Lead Meteorologist @NWSNorman | Ph.D. in Meteorology @OUSoM | Radar Analysis | Interested in weather since 4/25/1994 | Opinions are mine and not my employer's.
@Spacenstuffhtx @pcavlin It's definitely possible, but there is bit of higher uncertainty on precipitation type if the DGZ remains unsaturated (see chart). Probably more likely to see a mix in that case.
@slaterweather@JLaDue The 00Z sounding does show a saturated layer at approx. 850 mb in the dendritic growth zone (DGZ) with steep low-level lapse rates (steep enough to have even some surface instability).
Radar throwback from yesterday evening (9/24/2024): A supercell produced destructive hail across the Oklahoma City metro.
Note the significant reduction in ZDR (<0 dB) and lowered/noisy CC collocated with high reflectivity (at times >70 dBZ) as the hail fell. #okwx
Always enjoy giving a guest weather briefing in @ousom's Synoptic Meteorology Lab! Great opportunity to also chat about the future trajectory of the NWS with the next generation of meteorologists.
@4029Darby Good question! Unfortunately, I’m not 100% sure. An NWS meteorologist that came by my poster from a southeast office did say they have seen them before. The radar image is from Kansas.
@OHWXisweird Unfortunately, only those registered for the conference can view the presentations. However, my one page summary captures the essence of my showcase presentation.
@samgardner_4@ScottTGL1 These can definitely be challenging! It’s important to look for vertical continuity and the texture of the velocity field (i.e., does it look natural with respect to the storm morphology?). Also, these are more likely closer to the RDA, where you’d be scanning below the LCL.
Plenty of people ready to learn and participate at the Warn-on-Forecast System (WoFS) Workshop, including broadcast meteorologists, National Weather Service meteorologists, emergency managers, and students! #NWAS24
Lots of interesting discussion on the challenges of probabilistic messaging at @madlizzie79 and @wxmanted's showcase "Weather or Not: Overcoming the Pitfalls of Probabilistic Messaging to Improve Decision Making"! #NWAS2024