Nat Harper

Crypto hodler since 2011.

[Nat Harper @winharper]

12345678sc

[Nat Harper @winharper]

@degencoder somewhere a subagent is leaking. some code is creating multiple claude subagents, you need to shut that down.

[𝔰𝔱𝔬𝔫 𓆏 @stonXBT]

DOM is my least talked, most used tools in intraday trading.

Despite that there are no direct "signals" that I derive from it that are acted upon in isolation.
Regardless information from it adds greatly to a trade thesis and odds. As well as order placement, execution.

[Ozzy @ozzy_livin]

Figured out the algorithm

[Nat Harper @winharper]

@ZFXtrading you expect it to go below 571?

[Miad @ZFXtrading]

Generational SPY Trade

Strongest money shot and highest conviction trade idea of the quarter:

1-Wait for the VIX to spike into the low to mid 20s
2-Let the indices flush and raid downside liquidity
3-Then load SPY April 17th calls targeting the 571–574 monthly gap fill

*50 years of conflict data + inside candle failures + seasonal weakness ending = maximum confluence
(DYOR)

[Nat Harper @winharper]

@ZFXtrading which other ones beyond NFCI out of 105 indicators is useful? Also 105 - wow! Tremendous effort!

[Nat Harper @winharper]

its buy the eth dip time

[Nat Harper @winharper]

12345678sc https://t.co/Pk9hxd86La

[Nat Harper @winharper]

12345678sc

[Nat Harper @winharper]

@DuckDuckGo

[Nat Harper @winharper]

@Dynamo_Patrick its the $mstr effect, engineering keeping btc on balance sheet to raise money to buy more btc. Various companies stacking btc means btc demand is not the same as crypto demand anymore. Ironically, bnb and meme coins have consistent buying mechanism that eth and sol lack.

[Nat Harper @winharper]

@_Checkmatey_ tokenomics became inflationary. even the pectra upgrade moves people to pay less fees. Efficiency is not cascaded as needed, efficiency is balanced for some future need, not current needs. usage moved on to l2 or sol because effort was not put in for sub 0 second confirmations.

[Nat Harper @winharper]

Unfortunately don't think eth pectra upgrade improves ethbtc price. Till eth doesn't see higher burn and convexity kicks in, price won't improve. Pectra should further reduce burn rate in fact as more l2 use blobs.

(ETH easily goes down as my worst trade.)

[Nat Harper @winharper]

Ah don't think we are getting a crypto fund now. This seems wrong. Flip flopping is putting me in so much doubt.

[Nat Harper @winharper]

US crypto fund should decouple equities from btc. Seems like we are before disbelief on the wall street psychology chart. "Suckers rally."

Can we be at denial? Notice 78k wick and 81k wick. Denial would have 78k and 73k. High probability we are at disbelief.

[Nat Harper @winharper]

@htltimor 78k (high volume) and 81k wick (not as high volume - test?) eaten up. Could this not be wyckoff accumulation phase C? Im not that good with wyckoff and don't want to make errors out of hopium, so asking. (I thought wyckoff distribution meant lower highs, not higher lows)

[Nat Harper @winharper]

US crypto fund should decouple equities from btc. Seems like we are before disbelief on the wall street psychology chart. "Suckers rally."

Can we be at denial? Notice 78k wick and 81k wick. Denial would have 78k and 73k. High probability we are at disbelief.

[Nat Harper @winharper]

macro bias still says we go down / chop for a bit more after 1-2 weeks. focus on volume. high volume + green candle or high volume + red candle will show where we are this week.

[Nat Harper @winharper]

@satinvictus @mrkh009 where do you share more details?

[Nat Harper @winharper]

@milesdeutscher wasnt that because of rune?