Bitcoin finally ran hard, and it came off a long base at the lows.
ETH, SOL, XRP followed. I don't think this is the top β I think it's the start. The money is still sitting in equities and that rotation takes time.
Buying here isn't wrong. It's just early.
My side: loaded USDT at KRW, moved it offshore, trading from there. When the market overheats and the kimchi premium returns, I bring it back and unwind. PnL, then FX and the premium on top.
After a year of bleeding, the market turned. That's when alt season shows up.
Recent Upbit listings haven't moved badly β some moved well.
CYS +32%, AIOZ +12%, GRVT +23% on the listing announcement alone.
Proof that Korea-only volume still exists.
But with 16 KRW-market listings in a single month since July, that volume can't concentrate anywhere.
Once this phase ends and listings become rare again, saved-up volume can produce a real move.
Upbit posts a listing announcement almost every day.
Listings used to be an event. Now they are a schedule. An event that happens every day is not an event.
New supply gets dumped into the KRW market, and the KRW that was waiting absorbs it. New money is not coming in. The money that was already there is leaving too.
The strategy of parking money on the exchange to catch the listing pump died long ago. The more ammo you keep waiting, the more you simply become the exit.
The tether price in KRW staying suppressed is the same story.
Moving your seed abroad now means buying tether cheap, so the conversion loss is actually small. But it also means the domestic market as a whole is getting thin.
Either way, what is needed now is not a position but waiting.
So the conclusion is to watch. Whether KRW market volume recovers without listings. Whether the kimchi premium gets out of negative. If even one of them turns, think again then.
Until then, doing nothing is the highest return.
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