CA Gov Full Race Update
Based on our current total turnout estimate, roughly 52.7% of the vote was early and 47.3% will be late-counted ballots.
Hilton carried the early vote by 8.2 points (and 410k votes) over Steyer, which means Steyer needs to run about 17.2 points better than Hilton statewide in the remaining late vote to overtake him. However, because Democratic-leaning counties are expected to make up a larger share of the outstanding vote, our county-adjusted estimate is that Steyer needs to improve by about 15.5 points within each county.
So far today, Steyer has improved by a weighted average of 10.5 points, which is short of the pace he likely needs, but still a strong shift in that direction. Importantly, only about 4% of the late mail came in today, so the picture could change substantially as larger batches report tomorrow.
At this point, Hilton remains favored. But Steyer still has a viable path if late mail continues moving left, especially if Democratic-leaning counties in the Bay Area and other blue parts of the state are lagging in their reporting.
Tomorrow’s vote drops will be critical in determining whether he will close the gap enough to overtake Hilton.
On this day after Election Day, where are we at?
Tom Steyer needs a MASSIVE return from the ballot counts that’ll come out late this afternoon to show a path forward into the top 2.
Nithya Raman & Spencer Pratt race could take weeks to determine.
The same World Cup seat is $700 on FIFA's official site and $200 on SeatGeek right now. That gap is not a glitch.
Dynamic pricing solved the upside for FIFA. Demand climbs, the price climbs, $60 group seats turn into $700 matchups, the US opener hit $1,940 at face. The downside is where the system breaks. The second FIFA cuts an official price below what someone already paid, it invites refund demands, chargebacks, and a consumer-protection fight across three host countries.
So the official number cannot fall. It is a published price attached to thousands of fans who bought higher, which turns every markdown into a liability.
Read it as economics instead of conspiracy and it sharpens. FIFA overpriced, then built a channel where lowering the real price is legally radioactive. The secondary market is the only place left to discover what the seats actually clear at.
Those contiguous blocks landing on SeatGeek at $198, $228, $230 are FIFA's true demand curve leaking out where the official site can keep pretending it doesn't exist.
The elegant part: FIFA's own resale marketplace takes 15% from the buyer and 15% from the seller. So even as inventory clears below face, FIFA collects a toll on the way down. They earn on the markdown they can't announce.
Saudi Arabia vs Cape Verde settling near $200 while the official page holds the line tells you the market-clearing price was set months ago. FIFA just can't be the one to say it out loud.
Republican Steve Hilton had 26.9% of the vote, compared to 25.8% for Democrat Xavier Becerra and 19.8% for Democrat Tom Steyer, in the California gubernatorial primary, according to initial results from the Secretary of State’s office as of 10:52 p.m. on June 2, 2026.
✍️ Lia Russell & Ben Paviour
🎥 Paul Kitagaki Jr.
#elections #Californiagovernor #Vote #XavierBecerra,
Still votes to count but tonight an interesting situation in Congressional District 6, which was expected to be a safe Democratic seat in Sac area.
Independent Congressman Kevin Kiley (current CD-3) leading so far and a Republican is closely trailing Democrat Dr. Richard Pan.
🚨Big shift in CA ballot returns!
2026 is now AHEAD OF 2022 Primary by 330k votes.
Dems are turning in their ballots - highest rate of the cycle at 54% share.
Dem turnout from Seniors has rebounded - now only down by 1.3% from 2022.
https://t.co/5iSM1kgXXd
I'm personally excited about the World Cup but there is a *lot* of ticket inventory for the group stage (like literallly 5m tickets to sell) without a lot of premium matchups. I don't think anyone should be in a rush to buy tix. Knockout stage and USA/MEX/CAN matches maybe.
@blueyank4life@3four3 1990-2011 🇺🇸 is a good era to measure. Far more “signature wins” in meaningful tournaments (1995 copa America run, 2002 WC, 2009 CC finals) ) also more quality friendly wins while many players were pushing the envelope in European club football.
https://t.co/Ows0Iq8UqO “FERC staff expects gas-fired generators will provide 39% of all capacity this summer, followed by solar at 14%, coal at 13%, wind at 12%, and nuclear and hydropower at 7%”