jlev

[jlev @xjlevx]

My Crypto Twitter List just crossed 700 people. This has to be THE Crypto list on Twitter, everything you need to know on CT without needing to follow everyone. Please RT for exposure. https://t.co/xrUy9lHxmb

[Reilly Chase @rchase]

I still think about this a lot

[Aakash Gupta @aakashgupta]

In Germany, a talented 14-year-old earns his club money. In America, his parents pay the club $15,000 a year.

That single inversion explains why "we will not" is the most accurate line ever written about US soccer.

FIFA built a global system for this. Training compensation and solidarity payments send a cut of every transfer fee back to the clubs that developed the player, from age 12 onward. Develop one future pro and your academy gets paid for a decade. Barcelona's La Masia, Ajax, every Bundesliga academy runs on this logic. The kid is the asset.

US Soccer refuses to enforce those rules. When Seattle's Crossfire Premier claimed its $60,000 share of DeAndre Yedlin's transfer to Tottenham, it got nothing. Claims on the Dempsey and Bradley transfers died partly because the federation couldn't even produce the youth training records.

So American clubs earn zero dollars when a kid turns pro. They earn when a kid enrolls. Which makes the parent the customer, and the product is whatever keeps the parent writing checks: travel tournaments, hotel weekends, $500 showcase events, private training at $100 an hour. Elite pathways run $8,000 to $20,000 a year. A comparable academy spot in Italy costs about 120 euros.

Follow the incentive one level deeper and it gets darker. A club dependent on fees can't cut its weakest paying players, so rosters optimize for retention over development. The scouting pool shrinks to families who can afford the cliff, which appears around age 11, exactly when development matters most. The country runs a talent filter sorted by household income instead of ability.

Every four years someone proposes fixing this. The proposal always requires the people profiting from the $15,000 model to vote themselves out of business.

They will not.

[jlev @xjlevx]

@Health_Almanac There is a good book about this “the perfect dose” the history of Vitamin D dosage is a bit sketch

[jlev @xjlevx]

@Shwinnabego Love this

[Jared Howe @Jaredhowe]

Trump killed 50 of Iran's top leaders, did at least $1 trillion worth of damage to their military equipment and infrastructure, totally wiped out their naval fleet and air fleets, put their government in a state of endemic internal conflict, and left them totally incapable of meaningfully attacking their neighbors in the region any time soon. By the end of it, all Iran could do is rig the strait with mines and take pop shots at passing ships.

The loss of insurance coverage had more of an impact on the flow of marine traffic than Iran did.

I personally would have preferred the total destruction of the IRGC (which technically isn't off the table if they decide to FAFO) but it would have been difficult to accomplish without more civilian casualties -- something third worldist leftoids were already complaining (and campaigning) about.

In the meantime, consider the following:

No boots on the ground. No prolonged conflict. No permanent occupation. No military draft. No lasting impact on energy prices. No multi-trillion dollar boondoggle. None of the things anti-war retards with Israel tunnel vision like Dave Smith and Candace Owens predicted would happen.

In addition:

- Oil and gas prices are falling in time for summer and the midterms.
- "Free Palestine" third worldists like Graham Platner have less ammo on which to campaign for Congress.
- Russia is bringing in less revenue.
- The U.S. got a foot in the door to block China's Belt and Road projects.
- Trump has greater latitude to tighten sanctions on Russia without exacerbating supply shocks to energy markets.
- Europe and America have agreed to increase cooperation in providing for the national defense of Ukraine.
- Israel isn't a signatory to the MOU and isn't bound by its terms, leaving it free to independently defend itself from threats if necessary.
- America isn't creating a power vacuum for China and Russia to fill by absconding and surrendering its own influence over the region.

The people who say this is a "humiliating defeat" for Trump?

- Russia
- China
- Iran
- Democrats
- The leftist Drudge-led media establishment

All the worst people you know have joined arms and are pretending like Iran pulled one over on the Bad Orange Man in hopes that it will piss off Republicans and Israelis enough to get them to kill the deal themselves.

It's very transparent. Don't let your enemies control you with such a stupid and obvious Reflexive Control op.

[jlev @xjlevx]

@BowTiedBull Every $1 is $13B in market cap. He bought Cursor for $4.5 late night pump last night, insane chess move

[Farzad 🇺🇸 🇮🇷 @farzyness]

My theory is that the American empire is JUST getting started.

US has a stranglehold on Space with SpaceX, which is the next frontier for defense/war. It has a comically large lead. No one will be close for at least 20 years.

It is the leading power in AI by far - both in models and chips. China is catching up fast, but the US has an inherent mechanism that will increase the likelihood that it will win in the end - a free market + capitalism + free speech.

A free market + capitalism allows for brutal competition between companies. Free speech allows for AI models to be maximally truth seeking, which means that AIs CAN and WILL BECOME smarter than humans to the point where they can tell the truth about its leaders.

This is literally impossible in China. Try having a Chinese model that says Xi Jinping is corrupt. Good luck with that.

Then, you have a country that has more guns than people and surrounded by two massive oceans and two friendly neighbors, which means any sort of kinetic take over of the country is literally impossible.

Not to mention the US has BY FAR the best and strongest military.

The only way adversaries can hope to defeat the US is by tearing it from within by pitting us against each other. This is why it's virtually guaranteed that all the division/hatred/polarization you see within the country is fomented by China/Russia Psy Ops + propaganda efforts.

I'm not saying these aren't naturally happening in spots - America is far from perfect - but it would be naive to think our adversaries aren't pouring millions of gallons of fuel on a fire.

As long as the American public a) has the ability to exercise its free speech b) has a protected 2nd amendment c) capitalism and free markets continue to function and d) the populace is aware of how awesome America really is, it is literally impossible to stop the US's trajectory to global domination in the coming decades, especially as China's demographics continue to collapse.

It's the bottom of the 9th, the game is tied, and the US has the bases loaded. It's a 3-2 pitch.

All we need is a home run, and we win the rest of the century.

[jlev @xjlevx]

@KFCBarstool Woke up expecting way worse for us, this is a W! Every city has some shit pop off during a championship celebration, this was small time. If we would have won Tuesday in NYC then it would be way different

[jlev @xjlevx]

@orenmeetsworld There isn’t a toggle yet in meta ads like there is in organic post, so just they plan writing in the caption? Or adding a watermark?

[Kendall Baker @kendallbaker]

No idea who made this game, but it's extremely fun and addicting.

Thank me later.

https://t.co/eBuLwK7hU0

[jlev @xjlevx]

@kendallbaker Bang!

[Maurizio @themgmtconsult]

Been a management consultant for 20 years.

Made Partner in my 30s.
Led teams of 100+ people.
Run 9-figure client portfolios.
Lived and worked in 4 continents.

Typically, corporate IT investment would follow a common script.

Capital spent on software means a shrinking payroll.

As boards map out their strategies for the coming quarters, they are operating under the comfortable assumption that this way of thinking still holds true for AI.

But I think a fiscal reckoning is brewing there, because within the next few quarters, the current prevailing narrative of AI as a headcount killer (which we all know is vastly exaggerated) will give way to a far more punishing reality.

Instead of a clean capital-for-labor swap, executives are about to watch their IT infrastructure costs and their personnel expenses balloon simultaneously 🚀🚀🚀

It may not be fun.

First, this whole idea that generative AI can operate autonomously will shatter as early deployments attempt to scale.

Because LLMs remain inherently prone to hallucination and error, companies cannot simply fire the analysts; they will be forced to retain them (or hire new talent) to serve as high-vigilance editors.

Furthermore, because AI makes it effortless to generate code, reports, marketing collateral, etc etc organizations will soon find themselves drowning in internal output. Managing, auditing, and securing this massive influx of AI-generated material will require an unprecedented wave of human oversight....

This will ultimately EXPAND corporate bureaucracy rather than trimming it (remember the 'Scaled Agile' saga??).

Even in scenarios where entry-level automation does succeed, the math of headcount reduction will fail to balance out on the ledger.

In the coming quarters, the wage differential of the AI era will trigger *severe* skill inflation.

Replacing 5 mid/entry-level programmers does not result in a net savings of 5 salaries. Instead, it requires hiring a premium-tier AI architect whose single salary frequently eclipses the combined wages of the workers they replaced (plus tokens cost).

Companies will trade high-volume/low-cost labor for scarce/ultra-premium talent, driving TCO UPWARD despite a leaner organizational chart on paper.

Jevons' Paradox again...

AI slashes the time and cost required to draft a legal brief, design a graphic, build a software feature, and therefore executive appetite for those outputs will skyrocket.

Management will demand 10x the volume of data analysis or continuous product iterations. Because the corporate demand for output will scale far faster than the technology's efficiency gains, departments will find themselves forced to expand their human teams just to handle the sheer velocity of these new AI-driven initiatives.

Until AI achieves absolute, unmonitored autonomy (if ever), it will function not as a replacement for human labor, but as a hyper-amplifier of it.

If ungoverned, the corporate balance sheets will show that the AI boom made running the business vastly more expensive.

[jlev @xjlevx]

@suekhim What ages does this start at?

[Swan @AndySwan]

You're much more of a slave to the 1% that commit 50% of crimes than you are to the 1% that create 40% of the wealth.

[Mark Palmer @MarketPalmer_]

The older I get, the more I realize making memories with family, a solid fitness routine, a job you don't hate, a group chat of great friends, annual traditions, and a productive hobby will lead to a very happy life.

[jlev @xjlevx]

@nathangotch do you help clients or just agencies?

[jlev @xjlevx]

@QuintenFrancois Whoop member since year 1, just canceled and bought this

[jlev @xjlevx]

@DanhausenAD Available in kids size too!?

[jlev @xjlevx]

@DrReality5 Check out The Optimal Dose - he call for this and more with incredible results

https://t.co/yFDX8fyCQw

[jlev @xjlevx]

@Kaz_Khadem Never seen so many AI billboards (nyc just visited SF)