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@basedjensen should just give the compute to whale bros so we get opensource mythos

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@lumpenspace they are forcing pseudo-pause with the next stage being nationalization of all the labs into "manhatten project for safety"? We will not see mythos class models from the US until chinese ones get released in a year

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@teortaxesTex looks like oai/deepmind is going to get all the laid off anthropic foreign nationals? Wonder if any of them will be from the pretraining team?

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@AnthropicAI

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@pleometric ssc/lesswrong/gwern-sphere were peak pendants

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@pleometric Don't comment that much on reddit, but I'm a elder* in slatestarcodex--one of the only subreddits that I use to read.
*joined 3 years prior to 2023

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@sichuan_mala @bryancsk there main focus is always on rsi, coding, everything else is distraction. its all just a justification for why they(US) should be the sole stewards for asi, and everything dario says publicly since starting anthropic should be interpreted that way

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@seconds_0 @shakoistsLog wanghalved

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@FleischmanMena the scenario is a bit scifi, so that part only makes sense if you take the assume: most consumption decisions move to the digital assitant

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@teortaxesTex Many will prefer scrolling slotok or frolicking with their family. for the rest of the world it feels more like a retvrn to Qing era imperialism, the software advantage between countries will largely be ignored with some protectionist policies and priortising CN opensource models

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a crux of the scenario is speed, if we slow it down enough, we solve brain emulations, add 《Universal basic Upload》 , fund it with more with DBCFT on the big labs or nationalize and restrict there training to US. instead of the doom (Utopian) scenario where Burgers are reduced to permanent underclass UBIcels..

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@jiqizhixin @doomslide

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@joequant I think that's AI generated Mearsheimer.. pretty neat.

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@joequant @selectsand @AngelicaOung Do you have any history books you particularly like?

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@sailaunderscore Where's the hk dollar attack

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@joequant @GlennLuk broke: tether fraud implies that they were previously insolvent

woke: tether was always 1:1 backed by money hidden in hk before 2022.

bespoke: Their fraud was covering up some bigger deposit of suspicious funds and probably had a separate balance sheet like SBF.

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@nabeelqu worse in aus where you have high tax, forced savings, massive tax benefits property/landlords.
(Basically designed to max extract young working class, a semi-permanent underclass and otherwise waiting for inheritance or escaping the country)

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@nearcyan Saw this "bug" mentioned by a few traders over the past year; expect many more Black Swans to come--
Still so early in the Noticings

https://t.co/OTt4PdHTmH

[Agustin Lebron @AgustinLebron3]

Prediction markets (if they take off) could end up being a society-destroying development. 🧵

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@doomslide Boring Timeline (..-2028): AGI productivity expectation is replaces with waifubot-stagflation

Labs valuations crash; a 2008 style doomloop follows:

projection mismatch-> GPU debt credit risk-> US money supply go brrr #saveopenai-> poorer consoomer, less Tokens -> repeat

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@apralky In a month