Simple Moving Average Strategy
Ppl dont like simple strategies. Too bad, that is where the money is at.
I learned this 15+ yrs ago in a Bear market and it changed my life.
Look at the results of this simple play for yourself.
Please RT this so more eyes can see. CT needs it!
if you are looking at the market and thinking any of the following:
"I should have done this"
" I should have longed here"
" I should have been short there"
You are fucked.
You have no edge.
Stop gambling.
Use your time to:
- Look over your journal (review)
- Write out your handbook (prepare)
- Problem-solve ideas (troubleshoot)
Not:
- Stare at random alts
- Overtrade unplanned ideas
- Pray for a 500x return
I'm here to make money month on month, not play the lottery every day.
#Bitcoin 1M chart
It’s so over for $BTC that I don’t even know what can save it 🤷♂️
This does look like a Cycle Top. Very similar to the 2021 one.
- Bearish Divergence on RSI
- Bearish Divergence on Stoch RSI
- Similar Red monthly candle at the top
- Same 35 Months from the cycle bottom to top
⚠️ Beware of the Bear
Want to be immortal?
Want to be super rich?
Want to be healthy?
Want to be on top of everything?
Want to know everything?
Want to be perfect?
We see it all on our X-stream all the time, people striving for all these things, and everyone is looking for all these in the wrong place
Why don´t you figure out first who is the one that actually wants all these things?
What is the ¨I¨ that wants all this and is doing all this.....
And you will realize the truth/ultimate essence of your being is already immortal, you have literal gold in your soul, your energy will flow freely so you will be healthy, and you will realize you already know everything since there is nothing to know while what is happening to humanity is basically always the same
You want to figure it all out....fine....so look in the only place where you find all that: inside
Try this:
> Delete everything off your charts.
> Write out a plan.
> Turn off socials.
> Don’t turn it on until done trading.
> Wake up. Go through routine. Prep yourself.
> Take trade if it shows, otherwise do nothing.
> Journal trades you took & those you missed.
> Review at the end of the day.
It will be hard, but do this for 30 days and you instantly create a habit, one that allows you to survive long term in this game.
Keep it slow and steady. It's not a fucking race.
Whilst I know (as I’m sure you do too) that change doesn’t need to be implemented on the first day of a New Year, or your birthday, or the beginning of the week (ad infinitum), there is still something satisfying about beginning during what feels like a logical transition point.
The New Year is perfect for this, but so many people make resolutions and don’t keep to them.
One of the things I’ve found most useful over the years is learning to push myself while also being forgiving. This has been especially important for me as someone who deals with a cocktail of difficulties, including ADHD (where focus can come and then completely go), perfectionist tendencies, and an all-or-nothing mindset.
Remember, almost all of us have issues that we may see as an impediment to our progress. Some of us feel that not having enough capital holds us back. Some of us might have enough capital but have health-related issues that hold us back and make it harder to cope with day-to-day life as easily as others. Still others have none of these issues but perhaps have time constraints due to personal commitments (family and a 9–5 can be a big one). The issues we can face are endless.
But it’s also important to remember that whilst you may feel you have disadvantages compared to the next person, you almost always have advantages over them too, even if you’re not sure exactly what they are.
Maybe you have discipline where they lack it. Maybe you have a support network where they are isolated. Maybe you simply have more drive.
You won’t always know what your edge is over the next person because most people aren’t transparent about themselves and their lives, but I promise you this is true.
You’re never as behind as you think, and you’re never as alone as it feels.
So, to perform better in 2026, you need to think about working to your strengths and coming up with solutions to combat perceived weaknesses.
Brainstorm problems, decide on simple solutions, and go slowly. The adage of becoming 1% better every day is powerful.
You don’t need to do everything perfectly. You just need to do some things a little better than you are doing them already. But be forgiving with yourself. And remember that even when things are going well, refinement still matters.
I’ve often used blunt language as a form of tough love to try and motivate people. But the downside of that is that if you take this name-calling too seriously, you can end up being too judgmental of yourself and possibly hindering your progress.
Allow yourself to be human. We make emotional decisions. We make mistakes. This is fine. The aim is not to never make a mistake, the aim is to make mistakes and learn from them so you don’t end up repeating them over and over again.
So go into this year with intention, patience, and self-respect. Do a few things slightly better than last year, consistently.
I wish you all a healthy, happy, focused, and profitable 2026.
If you're stuck at a certain level of skill for a really long time and not making any meaningful progress
There are 3 possible reasons for this
reason 1:
- working on the wrong problem with the wrong solution
reason 2:
- working on the wrong problem with the right solution
reason 3:
- working on the right problem with the wrong solution
The only way to make meaningful progress over time is working on the "right problem with the right solution".
Non-Trading Example #1:
- Imagine you are trying to improve at Chess
- Let's say you resign in 50% of your games
- Imagine 50% of your resignations were "winnable" games.
- You don't need to improve your opening to get a higher ranking... you just need to stop rage-quitting with resignations and your rating will climb.
Non-Trading Example #2:
- Imagine you are trying to improve your League of Legends rating
- You spend all this time watching guides/tutorials on how to play a champion better
- But when you play a ranked match, you can't farm minions properly and you have atrocious income.
- Getting "better with combos" isn't going to improve your rating, it will just waste your time. If you want to climb you need to learn how to properly farm minions.
Now time for a Trading Example:
- Imagine you are spending all your time playing with new indicators/tools.
- This is meaningless if you can't even take 30 consistent trades using 1 strategy.
- If you keep deviating from your trading rules, you need to learn how to not deviate from them rather than try discover some new trading idea.
Another Trading Example:
- Imagine you have a profitable trading strategy that makes 5-10%/month
- But your trading account is funded with only $1000.
- You don't need to keep making tweaks and "sharpen your edge." This is a waste of time.
- Instead you need to shove as much money into the strategy as possible until you hit your sizing limits.
Final Trading Example:
- Imagine you have a profitable trading strategy that makes 5-10%/month and you hit your sizing limits at $100,000. (As in, you slip the book too hard and cannot trade with bigger size without damaging your edge).
- Here you don't need to keep shoving more money into your strategy and spending all your time in execution.
- Instead of spamming execution non-stop, in order to grow you will need to research ways to either increase your capital efficiency with your existing strategies (e.g. raising the limit from 100k to 150k somehow) or researching completely new/uncorrelated strategies entirely to add to the toolbox.
---------
TL;DR:
If you're stuck as a Trader, you're probably not working on the right problem and using your time/energy on the right solution.
If you DO NOT know your current #1 problem and the #1 solution, your time/energy need to be spent on DISCOVERING these 2 things.
If you DO know your current #1 problem and your current #1 solution, then your time/energy need to be spent on SOLVING these 2 things.
🌶️
Amateur 👶 vs Pro 👩🏫
👶 90% win rate, but the account doesn’t grow.
👩🏫 45% win rate, but equity grows steadily.
👶 Sees a stop-loss as a failed trade.
👩🏫 Sees a stop-loss taken by the rules as a successful trade.
👶 Prioritizes the outcome of the current trade over the rules.
👩🏫 Prioritizes the rules above everything else for long‑term results.
👶 Refuses to cut losses and just hopes.
👩🏫 Cuts losses exactly according to the plan.
👶 Feels they must “always be trading” and forces trades with no setup.
👩🏫 Just waits.
👶 Panics after missing a move, chases, and enters in a bad spot.
👩🏫 Just waits for the next entry.
👶 Can’t wait for the setup, invents reasons to trade, and takes a position anyway.
👩🏫 Just waits.
👶 Cannot stand ending the day negative.
👩🏫 Doesn’t care about one day’s P&L.
👶 Always fixated on the dollar amount.
👩🏫 Thinks in percentages.
👶 Sizes positions based on how much they want to make or win back.
👩🏫 Sizes positions for 0% risk of ruin, based on system performance.
👶 Has a short‑term focus.
👩🏫 Has a long‑term focus.
👶 After a losing streak, panics and keeps changing the approach.
👩🏫 After a losing streak, changes nothing and takes the same trades.
👶 Thinks testing is optional.
👩🏫 Treats testing as mandatory.
👶 Thinks a trading journal is optional.
👩🏫 Treats a trading journal as mandatory.
👶 Believes they fully understand the market, brags to family and friends, and picks fights on social media.
👩🏫 Genuinely believes the market cannot be known.
👶 Treats wins and losses as personal achievements, bragging about wins and getting depressed on losses.
👩🏫 Knows short‑term results are random, and that wins and losses while following the rules are just part of the system, not personal credit or blame.
👶 Isn’t receptive: “But I think…”, insisting on views from a brain that isn’t profitable yet, and letting those opinions leak into trades.
👩🏫 Open and humble.
👶 Gives up quickly.
👩🏫 Never quits.
#Solana Bull Market is likely over.
$SOL had a clear 5-wave Impulse to the upside that ended in January with $TRUMP coin blow off top
In the medium term I would look for a (B) bounce up to 0.618 Fib and then the most painful wave down (C) 📉
🎯 Downside Target: $30-40
I know for many, after a long week of trading, it takes real motivation to sit down and analyse it all.
If you’ve done well, you might tell yourself “why bother?”.
If you’ve done badly, you might think: “I can’t bear re-living all my mistakes, I’ll just try harder next week” without any solid plan of exactly what you’re going to work on and importantly, how to improve on it.
You have to fight these thoughts to consistently elevate performance.
I’ve tweeted this review process many times. Remember: curiosity is the foundation for improvement.