@PepInvestStocks It’s all the freakin goons buying leveraged ETF’s that get crushed and are forced to sell. Hedge funds see this happening and short it before forced selling and ka-blam. Stocks sell off hard. No fundamentals have change. Invest with conviction. 💎🤲
@NingiResearch $SIVE isn’t unique to raising capital in this manner. And if you can’t tell by today, it seems that the broader market is selling off, not just $SIVE. With aggressive uptrend often comes aggressive sell offs. Small cap stocks tend to do this. Doesn’t mean the company is worthless
@DrJStrategy@BillAckman How can you say the memory trade is over when way smarter people (Jensen, Elon, etc) have said at exhaustion that memory companies simply cannot make enough chips to supply demand? With inference & humanoid robots around the corner that will take almost 30x more memory compute
@AlexMasonCrypto I’ve seen like 4 different accounts tweet the exact same thing. No one knows exactly what’s going to happen. If someone says they know exactly what’s going to happen, you should probably do the opposite.
@charliebilello Do people ever think that this may not be the same situation and outcome as the dot-com bubble? AI compute, inference, and infrastructure is a whole different ball game compared to what we went through with dot-com bubble. But 🤷♂️ only time will tell
Why did the market sell off Thursday and Friday? If you are panicing about the sell-off, I will explain what is happening and the future moving forward.
1. $AVGO earnings.
> Revenue beat. EPS beat.
> AI revenue doubled year over year to 10.8B.
> Guided Q3 AI revenue to 16B. Consensus - 17.2B.
16B in AI revenue is a TRIPLE of what they did a year ago. Tripling year over year got punished as a disappointment. A 7 percent miss against consensus, on a number that still represents 3x growth, erased 300B in market cap.
When market is pricing in 27/28 year timelines, the margins become extremely razor thin. Even though they are TRIPLING numbers, expections wanted more.
Broadcom even told you the cause directly. $GOOGL was late confirming data center specs. Broadcom builds custom silicon, so no finalized spec means no finalized order. The revenue did not vanish. It slipped a quarter.
2. Macro
> Jobs report came in hot. 172k vs 85k expected.
> Strong economy means sticky inflation means no rate cut.
> 10Y jumped to 4.54% instantly.
> Rate hike odds by year end went from 49% to nearly 70% in a week.
Post earnings is when institutions routinely trim to derisk. That mechanical selling landed on the exact same days as the hot jobs print and the war headlines.
Overextension plus leverage unwind plus bad macro, all at once. That is your Thursday and Friday.
3. So is this the top?
> 2027 AI revenue guide held above 100B
> Q3 total revenue guide of 29.4B beat consensus
> Customer commitments with Meta, Google, OpenAI, Anthropic confirmed through 2029
> Streets guiding 10x rev from SpaceX
> Mag-7 capex guided upwards recently aswell
The long term demand curve did not bend. The price just got ahead of it.
This is not a plateau. Tripling year over year is the opposite of a slowdown.
This is a price correction in an overextended tape, not a thesis break.
The leverage flush takes a few days to clear. Watch that, not the headlines.
The customers are still coming. They are just running late.
Have a good weekend.
@athuinvests I don’t know how sold I am on $BRUN when you could buy $CRWV or $NBIS. $CRWV may have been the steal of the year today bouncing off its 200dma
$CIEN just reported a quarter that says everything you need to know about the state of the optical networking industry.
> $COHR and $LITE is the supply chain bottleneck currently. Ciena called out pump lasers and CDMs as active constraints.
> $SIVE is a bet on the next bottleneck. Today it’s pump lasers and CDMs. Tomorrow, as AI clusters scale past 1.6T toward co-packaged optics, the constraint shifts to external light sources, multi-wavelength laser arrays that sit outside the GPU package.
> $AAOI rides the 800G transceiver wave. Ciena is more than doubling its own pluggable revenu, AAOI is one of the few qualified suppliers on the other side of that link, with $124M in 800G orders from a single hyperscaler since mid-March and a second customer already shipping.
> $GLW wins on volume. When Ciena says hyperscalers are building multi-rail systems running multiple fiber pairs in parallel over hundreds of kilometers, that’s a fiber density multiplier.
> $NOK is the competitive read. Nokia acquired Infinera to compete in this space. Ciena’s hyperscaler wins and margin expansion put direct pressure on Nokia’s optical unit, a Ciena share gain here is often a Nokia share loss there.
The bottom line: Ciena’s quarter confirms that AI infrastructure spending is cascading from GPUs → networking → optical components → fiber. The entire optical supply chain is supply-constrained, not demand-constrained. That reprices the margin and growth outlook for every company in the chain.
$CIEN $COHR $LITE $GLW $FN $AAOI $SIVE $ANET $NOK $NVDA
@kastriooot8 @_gautam_94 @aleabitoreddit Calling it a “meme” stock is wild… it doesn’t seem like you’ve looked into much of their business. Are they small? Yes. Do they have a path to growth? Absolutely, especially if you’ve done any research into the sector. Has it been pumped? Yes, but it doesn’t mean it’s a meme
@kastriooot8 @_gautam_94 @aleabitoreddit But why? Can you give more than two reasons why it’s “reckless.” It’s frustrating when people just blow hot air out of their mouth with no data or facts to back it up.
$SIVE executing US NASDAQ listing from Reuters.
Welcome to America Sivers.
I said Sivers looks like it should be valued at $2B+ soon based on today's fundamentals.
And US institutions will likely be piling into the laser supplier for $MRVL and $JBL once it's on NASDAQ.
This comes after a highly bullish 2.5% raise today from new "international institutional investors" to likely fund regulatory/audit requirements for the listing.
"The investors in the Directed Share Issue comprise of a limited number of Swedish and international institutional and other qualified investors"
We’ll likely going to see a parabolic ride up from the news.
In just the last three days:
-> $JBL 1.6T to use $SIVE
-> $SIVE new US/international institutional investors
-> $SIVE looks to be listed on NASDAQ.
We're witnessing the birth of the next $LITE.