William Alberque

Proud analyst for the Pacific Forum. I can identify warhead types and rare b-sides with alacrity and alarming accuracy.

[William Alberque @walberque]

💥NATO nuclear sharing new research💥 Everything you didn't know in one place! My good friends from Dublin City University asked me to give them 8,000 words on the legal basis for NATO nuclear sharing.

I gave them 21,000 words and broke new ground. 1/5

https://t.co/5hsrprbUmk

[William Alberque @walberque]

@thevetauthor Outstanding! Thank you!

[William Alberque @walberque]

During my research on NATO's nuclear sharing arrangements, I clarified a lot of the detail on a key chart in the "History of the Custody and Deployment of US Nuclear Weapons" page H-3. Here it is with corrected dates. My report has all of the details!

https://t.co/Pp9YXiVdRG

[William Alberque @walberque]

💥NATO nuclear sharing new research💥 Everything you didn't know in one place! My good friends from Dublin City University asked me to give them 8,000 words on the legal basis for NATO nuclear sharing.

I gave them 21,000 words and broke new ground. 1/5

https://t.co/5hsrprbUmk

[William Alberque @walberque]

@thevetauthor OH! Please give me the link! I want to read it!!

I've read tangential references to SAC temporarily storing US nuclear weapons on Cyprus - did you ever come across that?

[Artur Kacprzyk @ArturKacprzyk]

Podbijam ⬇️- zarówno w kontekście postępów w rozmowach o sprzedaży 🇺🇸Tomahawków 🇵🇱Polsce, jak i doniesień o apelach 🇫🇷Francji o ostrożność w doborze celów dla pocisków dalekiego zasięgu 🇩🇪 i innych sojuszników.

[William Alberque @walberque]

@jonasolsson Oh no - what was this? It's deleted.

[Oana Lungescu @LungescuOana]

#NATO is coming full circle, prioritising collective defence in its upcoming policy guidance document. It makes sense that the main effort of a defensive alliance shd be to deter an aggressive Russia & keep Europe safe as the U.S. reduces its commitment

https://t.co/MiD8K17bH5

[William Alberque @walberque]

A wise man, Anton Mazur, once told me that the US and Russia always have the same interest in arms control - but never at the same time. I would add that we no longer want it for the same reason. NATO wants arms control if it increases security for all. Russia, well... 8/8

[William Alberque @walberque]

Russian MFA (DepDir Mazur) laid out Russia's position on European security in Vienna 10 November, in parallel with the talks with the US, Ukraine, and others taking place in the UAE.

To summarize for you, Russia's position continues to be terrible. 1/8

https://t.co/GLuGFhWzzH

[William Alberque @walberque]

In retrospect, Russia blew an historic opportunity to lock in its advantages in the 2010s had they withdrawn from Georgia and Transnistria in exchange for ACFE (the Parallel Action Plan or my 2010 effort). Instead, invasions, occupation, and intimidation were more important. 7/8

[Robert Floyd @DrRobFloyd]

On World Science Day for Peace and Development: science gives the world a common language. At the CTBTO I see it every day, experts from every region working to the same internationally agreed standards, so that every State can rely on the same data. Not a small thing, in the world as it is.

[Vitaly @M0nstas]

Where Russian soldiers died, according to Russia's own death register.

Almost every death act in the Rosstat register names a place of death. I matched those places to settlements and put them on a map. 389,719 of the 438,228 war-death acts (89%) name a place in Ukraine or in the Kursk, Belgorod and Bryansk oblasts. Of the rest, 10,007 died elsewhere in Russia, mostly in hospitals, and 36,485 acts give no place of death, most of them from 2022 and 2023.

Donetsk oblast: 248,686, 64% of the deaths with a place. Pokrovsk raion: 127,931, a third of them. Pokrovsk hromada alone: 44,951, of which 36,525 died in 2025. No other hromada comes close: next are Ocheretyne 15,982, Velyka Novosilka 15,608, Hrodivka 15,081 and Bakhmut 14,167. Kursk oblast: 19,476 (8,825 in 2024, 9,951 in 2025), 12,479 of them in Sudzha raion.

The deadliest hromadas each year follow the main Russian offensives: 2023: Bakhmut 6,336, Marinka 2,905 2024: Ocheretyne 11,141, Marinka 7,435, Avdiivka 6,484 2025: Pokrovsk 36,525, Velyka Novosilka 11,164, Hrodivka 9,360 2026 to August: Pokrovsk 4,266, Huliaipole 3,846, Lyman 2,433

By settlement: Avdiivka 8,757, Kreminna 7,937, Robotyne 6,244, Makiivka (the village near Kreminna in Luhansk oblast) 6,120, Klishchiivka 5,552, Bakhmut 5,307. Deaths are named at 2,903 settlements.

The early years are thin on the map, not in the register: 87% of 2022 acts and 28% of 2023 acts give no place of death. 2026 is still filling in, as only about a third of deaths reach the register within three months.

[Vitaly @M0nstas]

I compared the leaked Russian death register with UALosses, battle by battle. The Russian register records where each soldier died, so both sides can be placed on the same map.

Russia lost more soldiers than Ukraine in every battle but one.*

Pokrovsk: 4.7 Russian dead for every Ukrainian loss. Siversk 3.9, Avdiivka 3.4, Kostiantynivka 3.0, Toretsk 2.6.

The closest ratios came from offensives Ukraine launched: Robotyne 0.9, Velyka Novosilka 1.2, Kursk and Sumy 1.3. Robotyne, the 2023 counteroffensive, is the only battle where the Ukrainian count exceeds the Russian one.

And these aren't even equal measures. The Russian register counts confirmed deaths only. UALosses includes killed, missing and captured. The actual gap may be wider.

Both datasets are cut off at December 2025, because Russian deaths can take months to appear in the register. That's why Pokrovsk shows 15.8k here, rather than the 21.5k in my earlier post. Kursk includes the fighting in Sumy oblast.

*Most Russian deaths recorded in 2023 have no location of death, making the Robotyne comparison particularly incomplete.

[Defense Threat Reduction Agency @doddtra]

DTRA's Global Threat Reduction Directorate & the Gov't of Georgia successfully completed a Chemical Security Field Training Exercise in Batumi & Mtskheta. Georgia successfully demonstrated Final Operational Capability of its new Sample Triage Facility, bolstering WMD deterrence.

[Defense Threat Reduction Agency @doddtra]

This Veterans Day, we honor all who have served. Thank you for your sacrifice and dedication to our country.

[NUKES @atomicarchive]

A waitress poses with a «Uranium-Burger» at a diner, Salt Lake City, Utah, 1954. The sandwich is so named for the region's booming uranium industry.