Dynamicmoats

Allocator of things to allocate. Views are my own. Not investment advice. DOW IS AT 50,000

[Dynamicmoats @DynamicMoats]

Chinese competition comes for all

[Jaya Gupta @JayaGup10]

Anthropic's growth slowed from 147% to 45% quarter over quarter.... and that was before its price cuts hit. Opus was cut 20% on Sep22. Haiku was cut 90% and Sonnet's cache reads 50% on Oct7, after the quarter closed. Q4 is the first quarter that has to absorb them!

[Hemingway Capital @lfg_cap]

probably nothing

[The Transcript @TheTranscript_]

$ACN Accenture Chief AI and Data Officer: "So in fact, Manish, the Tokenomics research that you and I did a couple of months ago, actually prove that there's only 10% to 20% of the enterprise workflow justify the use of the frontier model capabilities. So many companies just started realizing that not every model, every workflow deserves the most expensive model."

[Dynamicmoats @DynamicMoats]

China open source still maintains a close gap to US frontiers

Good for consumer surplus

[Ramez Naam @ramez]

Based on this, Kimi K3.1 Pro is ~5 weeks behind the US frontier. That's the shortest the open / closed AI model gap has ever been.

[Dynamicmoats @DynamicMoats]

@rev_cap it's the private market business model

[Dynamicmoats @DynamicMoats]

@BillyTheKid_59 Preemptive pardons will be issued so not a big issue for them

[Dynamicmoats @DynamicMoats]

God help those running TMT market neutral pods and SMAs

[LeftHandedOctopus @AggieCapitalist]

from MS just now: MSZZTMTM has posted a +/-5% move in a single session 65x in '26 alone, 1 in 3 trading days YTD. We saw just 9 such moves during the height of COVID volatility in '20, the previous record. That's >7x the prior record, with over two months still left in the year.

[Dynamicmoats @DynamicMoats]

@HatfieldCapital @WaterworldCapi1 what do you own...

[Dynamicmoats @DynamicMoats]

$CRAK

[Dynamicmoats @DynamicMoats]

Almost time to short refiners?

[Dynamicmoats @DynamicMoats]

It's wild that there is still so much money pairing long semis with short software

[Dynamicmoats @DynamicMoats]

Software is eating AI hardware

$IGV $SOXX

[Dynamicmoats @DynamicMoats]

Software is eating AI hardware

$IGV $SOXX

[Dynamicmoats @DynamicMoats]

@WaterworldCapi1 "what's your process?"

"everyday, at 7am, we decide whether to be long software short semi or long semi short software"

[Dynamicmoats @DynamicMoats]

@WaterworldCapi1 short sellers?

but yeah, bummer on the long thesis now

[Dynamicmoats @DynamicMoats]

@compound248 https://t.co/xrhKgIhbh1

[Dynamicmoats @DynamicMoats]

$META Zuck is not cutting, he’ll accelerate, risk of not taking enough risk is too high

[Dynamicmoats @DynamicMoats]

@ACapitalLP Other than euro sovereigns

[Dynamicmoats @DynamicMoats]

@ACapitalLP What have been the big loser trades?

[Dynamicmoats @DynamicMoats]

In May and June, stocks went up 20% pre market on news releases

Now we invert

[Gus - The Italian Investor @italianinvesto]

$FPS is down 12% in pre-market because it announced a CFO transition.
Is this market okay? 🤡
Forgent's new CFO is Amy Ard, Forgent’s Executive Vice President of Finance.
$FPS is one of the best growth stocks out there right now, imo.

[Dynamicmoats @DynamicMoats]

Persistent and eternal cyber warfare is a compute heavy large TAM

[Joe Weisenthal @TheStalwart]

A lot of things seem to be getting hacked

[Dynamicmoats @DynamicMoats]

@nachkari The Middle East will happily fund it

[Dynamicmoats @DynamicMoats]

Upwards of $1 trillion

$META

[Dynamicmoats @DynamicMoats]

How many hundred billions will $META end up raising?