Woofatility

I’m just a happy dog, not financial advice

[Woofatility @woofatility]

@Arya__Deniz Congrats man, I'm so happy for you. Great trades on buying the dip on rates, selling the start of month in indexes (with all the equity supply) and now buying the dip hard. Kudos.

[Woofatility @woofatility]

@Arya__Deniz Insane trade sir, congratulations 👏👏👏

[Woofatility @woofatility]

@Arya__Deniz btw really like your color and trading, been a silent follower for a little while. Great call on bonds!

[Woofatility @woofatility]

@Arya__Deniz Hey Arya, where do you see that June seasonality is adverse for SMH? 2022 seems to me like a one-off (May CPI and the big reversal from the May rally), otherwise '18 and '14 square off.

'22: -16.7%
'18: -4.2%
'14: +6.8%

[Woofatility @woofatility]

@stevehou Goat 🐐

[Woofatility @woofatility]

@CRUDEOIL231 @nuhesmik JH thank you for all your insightful posts+replies. I agree with your points on Iran’s endurance to longer conflict. I just can’t fit Araghchi’s tweet into this narrative…why/how did he concede Hormuz so quickly if Iran can endure much longer? Is there a split in Iran diplomats?

[Woofatility @woofatility]

@DynamicMoats As mentioned above re: positioning and the risk of holding through an MoU ^^^

[Seyed Abbas Araghchi @araghchi]

In line with the ceasefire in Lebanon, the passage for all commercial vessels through Strait of Hormuz is declared completely open for the remaining period of ceasefire, on the coordinated route as already announced by Ports and Maritime Organisation of the Islamic Rep. of Iran.

[Woofatility @woofatility]

@DynamicMoats Fair. Oil: think it's more positioning. Paper is super long, saw graph that vol-adj paper is multiples longer oil than even 2022. Headline triggers liquidations: a stairway up, elevator down market. No one wants to hold the bag when MoU is announced & prompt gaps down $8- handle

[Woofatility @woofatility]

@macropotamus + El Erian

[Woofatility @woofatility]

@CRUDEOIL231 @KingDegen0x Morgan Stanley had a great writeup on this just last week - it was 40 pages haha

[Woofatility @woofatility]

@CRUDEOIL231 @JoshYoung The brutal 2 hours when Brent is closed but WTI is open and bloodbath liquidations happening 😭😭😭. Tbh given the size of the move, the Brent verticals didn’t lose THAT much. Congrats on your amazing thus far.

[Woofatility @woofatility]

@CRUDEOIL231 You’ve been such a valuable voice sharing a wealth of detailed knowledge throughout this whole conflict. Thank you once again!!! Insights and truths very few others know!!

[Woofatility @woofatility]

@macropotamus Don’t see this headline anywhere else? What’s the source?

[Woofatility @woofatility]

@macropotamus Bonds also sold off… so it’s not like the rebal is a clear equity buy

[Woofatility @woofatility]

@yieldsearcher I think positioning is paper handed for a TACO... many cleaned out on headline risks... it's a steady grind to those levels, then elevator to reversion on taco headline...

[Woofatility @woofatility]

@IliaBouchouev Since March 17th oil is down 13% in Asia hours

[Woofatility @woofatility]

@Merridew__ 100% hit rate?

[Woofatility @woofatility]

@Merridew__ And SONIA is a beautiful name for a baby girl

[Woofatility @woofatility]

@PauloMacro And the 1 year anniversary of Great Day to Buy