@PlusEVAnalytics Yea. I'm just missing it. I dont see how your approach takes opponent or anything else into account, it just uses season averages for two components and then makes up the 3rd based on those first two. It takes the ratio between the averages into account which is good I suppose.
@PlusEVAnalytics I don’t have answer. We talking quasi-live (like during the halftime break) or pregame?
Would assume you need to account for anticipated rotations either way which makes modeling exponentially more difficult vs team level imo.
@truepokerjoe Of course Vegas doesn’t actually “know” anything. It sort of depends on who is speaking the statement as to whether we need to bother with correcting it. Idk. This market efficiency thing doesn’t seem particularly ground breaking to me.
@Gingfacekillah @darjohn25 It really sucks that this artificially lowers the overall rating for your excellent books. I will say that people who are both 1) unable to figure it out and 2) unwilling/incapable of reaching out for help don’t stand a chance anyways but a shame it affects your book’s ratings.
@Degen4Plen @checkshoved @DonBestSports https://t.co/gTIZeuoxr2 (formally https://t.co/kuzkrLc30g) was on the right path and was then bought by OddsJam which offers a bullshit service and cranked the price to like $1k a month. But its not that hard of a business to replicate. Just need to put a good team together.