Karsten Shaw

Husband, Dad, Statto, Londoner. Teach at @LSEStatistics and help out at @HarrowGymClub

[YouGov @YouGov]

SNAP POLL/ From what you have seen or heard, do you support or oppose the proposal to introduce a digital ID card system in Britain?

Support: 42%
Oppose: 45%

By 2024 vote
Lab: 51% support / 35% oppose
Con: 50% / 44%
Lib Dem: 49% / 39%
Reform: 22% / 69%

Results link in following tweet

[Dave Throup @DaveThroup]

A nice illustration of the inequity of rainfall distribution across the UK.

Be surprised if it doesn’t become a much bigger issue with the devolved nations as shortages in England become greater and more acute.

By Alister Rae via LinkedIn

[Our World in Data @OurWorldInData]

Technology can change the world in ways that are unimaginable until they happen.

Switching on an electric light would have been unimaginable for our medieval ancestors. In their childhood, our grandparents would have struggled to imagine a world connected by smartphones and the Internet.

Similarly, it is hard for us to imagine the arrival of all those technologies that will fundamentally change the world we are used to.

We can remind ourselves that our own future might look very different from the world today by looking back at how rapidly technology has changed our world in the past.

One insight to take away from this long-term perspective is how unusual our time is.

Technological change was extremely slow in the past — the technologies that our ancestors got used to in their childhood were still central to their lives in their old age.

In stark contrast to those days, we live in a time of extraordinarily fast technological change. For recent generations, it was common for technologies that were unimaginable in their youth to become common later in life.

[LSE Statistics @LSEStatistics]

📢We are very pleased to welcome Professor Milan Vojnovic as our new Head of Department here at the LSE Department of Statistics. @LSEnews

🎥Watch his welcome message to everyone in our community:

[Royal Statistical Society @RoyalStatSoc]

The Polling Industry Report Card: Lessons and Learnings from the 2024 General Election Polls
📅Mon 25 Nov, 6pm
London

Come along to this event hosted by our social stats group, bringing together some of the leading voices in polling
https://t.co/youl4uMqtg

[Royal Statistical Society @RoyalStatSoc]

There's still time to register for this event next Monday where you'll hear from Prof John Curtice and other polling experts reflecting on polling in this year's UK general election and the lessons to be learnt 👇

[Karsten Shaw @webkarst]

What happened with the opinion polls in the 2024 UK election? Join @PME_Politics, @LukeTryl and Sir John Curtice @whatukthinks at a special @SocialStats_RSS event to find out. This event promises to be popular so book early https://t.co/eft5eLDlEL

[Karsten Shaw @webkarst]

What happened with the opinion polls in the 2024 UK election? Join @PME_Politics, @LukeTryl and Sir John Curtice @whatukthinks at a special @SocialStats_RSS event to find out. This event promises to be popular so book early https://t.co/eft5eLDlEL

[Ryan Bourne @MrRBourne]

How do you feel about happy hour?

[Karsten Shaw @webkarst]

Incredible 🥹

[MurWalls @MurWalls]

A Surrey & England legend 🤎

A tribute to Graham Thorpe has been painted outside the Kia Oval by the Alec Stewart Gate.

🤎 | #SurreyCricket #streetart

[MurWalls @MurWalls]

A Surrey & England legend 🤎

A tribute to Graham Thorpe has been painted outside the Kia Oval by the Alec Stewart Gate.

🤎 | #SurreyCricket #streetart

[Karsten Shaw @webkarst]

@Psythor paging @ScottishJenbel

[Karsten Shaw @webkarst]

No exaggeration to say Ed is one of the best accounts here. Not only brilliant economic analysis, but stuff like this 👇

[Ed Conway @EdConwaySky]

🧵Here’s the extraordinary story of a Frenchman who came up with an invention that changed the world, before events took a twist.
It’s a rollercoaster story that just might help us solve one of the biggest challenges facing humanity.
Sounds far-fetched, I know, but read on…

[Kareem Carr, Ph.D. @kareem_carr]

Data science isn't dead. It's in transition. AI is going to profoundly change data science work in a number of ways: https://t.co/idai7OFwqJ

[Karsten Shaw @webkarst]

@jamesjohnson252 @MattSingh_ Either the polls are wrong and we will be surprised. Or they are right, and we’ll be even more so

[Karsten Shaw @webkarst]

@Beyond_Topline What do you think will drive this? In the last two elections the LibDems have lost support during the campaign

[Karsten Shaw @webkarst]

An essential point 👇

[Ben Shimshon @BenShimshon]

👋 There is a lot of talk about weighting (and re-weighting) schemes. And not enough about 🤫online panel quality🤫amongst pollsters. 🧵

[Karsten Shaw @webkarst]

@chriscurtis94 😂

[Emma 💛💙🇩🇰🇬🇧🇪🇺 @MonkEmma]

I see lots of Right wingers are using places like Denmark as a shining beacon of why National service is great.

It’s funny, cos they don’t ever seem to champion all the OTHER aspects of life for young Danes.

Little 🧵

1/12

[Karsten Shaw @webkarst]

@keiranpedley Marathon next?