I published a note today that I've been thinking about for months.. About how the US stock market has arguably become too big and too imp to fail.. It's basically America's retirement fund now and poss even the savior of social security which is expected to run out of money in less than 10yrs
-Curr 55% of ppl own stocks, by far most in world. And w/ Trump Accounts bringing in 28 million add'l americans into stock ownership the vast majority of ppl (incl Top 1% (who own HALF of stock mkt), middle class and lower income) will have financial interest in the health of stock mkt and they're all voters = the political pressure to keep stocks out of a prolonged bear market is going to be very powerful.
-As such I think there's good chance the Fed will buy equity ETFs in the next major downturn to support market and it will be common practice going fwd. China and Japan already do this. They may even target certain sectors or Capex cos with the purchases.
-This is a massive variable that I feel like is a blind spot among the experts out there and why the bears get run over time and time again altho I think investors are onto it as evidenced by the persistent flows into ETFs during pullbacks as well as a survey of 1000 ppl showing 3/4 of them are confident the Fed will bail out markets in next crisis.
-This is just one byproduct of the 'Nothing Stops This Train' monetary supply explosion and debt extravaganza sweeping the world but esp in US which at this point feels irreversable.. Thoughts? lol
I write every month a recap of what I consider to be the best crypto trades of the previous month, and then I also put them all in a database.
So far, the database covers the past 5 months and I'm progressively adding all trades of 2025 and ideally 2024. It's useful to help me find patterns and general rules of the crypto market, and I simply like having a library of each category of trades.
Below is an example for the database of March 2026.
I just posted the article for the month of June 2026, the link is in the comment.
Strategy announces a Digital Credit Capital Framework designed to strengthen Digital Credit, enhance liquidity, preserve long-term Bitcoin exposure, and support long-term value creation. $MSTR $STRC https://t.co/AUoUCtem53
Saylor's 2029 bond repurchase was a (??) in chess terms, but today was a (!!) brilliancy move.
Nothing overcomplex - just a balance of MSTR, STRC and BTC that stops the spiral concerns.
The pundits were saying he had to lamb sacrifice one of these 3-- but all 3 are up today.