Good Morning my friends! Today is Day 16 of the World Cup!
All 12 teams today technically could still advance and have something to play for.
Let's break down every countries motivation!
Norway 🇳🇴
- Norway has already advanced to the next round and will finish top 2 no matter what happens in their match today. There's an interview with Erling Haaland where he was asked how does his team beat France and he said "We don't, they'll beat us and they'll win the whole thing". That being said this game should be good for goals with two of the best attacks in the competition clashing. If Norway wins they top the group. Draw or lose they finish second.
France 🇫🇷
- One of if not the scariest teams in this whole competition. They are favored to win and are playing to win the group. Expect the same starting XI we saw in the last two games. Mbappe is different in the World Cup and I will be playing his ATGS today. A win or a draw and they top the group sand I expect them to win.
Senegal 🇸🇳
- This is a super weird one. Senegal have 0 points and still could qualify for the next round. A few things have to happen but the most important are they have to beat Iraq, and also do some damage on their goal differential. They'll need a win, multiple goals, and a few other teams outside their group to struggle. Nothing matters if they don't win though so expect them to go all out attacking today.
Iraq 🇮🇶
- Technically Iraq are not out yet. They would have to beat Senegal and recover a -6 goal differential so they'd need to play out of their minds. I expect them to do nothing today, and to be a punching bag just like they were to France and Norway. Senegal probably score 3+ against them today.
Cabo Verde 🇨🇻
- Everyone's favorite bracket buster! This team and this group is an absolute mess. Group H doesn't have an outright winner yet. Spain will play Uruguay. If Spain beats Uruguay (Which I think they will) Cabo Verde would finish second and qualify with just a draw here. I don't expect them to press Saudi Arabia much here. Even if Uruguay get points, Cabo Verde could qualify with a draw with their decent goal differentia. They currently have a 65% chance of advancing per random markets online, expect their game today to be super tough to bet on.
Saudi Arabia 🇸🇦
- Saudi Arabia have 1 point but could still qualify. This is the team playing Cabo Verde today. They need a win and nothing else will do. If they draw or lose to Cabo today they're going home. If they win, they're most likely going to sneak in either from second if Uruguay win or third with 4 points. They'll be highly motivated today, but they'll need to be a surprisingly tough Cabo Verde side.
Uruguay 🇺🇾
- Uruguay is in a tough spot. They need to get points off a Spain side who looked scary as they welcome back key players Lamine Yamal and Nico Williams. Mikel also continues to be a monster in the 9 spot. Uruguay needs to get at least a draw here. A win and they win the group. A draw and they're most likely getting through. A loss and they're gone.
Spain 🇪🇸
- On paper should be able to win today. Uruguay has looked awful defensively, and it's juts a question for me of how much does Spain want to pop off here. If they play their best starting 11 there's not many teams in the world who can beat them. I have them winning comfortably against Uruguay today.
New Zealand 🇳🇿
- Another frustrating group because technically no-one has won or is out of Group G yet. New Zealand survive if and only if they beat Belgium today. Belgium has been awful their first two matches, but do have the better quality on paper. This game is going to end like 4-0 Belgium or another 1-1 stupid draw LOL
Belgium 🇧🇪
- I'm not betting this team. I don't trust them and they're continuing to embarrass themselves. That being said, they should win today, and a win would guarantee them advancing to the next round. A draw they still could technically get through depending other things happening in their favor.
Egypt 🇪🇬
- Egypt are top of Group G at the moment. They only need a draw to guarantee they advance. If they win, it's better, but a draw, and Belgium not winning buy 3+ goals against New Zealand also keeps them in first, so it's one of those why risk it kind of situations.
Iran 🇮🇷
- Iran have 2 points in Group G. If they lose the game, they're in trouble. A win or a draw would be just fine for Iran. This group is going to be super messy today so be careful betting on them as nothing has been decided yet, but expect Iran to play for a low scoring draw today.
I am still shaking, no idea how I’m supposed to sleep now. 🤣
Wins like this are the reason I still choose to share all my content for free.
Tens of thousands of you tailed and I appreciate all the kind messages.
If you get a moment, please like or comment on my pinned tweet. It helps me grow!
Catch you all tomorrow when we try to hit another big one…
What a night! 💰
Best Bets for USA v Australia 🇺🇸🇦🇺
- BTTS +100
- USA over 1.5 TT -130
- Folarin Balogun TSOA +100
Score Prediction: 2-1 USA
I'm getting this out early because they lines are moving! USA TT was -110 last night - don't want us to miss any more!
BOL if you're tailing!
Live Plays Alert 🇪🇸🇨🇻
- Spain v Cabo Verde. Spain over 1.5 TT -125. Half Unit
- Spain v Cabo Verde. Spain over 2.5 TT. +260 Half Unit
Alright we lost our 1h bet but now let's bring on Yamal, let's bring on Williams, and let's open that bottle of ketchup!
0-1 on this game but now 3 active bets still to go! BOL!
I gave out 7-1 for my Germany prediction.
It’s 3-1 at half.
If I end up being correct, I will buy and ship a National Team Kit of your choice to 1 random person who likes and RTs this 💪
🏴Scotland 1 🇭🇹 Haiti 0
The ***TOP 25*** betting edges in my model all hit, including an 8-1!!!
My piece was here @ActionNetworkHQ: https://t.co/76z3kVP4mr
And here's my piece for the nightcap Australia vs. Turkey: https://t.co/naT8iQdjio
Canada v Bosnia & Herzegovina Bets.
🐶 Freya’s Bet: BTTS +110. Half unit
🪣 Bucket’s Bet: Bosnia & Herzegovina Double Chance +100. Half unit
Score prediction. 1-1 draw 😬
Are you Team Freya or Team Buckets??
BOL friends! 💪
I present to you all, my masterpiece!
Buckets' 2026 #WorldCup Betting Spreadsheet.
- Countless hours of prep
- 60 total futures
- Pre match and live bets to follow
- All for free. The #WorldCup is for everyone!
All I ask is that you like and RT to share with others!
The spreadsheet is in the comments right below. Check it out and enjoy my friends! ⚽️
I have never worked this hard on anything in my entire life, but after 2 weeks of work, my #WorldCup betting spreadsheet is finally done.
The World Cup is for everyone, so I’ll be dropping this entire sheet FOR FREE at 5pm ET. All you have to do is drop a like and RT the sheet when it drops to share it with as many people as possible!!
The sheet includes over 50 futures. Everything from outright winners, to individual awards, to group placements and everything in between.
We’ll be tracking all our futures, as well as our pre match and live bets all summer long in the spreadsheet.
This means a lot to me, and I’m really glad that I have an audience to share my time, effort and research with.
Here’s to the #WorldCup my friends! I’ll see you all this afternoon 💪