yesntess

Interested in INDO-PACOM OSINT

Aviation monitoring, Politics, Technology

[yesntess @yesntessosint]

4x #Chinese PLA Y-20s heading from #Chengdu to Southwestern China. Very spontaneous spike in activity. Rather unusual even due to a flood in Nepal.

[yesntess @yesntessosint]

#Chinese PLA Y-9G EW and electronic surveillance.

Hex: #7A2AF7

[yesntess @yesntessosint]

#Russian Government IL96-300 from Beijing

[yesntess @yesntessosint]

Following further research, there isn’t enough conclusive evidence to suggest it is a PLA air heli or anything at all. Will archive it.

[yesntess @yesntessosint]

Unknown air asset. Likely #Chinese PLA testing.

American registration. American in all aspects. Will look into it

[yesntess @yesntessosint]

@Borrowed7Time @sipjack1776 @LadyAstroJet @_shrimpsisbugs @CeciliaSykala There’s upwards of 3-4 flights a day. This is only a sliver of coverage.

[yesntess @yesntessosint]

2x #Chinese PLA Y-20s from Hotan (fig 1) and Chengdu (fig 2)

Likely routine logistics

[yesntess @yesntessosint]

There is a third hypothesis. Hardware testing and calibration. Forgot to mention.

Switch out the Y-20 being refueled. That doesn’t exist for them yet.

[yesntess @yesntessosint]

This is a #Chinese Y-20. Normally, Y-20s carry cargo, but this one seems to be performing a racetrack pattern only seen in aerial refuelers. This begs the question as to whether or not this is a cargo mission or a refuel mission. Y-20s have the capability now to be refuelers.

[yesntess @yesntessosint]

This seems to be a 50/50 as to whether or not this is a refuel, or a refueler. All that is confirmed is that this is a Y-20 of some kind performing a pattern consistent with aerial refuels. It could be a YY-20, a converted Y-20, or a Y-20 that is being refueled.

[yesntess @yesntessosint]

Cobra ball returning from some MASINT

[yesntess @yesntessosint]

@CeciliaSykala Maybe. Only the agencies know to be honest. Normally for transport, the Chinese just fly the drones to where they want them to go. Either that means a test failed, or there are parts of a new drone coming in from the factories.

[yesntess @yesntessosint]

@Borrowed7Time @sipjack1776 @_shrimpsisbugs @CeciliaSykala @LadyAstroJet Comes after a 21 aircraft spike day, 13 cross median line. Not surprised some of them had their transponders on.

[yesntess @yesntessosint]

Bottom line: After the 10/1 spike, reported PLA pressure cooled but remained uneven. Air activity was intermittent, while maritime presence persisted across the period.

Source: Taiwan MND

#PLA #Taiwan #OSINT

(6/6)

[yesntess @yesntessosint]

PLA Pressure Brief — 10/3–10/8

Reported PLA pressure declined from last period’s 10/1 spike, but did not fully disappear. Air activity fell sharply from 10/4–10/6 before rebounding on 10/7, while maritime activity remained persistent.

(1/6)

[yesntess @yesntessosint]

The main feature this period was uneven air activity. Reported aircraft dropped to zero for three straight days, then rebounded on 10/7.

Maritime activity was steadier, with 6–8 PLAN vessels reported daily.

(5/6)