George C | x9Lab

Every MLB game, scouted before first pitch.
Rare stats, pitch maps and matchups that decide the game.

[George C | x9Lab @x9LabHQ]

Scout Report
ALCS Game 6 | #Guardians @ #Rays
Shawn Armstrong (opener) vs Freddy Peralta
8:08pm ET | Tropicana Field | Rays lead 3-2

Freddy Peralta throws his four-seamer 54% of the time at around 94.5 mph, and Chase DeLauter is hitting .376 against four-seamers. Cleveland is one loss from going home and is starting a reliever. The Guardians need runs early off Peralta how can DeLauter get over Peralta who has been lights out since his trade from the Mets.

Guardians on the mound
Shawn Armstrong is listed as the starter, so by default this could be an opener into a long reliever. He has been Cleveland's best Arm this October : six appearances, 7.2 innings, no runs, two hits, no walks and six strikeouts. He also threw 13 pitches in Game 4 and 13 in Game 5, so tonight is a third straight day of work so how he can handle a 3rd day will be key to the start of this game. Expect an inning or so, then Slade Cecconi, Joey Cantillo and Tanner Bibee, with Gavin Williams held for a Game 7.

Rays on the mound
Peralta's Game 2 line against this lineup: 6 innings, four hits, no runs, two walks, six strikeouts on 99 pitches. He also got two outs in relief in Game 4 on 9 pitches. His postseason line is 11.1 innings with one earned run. He carries a 4.42 ERA and 4.28 FIP for the season which right now might aswelll be ignored because since the increased changeup usage with the rays he has been electric. The season has a 21.8% strikeout rate, and a 1.69 ERA in four starts at Tropicana Field. The four-seamer is the majority of the pitches at 54% and 94.5 mph.

Key Matchup: DeLauter vs Peralta
DeLauter is hitting .376 against four-seamers, .235 against changeups and .211 against curveballs. His best zone is low and middle (.362 xwOBA). Peralta needs the fastball to get ahead to then set up the nasty Changeup. Steven Kwan (.311 vs four-seamers) hits in front of him, so a walk to Kwan puts DeLauter up with a runner on.

Pitching plan
Keep the four-seamer up and out of the low-middle zone, and spend it early in counts. Finish with the curveball or the changeup, the two pitches DeLauter has not handled. With Kwan on base, do not give in with a fastball at the knees.

Bullpens
Yesterday Tampa Bay used Baker (14), Booser (10) and Wells (5). Cleveland used Cade Smith (22), Hunter Gaddis (19), Tim Herrin (18), Erik Sabrowski (18) and Armstrong (13). Across Games 4 and 5, Herrin has 32 pitches, Armstrong 26 and Baker 26. Seymour (29 on Saturday) and Kelly (16) were unused Sunday. Cleveland's late arms all worked yesterday, which is why the opening innings matter so much.

X-Factor
Peralta's walk rate. It sits at 10.8%, and Cleveland's runners are the threat. Two free passes in front of DeLauter or Jo Adell is how a bullpen game steals a Game 7.

#Guardians #Rays #MLB #PostSeason

Raw block (2026 regular season)

Lineups (CONFIRMED)
CLE: Kwan LF, Ramírez 3B, DeLauter RF, Adell DH, Lowe 1B, Bazzana 2B, Bailey C, Halpin CF, Rocchio SS
TB: Y. Díaz DH, Aranda 1B, Hicks C, Caminero 3B, Simpson LF, Mesa Jr. RF, DeLuca CF, Palacios 2B, Walls SS

Catchers
Hicks: pop 1.97, arm 82.0, CS 16% of 69, CS above avg +2.6, framing +1.4
Bailey: pop 1.85, arm 84.5, CS 30% of 81, CS above avg +5.3, framing +4.6

Running game
TB: 164 SB, 54 CS. Simpson 46 for 60, Walls 21 for 24, DeLuca 17 for 23. Team sprint 27.7. Fastest: Simpson 29.4, DeLuca 29.3
CLE: 146 SB, 31 CS. Ramírez 37 for 41, Rocchio 20 for 27, Bazzana 19 for 25. Team sprint 26.7. Fastest: Bazzana 28.3, Adell 28.3

Offense (GB / FB / IFFB / pull / K / barrel / hard-hit / xwOBA)
TB: 45.6 / 31.8 / 8.8 / 42.0 / 18.8 / 5.7 / 34.6 / .304
CLE: 41.0 / 34.7 / 9.0 / 47.0 / 20.8 / 5.8 / 35.0 / .305

Staff GB% / popup%
TB 40.4 / 8.0
CLE 41.9 / 8.3

OAA (team / IF / OF)
TB +6 / minus 30 / +36. DeLuca +13, Simpson +8, Mesa Jr. +7, Caminero minus 12
CLE +13 / +15 / minus 2. Rocchio +12, Kwan +7, DeLauter +2

Bullpen (ERA / K-BB / GB)
TB 3.99 / 14.0% / 39.9%
CLE 3.54 / 17.2% / 39.9%

[George C | x9Lab @x9LabHQ]

@jasonmyrt You single handlely turned the season around . We need a puck cancer in the rafters

[George C | x9Lab @x9LabHQ]

@JackFritzWIP Watch them lose tonight and become like every team in Philly in October

[George C | x9Lab @x9LabHQ]

30 mins till first pitch.

Cleveland Guardians @ Tampa Bay Rays

Game 6 ALCS

Read the scouting report below 👇

#MLB #GuardsBall #RaysUp

[George C | x9Lab @x9LabHQ]

Scout Report
ALCS Game 6 | #Guardians @ #Rays
Shawn Armstrong (opener) vs Freddy Peralta
8:08pm ET | Tropicana Field | Rays lead 3-2

Freddy Peralta throws his four-seamer 54% of the time at around 94.5 mph, and Chase DeLauter is hitting .376 against four-seamers. Cleveland is one loss from going home and is starting a reliever. The Guardians need runs early off Peralta how can DeLauter get over Peralta who has been lights out since his trade from the Mets.

Guardians on the mound
Shawn Armstrong is listed as the starter, so by default this could be an opener into a long reliever. He has been Cleveland's best Arm this October : six appearances, 7.2 innings, no runs, two hits, no walks and six strikeouts. He also threw 13 pitches in Game 4 and 13 in Game 5, so tonight is a third straight day of work so how he can handle a 3rd day will be key to the start of this game. Expect an inning or so, then Slade Cecconi, Joey Cantillo and Tanner Bibee, with Gavin Williams held for a Game 7.

Rays on the mound
Peralta's Game 2 line against this lineup: 6 innings, four hits, no runs, two walks, six strikeouts on 99 pitches. He also got two outs in relief in Game 4 on 9 pitches. His postseason line is 11.1 innings with one earned run. He carries a 4.42 ERA and 4.28 FIP for the season which right now might aswelll be ignored because since the increased changeup usage with the rays he has been electric. The season has a 21.8% strikeout rate, and a 1.69 ERA in four starts at Tropicana Field. The four-seamer is the majority of the pitches at 54% and 94.5 mph.

Key Matchup: DeLauter vs Peralta
DeLauter is hitting .376 against four-seamers, .235 against changeups and .211 against curveballs. His best zone is low and middle (.362 xwOBA). Peralta needs the fastball to get ahead to then set up the nasty Changeup. Steven Kwan (.311 vs four-seamers) hits in front of him, so a walk to Kwan puts DeLauter up with a runner on.

Pitching plan
Keep the four-seamer up and out of the low-middle zone, and spend it early in counts. Finish with the curveball or the changeup, the two pitches DeLauter has not handled. With Kwan on base, do not give in with a fastball at the knees.

Bullpens
Yesterday Tampa Bay used Baker (14), Booser (10) and Wells (5). Cleveland used Cade Smith (22), Hunter Gaddis (19), Tim Herrin (18), Erik Sabrowski (18) and Armstrong (13). Across Games 4 and 5, Herrin has 32 pitches, Armstrong 26 and Baker 26. Seymour (29 on Saturday) and Kelly (16) were unused Sunday. Cleveland's late arms all worked yesterday, which is why the opening innings matter so much.

X-Factor
Peralta's walk rate. It sits at 10.8%, and Cleveland's runners are the threat. Two free passes in front of DeLauter or Jo Adell is how a bullpen game steals a Game 7.

#Guardians #Rays #MLB #PostSeason

Raw block (2026 regular season)

Lineups (CONFIRMED)
CLE: Kwan LF, Ramírez 3B, DeLauter RF, Adell DH, Lowe 1B, Bazzana 2B, Bailey C, Halpin CF, Rocchio SS
TB: Y. Díaz DH, Aranda 1B, Hicks C, Caminero 3B, Simpson LF, Mesa Jr. RF, DeLuca CF, Palacios 2B, Walls SS

Catchers
Hicks: pop 1.97, arm 82.0, CS 16% of 69, CS above avg +2.6, framing +1.4
Bailey: pop 1.85, arm 84.5, CS 30% of 81, CS above avg +5.3, framing +4.6

Running game
TB: 164 SB, 54 CS. Simpson 46 for 60, Walls 21 for 24, DeLuca 17 for 23. Team sprint 27.7. Fastest: Simpson 29.4, DeLuca 29.3
CLE: 146 SB, 31 CS. Ramírez 37 for 41, Rocchio 20 for 27, Bazzana 19 for 25. Team sprint 26.7. Fastest: Bazzana 28.3, Adell 28.3

Offense (GB / FB / IFFB / pull / K / barrel / hard-hit / xwOBA)
TB: 45.6 / 31.8 / 8.8 / 42.0 / 18.8 / 5.7 / 34.6 / .304
CLE: 41.0 / 34.7 / 9.0 / 47.0 / 20.8 / 5.8 / 35.0 / .305

Staff GB% / popup%
TB 40.4 / 8.0
CLE 41.9 / 8.3

OAA (team / IF / OF)
TB +6 / minus 30 / +36. DeLuca +13, Simpson +8, Mesa Jr. +7, Caminero minus 12
CLE +13 / +15 / minus 2. Rocchio +12, Kwan +7, DeLauter +2

Bullpen (ERA / K-BB / GB)
TB 3.99 / 14.0% / 39.9%
CLE 3.54 / 17.2% / 39.9%

[George C | x9Lab @x9LabHQ]

@RaysBaseball Peralta is a automatic 6 innings 1 ER right now

[George C | x9Lab @x9LabHQ]

View the numbers at https://t.co/ph2Aqwpnix

[George C | x9Lab @x9LabHQ]

Scout Report
ALCS Game 6 | #Guardians @ #Rays
Shawn Armstrong (opener) vs Freddy Peralta
8:08pm ET | Tropicana Field | Rays lead 3-2

Freddy Peralta throws his four-seamer 54% of the time at around 94.5 mph, and Chase DeLauter is hitting .376 against four-seamers. Cleveland is one loss from going home and is starting a reliever. The Guardians need runs early off Peralta how can DeLauter get over Peralta who has been lights out since his trade from the Mets.

Guardians on the mound
Shawn Armstrong is listed as the starter, so by default this could be an opener into a long reliever. He has been Cleveland's best Arm this October : six appearances, 7.2 innings, no runs, two hits, no walks and six strikeouts. He also threw 13 pitches in Game 4 and 13 in Game 5, so tonight is a third straight day of work so how he can handle a 3rd day will be key to the start of this game. Expect an inning or so, then Slade Cecconi, Joey Cantillo and Tanner Bibee, with Gavin Williams held for a Game 7.

Rays on the mound
Peralta's Game 2 line against this lineup: 6 innings, four hits, no runs, two walks, six strikeouts on 99 pitches. He also got two outs in relief in Game 4 on 9 pitches. His postseason line is 11.1 innings with one earned run. He carries a 4.42 ERA and 4.28 FIP for the season which right now might aswelll be ignored because since the increased changeup usage with the rays he has been electric. The season has a 21.8% strikeout rate, and a 1.69 ERA in four starts at Tropicana Field. The four-seamer is the majority of the pitches at 54% and 94.5 mph.

Key Matchup: DeLauter vs Peralta
DeLauter is hitting .376 against four-seamers, .235 against changeups and .211 against curveballs. His best zone is low and middle (.362 xwOBA). Peralta needs the fastball to get ahead to then set up the nasty Changeup. Steven Kwan (.311 vs four-seamers) hits in front of him, so a walk to Kwan puts DeLauter up with a runner on.

Pitching plan
Keep the four-seamer up and out of the low-middle zone, and spend it early in counts. Finish with the curveball or the changeup, the two pitches DeLauter has not handled. With Kwan on base, do not give in with a fastball at the knees.

Bullpens
Yesterday Tampa Bay used Baker (14), Booser (10) and Wells (5). Cleveland used Cade Smith (22), Hunter Gaddis (19), Tim Herrin (18), Erik Sabrowski (18) and Armstrong (13). Across Games 4 and 5, Herrin has 32 pitches, Armstrong 26 and Baker 26. Seymour (29 on Saturday) and Kelly (16) were unused Sunday. Cleveland's late arms all worked yesterday, which is why the opening innings matter so much.

X-Factor
Peralta's walk rate. It sits at 10.8%, and Cleveland's runners are the threat. Two free passes in front of DeLauter or Jo Adell is how a bullpen game steals a Game 7.

#Guardians #Rays #MLB #PostSeason

Raw block (2026 regular season)

Lineups (CONFIRMED)
CLE: Kwan LF, Ramírez 3B, DeLauter RF, Adell DH, Lowe 1B, Bazzana 2B, Bailey C, Halpin CF, Rocchio SS
TB: Y. Díaz DH, Aranda 1B, Hicks C, Caminero 3B, Simpson LF, Mesa Jr. RF, DeLuca CF, Palacios 2B, Walls SS

Catchers
Hicks: pop 1.97, arm 82.0, CS 16% of 69, CS above avg +2.6, framing +1.4
Bailey: pop 1.85, arm 84.5, CS 30% of 81, CS above avg +5.3, framing +4.6

Running game
TB: 164 SB, 54 CS. Simpson 46 for 60, Walls 21 for 24, DeLuca 17 for 23. Team sprint 27.7. Fastest: Simpson 29.4, DeLuca 29.3
CLE: 146 SB, 31 CS. Ramírez 37 for 41, Rocchio 20 for 27, Bazzana 19 for 25. Team sprint 26.7. Fastest: Bazzana 28.3, Adell 28.3

Offense (GB / FB / IFFB / pull / K / barrel / hard-hit / xwOBA)
TB: 45.6 / 31.8 / 8.8 / 42.0 / 18.8 / 5.7 / 34.6 / .304
CLE: 41.0 / 34.7 / 9.0 / 47.0 / 20.8 / 5.8 / 35.0 / .305

Staff GB% / popup%
TB 40.4 / 8.0
CLE 41.9 / 8.3

OAA (team / IF / OF)
TB +6 / minus 30 / +36. DeLuca +13, Simpson +8, Mesa Jr. +7, Caminero minus 12
CLE +13 / +15 / minus 2. Rocchio +12, Kwan +7, DeLauter +2

Bullpen (ERA / K-BB / GB)
TB 3.99 / 14.0% / 39.9%
CLE 3.54 / 17.2% / 39.9%

[George C | x9Lab @x9LabHQ]

Tampa Bay have led in an ALCS 3-2 twice before, against Boston in 2008 and Houston in 2020. Both times the Rays lost Game 6, and both times they won Game 7. LCS teams up 3-2 with Games 6 and 7 at home have taken the pennant 22 of 28 times since 1985.
#Rays #Guardians #MLB #PostSeason

[George C | x9Lab @x9LabHQ]

@jorgecastillo @pcaldera Meltdown of Yankee fans is coming

[George C | x9Lab @x9LabHQ]

Cleveland has trailed a best-of-seven series 3-2 three times and has never come back. They lost Game 6 in Atlanta in the 1995 World Series. They won Game 6 in Miami in the 1997 World Series, then lost Game 7 in 11 innings. They lost Game 6 in the Bronx in the 1998 ALCS. Tonight is the fourth try, on the road again, at Tropicana Field.
#Guardians #Rays #MLB #PostSeason

[MLB @MLB]

Road warriors 😤

The @CleGuardians are playing a must-win game tonight in St. Pete, but they have thrived away from home

[George C | x9Lab @x9LabHQ]

There have been 65 doubles in 34 postseason games, or 1.91 per game for both teams combined, the lowest rate since 1974. Every postseason from 2010 through 2025 was at 2.49 or higher, and the same hitters averaged 3.08 a game in the regular season.

[George C | x9Lab @x9LabHQ]

@MLB @FanDuel I think Travis bazzana, got one in game 4 to be the first Aussie in a post season to HR

[George C | x9Lab @x9LabHQ]

@AdamSchefter @HolderStephen Man got fleeced over the sauce Gardner trade

[George C | x9Lab @x9LabHQ]

@AdamSchefter Jesus Christ this is bad. And to think he flew with these. He played in London with clots in his lungs and was half decent. Hope he recovers

[George C | x9Lab @x9LabHQ]

@dochammy @ThePhilliesShow If he becomes Jackson chourio esq via that route I'm all in

[George C | x9Lab @x9LabHQ]

Drew Rasmussen has given Cleveland one hit through five innings in Game 5, and Taylor Walls saved the fifth with a diving stop behind him.

Lowest ERA in a single postseason, Rays history (min. 15 innings):
Drew Rasmussen, 2026: 0.95 (19 IP)
Charlie Morton, 2020: 2.70 (20 IP)
James Shields, 2008: 2.88 (25 IP)

#Rays #Guardians #MLB #PostSeason

[George C | x9Lab @x9LabHQ]

Parker Messick is the sixth starter to last 2 innings or fewer in an ALCS Game 5. He's the first from Cleveland since Chad Ogea in 1998, the last time the Guardians hosted a Game 5 with the series tied 2-2.
#Guardians #Rays #MLB #PostSeason

[George C | x9Lab @x9LabHQ]

Hicks drove in the run on a 1-1 count. This postseason this has been the most fruitful count producing a BA .375 BA in these situations. The Rays now lead 3-0

[George C | x9Lab @x9LabHQ]

@SebastianFair2 @MLB Absolutely with the bullpen and stellar lineup its the perfect start for the Rays. Still can see the guardians nicking one at the Trop