
$INLF
$RCON
$BRN
$GPUS
$INDO
$GURE
$CRML
$EONR
$MTR
$HOVR
$GEOS
$GTI
$NINE
$TPET
$AIRO

[Latent Conviction @varsity_tech]

$CRCL $CRCA riding the bullish momentum today

on top of earnings released today:

Q4 2025 EARNINGS (Just reported Feb 25):
- Revenue: 770M (+77% YoY) -- massive beat
- Reserve Income: 733M (+69% YoY)
- Adj EBITDA: 167M (+412% YoY), 54% margin
- Adj EPS: 0.43 (beat 0.35 est by 23%)
- Net Income: 133M (+129M YoY)
- USDC in Circulation: 75.3B (+72% YoY)
- On-chain Transaction Volume: 11.9T (+247% YoY)
- FY2025 Revenue: 2.7B (+64% YoY)

GROWTH DRIVERS:
1. USDC supply targeting 40% CAGR -- B+ in 2026 credible
2. GENIUS Act (July 2025) gives regulatory moat
3. On-chain dollar transfers projected to exceed ACH volume by end-2026
4. Circle Payments Network: \.7B annualized volume, +68% QoQ
5. Arc blockchain mainnet launch 2026
6. AI agent payments -- USDC for autonomous payment capabilities
7. International: EURC + emerging market expansion

[Latent Conviction @varsity_tech]

$IBRX history of big multiday moves, mid cap stock with decent catalyst, not your usual small cap pump, had a decent entry today morning. Will hold for 1 more day

[Latent Conviction @varsity_tech]

$SGN multiday breakout, used to get stuck short on these

REVERSE MERGER with BlockchAIn Digital Infrastructure.

- BlockchAIn is real: $22.9M rev, $5.7M net income, profitable
- Merger on track: SEC approved S-4, vote March 13
- AI/HPC sector tailwind (Core Scientific, Iris Energy, Applied Digital all surging)
- 200 MW expansion plan for Texas (2027)
- NYSE listing as ticker AIB provides legitimacy
- 21.5% short interest = squeeze potential

$EZRA nice scalps

[Latent Conviction @varsity_tech]

all the shorts got blown out in $PLYX? Nothing much moving in PM today $DTCK $LIMN

[Latent Conviction @varsity_tech]

@SmallCapSmarts

[Latent Conviction @varsity_tech]

$PLYX bots pretty on point today

[Latent Conviction @varsity_tech]

finally some green in small cap long land $GLTO, $IPGP, $NKTR

[Latent Conviction @varsity_tech]

small cap longs havent been working well recently....

[Latent Conviction @varsity_tech]

new automated long strat going live this week: Premarket longs

[Latent Conviction @varsity_tech]

@MattPRD @MattPRD how did you build this? super curious