Every self interested human being that is going to compete in a darwinian world is going to agree that they want immutable, immortal and indestructible capital #BTC
Bottom signals so far:
• Dats unwound
• No basis trade anymore on CME
• Miner capitulation/difficulty down 18.5%, biggest since 2021 China ban
• Saylor forced to sell BTC/STRC depegged badly
• Spent time below 200W MA
• Went 17% below previous cycle ATH
• RSI oversold on weekly and made higher low now
What might be missing:
• Final big volume capitulation event
• Visiting the realised price ~$54k
We are close.
@Alsaeedd2@astronomer_zero He was buying the dip when we lost 116k. Kept adding as we fell deeper and kept pushing the limits of his trade idea further. Then 100k was lost and he kept his bullish stance all the way to the 2025 lows. Total bulltard on this correction. Usually pretty good trader tho.
Gold is currently the world's most crowded trade. Bitcoin is currently the world's most undervalued trade.
We’ve seen this movie in 2017 and 2021. The setup for a massive $BTC mean reversion is officially primed.
One is the past, one is the future. Choose wisely.
The first sign this bear market is ending won’t be where price trades (40k, 50k, 60k, 70k).
It’ll be how price reacts to news.
In bear markets, good news causes a brief pump - then price continues lower.
In bull markets, bad news gets shrugged off.
This is my third $BTC bull cycle.
After a while you realize something simple: narratives come and go, cycle structure doesn’t.
I’m not a big fan of moving averages,
but this one has defined every major regime so far:
The 111 / 365 DMA crossover.
It marked bull markets, bear markets,
and even moves like the 2019 +80% rally and −55% dump.
After New Year, it flipped bearish — for the first time since Q1 2022.
You can follow stories — supercycles and business cycles always sound sexy.
Or you can follow what has actually worked.
In the end, building an edge is on you.
If your made money in 2025, congrats. You already outperformed many
And if it didn't, then you need to be brutally honest with yourself now as we enter 2026 in order to figure out what went wrong so that you don't repeat the same mistakes this year
Take it from someone who has lost it all multiple times before – if you made it once, you can make it again
Stay patient
Stay focussed
Stay in the game
And you will be rewarded in 2026
ALERT - NATO boss warns "Russia has brought war back to Europe, and we must be prepared for the scale of war our grandparents and great-grandparents endured."
Monthly look pretty clear cut
You get clear cut longs on a breakout through the D M VAL
Could also act as a trigger for a short down into the poor structure below and potentially new lows for week
Monthly vwap should be a clean magnet should we break that mid 885s level
Happy trading
#BTC
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📈#Bitcoin LTF game plan 📈
$BTC really needs to hold here, keeping the recent higher lows in tack and have another attempt at the monthly open where it was rejected yesterday.
Losing Tuesdays low without an instant strong reaction will have me switching and looking for lower, ~100K or even lower.
#Crypto #BTC
$ETH / $USD - Update
I am out of my $3970 entry now on this pullback. Overall i really do see us putting in one more low once we have completed this consolidation phase
Plan accordingly.
If you missed the wick, don't force trades.
The better options are:
1. Wick refill - rebidding supports as the market drifts back towards the bottom ~1/3 of the wick.
2. Reclaim - buying strength away from the wick, reducing the likelihood that it drifts back to the low and allowing you to define your risk using the reclaimed level (closer to you), not the wick itself (invalidation 1000 miles away).
In simple terms: you want to be doing business close to the wick, or far away from it at a different level.
Don't diddle in the middle.
#btc I might have been early with my previous post but the theory is still in play. The closer we get to LMH, the more likely it becomes we take out the current monthly low imo.
Invalidation on new highs.