Dilaw

navigating a volatile world.
sharing free alpha.
Not Financial advice, always DYOR

[Dilaw @wildsheit]

@aleabitoreddit everything is tradable, right mate ?

[Dilaw @wildsheit]

probably nothing

[Dilaw @wildsheit]

The photonics supply chain just got a lot clearer :
Laser sources are the chokepoint. Nvidia pre-allocated EML capacity to 2027+ and there are exactly 5 names that matter: $LITE, $COHR, $6503.T (Mitsubishi), $5802.T (sumitomo), $AVGO
Then there's sivers $SIVE — the swedish micro-cap that just got its laser arrays embedded into globalfoundries' SCALE platform (the industry's first OCI MSA-compliant CPO architecture)
→ Two parallel CPO supply chains forming (TSMC COUPE + GF SCALE) → both need external light sources → Addressable laser market just got bigger
The ecosystem is wide but the value concentrates at the laser layer — scarcity + no substitutes = pricing power.

[Dilaw @wildsheit]

@aleabitoreddit Noble gesture, hats off to you

[Dilaw @wildsheit]

WSB is a different breed and I respect it.

These are the people on the other side of the trade.

[Dilaw @wildsheit]

@Gubloinvestor Definitely not you

[Dilaw @wildsheit]

@Gubloinvestor This didn’t age well

[Dilaw @wildsheit]

@theragingbullX Shorts preventing the double digit breakout of 10€. It was gonna send em KO once and for all.

[Dilaw @wildsheit]

Hey colleagues, a lesson on buying dips with conviction

$SIVE : Sivers semiconductors. First entry at €0.91.

Every time the stock dipped, we bought more. Not panic sold. Not froze. Bought.

→ €0.91 first entry, sized in
→ Dip hit? Added
→ Dip again? Added again
→ Kept stacking while others were exiting

The thesis never changed. The price just kept giving us better entries

→ Photonics + wireless semi hidden in a swedish micro-cap
→ Nasdaq dual listing still incoming
→ Pentagon EW contract not priced in
→ Jabil partnership sitting there ignored by the market

Turbulence isn’t a stop sign. It’s a discount window

The ones who win long term aren’t the ones who time perfectly. They’re the ones who stay when it’s uncomfortable and add when it’s ugly

Still holding. Still adding on weakness.

Conviction.

[Dilaw @wildsheit]

Two names. Two different Chips Acts. both matter 🧵

$SIVE — US CHIPS Act, direct hit
Sivers received $6M from the US CHIPS Act via the Northeast Microelectronics Coalition Hub — executed through the Naval Surface Warfare Center — to develop FR3 beamformer chips for 5G/6G. partners on the program : Ericsson, Raytheon, MIT, Boston University.

Read that again. a Swedish company is being funded by the US government to build strategic chip technology on American soil.

That's not a grant. That's a signal. Washington classified Sivers' photonics tech as critical to US national security. the Nasdaq dual listing isn't just about capital access — it's the logical next step for a company already embedded in the US defense industrial base.

$XFAB — EU Chips Act, structural tailwind
X-FAB doesn't receive direct EU funding. but its entire business model sits inside the EU Chips Act's target zone. the EU just approved €211M in Italian state aid for photonic chip development — exactly XFAB's specialty. and Chips Act 2.0 was proposed today (June 3) with a goal of mobilising €200B by 2035 for European semiconductor sovereignty.

XFAB operates specialty fabs in Germany and France building SiC, photonics, and analog chips — the three categories the EU has explicitly ring-fenced as strategic. every European company that gets Chips Act money to develop chips needs a foundry to make them. XFAB is that foundry.

→ SIVE : already in the US defense supply chain. listing formalises it.

→ XFAB : EU industrial policy is building a moat around its customer base.

Two different angles. Same structural theme : Western governments are paying to rebuild semiconductor sovereignty. These two names are in the middle of that.

Bullish

$SIVE $XFAB #Semiconductors #ChipsAct

[Dilaw @wildsheit]

@ParadisLabs $XFAB govs subsidizing capex is huge.

[Dilaw @wildsheit]

$STAK is ripping today
stock up +100%. $20M market cap. Chinese oilfield equipment maker based in Changzhou.
no press release. No SEC filing. No catalyst. NADA.
volume : 27M shares traded today. 30-day average : 408K.
Oh — and it only avoided Nasdaq delisting 6 weeks ago. was trading at $0.29 not long ago.
Be safe out there,

[Dilaw @wildsheit]

@aleabitoreddit Big up. Well deserved mate

[Dilaw @wildsheit]

@aleabitoreddit Any $SIVE shorts at the menu ? Again

[Dilaw @wildsheit]

$LASE just doubled in a day.
$35M market cap this morning. DoD selected their anti-drone laser system under the MEIA Vulcan program. Client list includes NASA, GE, J&J, Sony, Coca-Cola.

That's 26x normal volume on a nano-cap with a defense catalyst.
No contract signed yet. just a door opening. But when the market is allocating $70B to counter-drone tech — even a small piece of that is transformational for a company this size.
Red flags : filed late 10-Q. Cash was at $0.65M last quarter.

This is a high RiskReward play
To be continued,
$LASE #DefenseTech #Photonics

[Serenity @aleabitoreddit]

Tbh $XFAB lowkey reminds me of early $TSEM.

Just sub <$2B MC.

You basically never find a company with $NVDA and $NOK actively validating your pre-commercial silicon photonics foundry… (photonixFAB)

While getting CHIPS act/Gov grants to subsidize capex.

While leading the Europe’s effort to build a photonics supply chain.

Feels like that alone would justify valuations… but you get the power semi SiC/GaN operations for free too and all its assets.

CHIPS act 2 is coming out tomorrow, and $XFAB is listed in the photonics blueprints.

Did I miss something?

Or did markets miss something?

[Dilaw @wildsheit]

+162.86% YTD

I don’t post performance often. But when a short seller drops a report on one of your core positions and the stock squeezes +50% and more - you let the chart speak.

$SIVE did a lot of the work today, we saw that coming

Still plenty of runway.

[Dilaw @wildsheit]

$SIVEF is ripping higher. +50% EU session.

@NingiResearch is paying the bill to retail

Ningi was right on the old management. Wrong timing, wrong on the catalyst stack and now they’re covering.

[NINGI RESEARCH @NingiResearch]

We are short $SIVE.

A retail-driven pump built on speculative hyperscaler links, a fabricated bottleneck narrative, and a rumored volume ramp-up has driven a 1,800%+ rally in $SIVE.ST.

Insiders sold ~29M shares into it. Here's what they're not telling you.👇 Full report: https://t.co/4QEyuXQIQb

[Dilaw @wildsheit]

@aleabitoreddit Squeeze the juice out of them