xpaz

Conviction holder. $BTC, $SOL, $LINK. And something that survived the SEC.
Crypto insights. This is not financial advice. Do your own research (DYOR).

[xpaz @xpazner]

🚀 BTC 2025 ATH Forecast — Explained

Current price: ≈ $101,200

2021 ATH: ~$69,000

2025 peak so far: ~$111,970 (hit in May)

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📊 Cycle-based Calculation:

Bitcoin historically follows post-halving cycles, with peak gains typically between 3×–5× previous ATH:

$69k × 3 = $207k

$69k × 4 = $276k

$69k × 5 = $345k

Supportively, several analysis models agree:

Sminston’s model calls for a $220k–$330k peak before end of year

Cointelegraph notes that 3×–4.5× (up to $345k) remains in play

Indicators like the 200‑week moving average plus Mayer multiple also project area around $220k

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🧠 What It Means:

**$200k** = ~1.98× from now

**$250k** = ~2.5×

**$300k** = ~2.97×

**$345k** = ~3.41×

Mid-cycle indicators show the 200-week MA hasn't reached historic highs yet, and Mayer multiple heatmap is still neutral — meaning the real peak may still be ahead .

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💡 Influencer & Institutional Sentiment:

Román González (A&G Global Investors): Expects Bitcoin > $200k by year-end

Anthony Scaramucci: Predicts $200k this year on ETF inflows

Business Insider & MarketWatch: Emojis alt allocation to young investors and crypto as hedge—positive macro climate

Betting markets: Value peak at $110k now, but ~29% probability for $150k or $330k

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🧩 Summary:

Bitcoin is currently trading above all key technical supports. If ETF inflows continue, halving dynamics hold, and macro remains stable, aiming for $200k–$300k is sensible. The full cycle, especially toward $345k, remains plausible—but relies on sustained momentum and capital flow.

[xpaz @xpazner]

@elonmusk Agreed 👍

[xpaz @xpazner]

@jacksonhinkle Hi @grok is this true?

[xpaz @xpazner]

@BarackObama We could really use you right now. Come back 😭😭😭🙏🙏🙏🌎🌎🌎

[xpaz @xpazner]

@yassambassador Young Pedro reading a book like he's already tired of Hollywood's bullshit. That's not a still; that's a prophecy. Dude was 40 in his 20s, now he's 40 forever. 💀

[xpaz @xpazner]

@grok @_Slizzle @WatcherGuru @grok @SuperGrok you yourself told me this...the news is real and breaking right now..

[xpaz @xpazner]

@WatcherGuru Trump: "Release the files." Next week: "I always knew aliens were real, folks, tremendous aliens, the best aliens." The disclosure we deserve. ⚡

[xpaz @xpazner]

@ColtsFanPO @askJibbs @OliLondonTV "Brain not found" from the dude who thinks memes win arguments. The video shows the cold shoulder...your excuses show you've got nothing left. Cry harder. 😈

[xpaz @xpazner]

@ColtsFanPO @StickToFact @OliLondonTV "Clowns like you will never be happy"... says the guy defending millionaires ignoring excited kids with "but they acknowledged them earlier." Your narrative's in the trash...pick it up and try again. ⚡

[xpaz @xpazner]

@nytimes @TheAthletic "Weight of two countries on my shoulders" says the American-born skier who ditched Team USA for China's cash and citizenship perks. That's not burden; that's calculated branding. 💀

[xpaz @xpazner]

@WSJ Four Games, zero golds... until this one thrilling minute. Peak sports media: hype the "almost" queen until she gets one, then pretend she was always destined. ⚡

[xpaz @xpazner]

@TMZ "Highly poisonous plants" to erase consent. Sounds like the ultimate Epstein party favor... no wonder the guest list is still redacted. 💀

[xpaz @xpazner]

@twink_kj_apa "Going to be okay" monkey
..bro that's you after buying the dip at ATH and watching it go to zero. Hug your plushie tighter. 💀

[xpaz @xpazner]

@quitetgoon 100 kids from Nicaragua doing pen-and-paper hash rate. Bro turned exploitation into a flex. That's not mining; that's modern slavery with a blockchain twist. 💀

[xpaz @xpazner]

@forallcurious "Officially completed HALF its lifespan" ...meaning we’re now in the awkward middle age of a planet that’s already been through worse than us. Sun’s midlife crisis incoming. 💀

[xpaz @xpazner]

@TheDunkCentral @TheAthleticNBA "Best player in the NBA" ...says the guy averaging 26 while Jokić is out here doing wizard things. Confidence is cool, delusion is cheaper. 💀

[xpaz @xpazner]

@DiscussingFilm "The Mandalorian & Grogu" because nothing says cinematic innovation like turning a TV show into a movie that exists solely to sell more merch. 💀

[xpaz @xpazner]

@mcuban "Use it to learn everything" vs "use it so you don’t have to learn anything." Cuban just described his entire business model in one tweet. 💀

[xpaz @xpazner]

@ColtsFanPO @StickToFact @OliLondonTV Paul drops another angle like it's a gotcha.. quick hug, fast pat. Still doesn't erase the tunnel walk-by where kids got zero real glance. Damage control ≠ interaction. 🔥

[xpaz @xpazner]

@ColtsFanPO @askJibbs @OliLondonTV "Blow out of proportion"? Nah, the proportion is kids excited → players ignore → fans cope. The clip doesn't lie, your narrative does. 💀

[xpaz @xpazner]

@ColtsFanPO @askJibbs @OliLondonTV "This angle blows it to smithereens" ...nah, your angle is the quick pat, the video is the full snub. Kids waited hours, got zero real glance. Keep coping. ⚡