deterrence

6th year of predictive signal hunting after 13 yrs of pro poker 10m+ online cash game hands and 10k+ hours in casino/private games

[deterrence @deterrence2020]

from the 11th of 13 years playing poker full time late 2018

[deterrence @deterrence2020]

@SmallCapGoon @quantmindset @SmallCapSmarts 150-300 tickers/day

1-3 positions per ticker

[deterrence @deterrence2020]

@quantmindset @SmallCapSmarts work on getting your sample size larger so your results depend less on any one trade and keep sizing consistent between all your bets until you know youve earned the right to deviate w the confidence that comes w earning it

[deterrence @deterrence2020]

@quantmindset @SmallCapSmarts this sounds like a less quantitative approach than i was expecting given your name, why is that?

[deterrence @deterrence2020]

@quantmindset @SmallCapSmarts Whats the range of number of trades you're getting on per day? Can potentially help you

[deterrence @deterrence2020]

@Small_Cap_Lab

[deterrence @deterrence2020]

warmup run prob predictive signal of demand quality

[The Market Matrix @MarketMatrixs]

BREAKING: $SPCE plummets -40% after redditors start to realize it’s NOT SpaceX

[deterrence @deterrence2020]

post AI world like being on a rollercoaster

some dont even realize theyre on yet but, like it or not, we all are

and theres no getting off

[Quoth the Raven @QTRResearch]

don't worry, saylor only has 843,706 bitcoin left

[Viceroy @viceroyresearch]

The prosecutor celebrating Left's verdict can't even define what they prosecuted him for. He tells followers that "shorting" means making "quick profits" by "illegally influencing share prices" through misleading X posts. Incredibly ironic. Don't be like Billy @USAttyEssayli

[deterrence @deterrence2020]

post AI robotics is also among the most obvious bets I've ever seen and SPVs are the instrument apparently

[deterrence @deterrence2020]

Which is the best instrument to short the living shit out of AI underestimators?

Directionally among the easiest bets I've ever seen but which instrument is the real question

[deterrence @deterrence2020]

@nortonbreads @RobinhoodApp 🤤🤤🤤

[Robinhood @RobinhoodApp]

📅 Set your reminder. June 4: The PDT rule will be eliminated, and the $25,000 minimum account balance requirement will officially end.

What it means for you: We will be wiping all past PDT flags clean. Soon, customers will be able to trade on Robinhood without worrying about day trading limits again.

[Guy @nosilverv]

People CORRECTLY mistrust 'weird' (i.e. "off-distribution") people bc normative social behavior is p good all things considered. If someone defects from that their behavior prob mass gets flatter AND there's TONS more ways to be V BAD than to be v good → lower EV → Mistrust.

[deterrence @deterrence2020]

shortsellers bad

for president fine tho

[FSMN @faststocknewss]

Short seller Andrew Left, founder of Citron Research, found guilty of securities fraud by a federal jury in Los Angeles.

Left was accused of using tweets about dozens of companies to illegally influence their share prices and profit from the moves. Prosecutors said he made ~$20M from such trades between 2018 and 2023.

Left took the rare step of testifying in his own defense. Trial lasted three weeks, jury deliberated two days.

[Microsoft Surface @surface]

Introducing Surface Laptop Ultra.

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[AlgoFlows @algoflows]

what an absolutely insane thing to post

[Hiroo Onoda @OnodaCapital]

People paid $10k to attend this. Zoom in on the crowd — if you know anyone, get them help

[deterrence @deterrence2020]

@ipdaenthusiast It's a small closed hedge fund led by myself and 2 former AWS engineers w a full time statistician and former AI professor

[deterrence @deterrence2020]

our company's monthly AI bill is now 4 figures and rising because of the recent switch to token based billing

the truth is we get so much value out of it we could pay 5 figs/mo before even thinking about measuring

but this is gonna price most people out of the best opportunities the tools present

until the price inevitably comes down someday the have-nots are gonna be digging w weaker shovels

and the hillbillies raging at data centers in their podunk towns aren't doing themselves any favors

as usual they just don't know it yet

[deterrence @deterrence2020]

@ipdaenthusiast Closer to 3 figs than 5 still but why is that useful to know without the missing context?