TAHUICIP

catatan pribadi coret-coret chart saham. bukan ajakan jual beli apapun. *DYOR Do Your Own Research.

[nanao @nanao_fxtrader]

【スキャで私が20MAをかなり見る理由📈】

おはようございます！

私のXAUUSDなどをトレードする上でインジケーターはかなりシンプル。

今日は、その中でも大事にしている
各分足・各時間足・日足の
「20MA」についてお話ししていきます！

※保存推奨📝

特に見てほしいのが、
違う時間足の20MAが近い場所👀

例えば、

5分足20MA
＋15分足20MA

1時間足20MA
＋4時間足20MA

みたいに複数の20MAが近くに集まっている場所。

私はこういうところを
「反応する可能性があるポイント」として見ています。

スキャって1分足だけ見てると
とても難しく感じるんだけど、

実は上位足を見ると
「なんでここで止まった？」
の答えが見つかることが多いです👍

1分足では何もないように見えても、
そこに1時間足20MAがいたりするんですよね。

だから私はエントリー前に

「この先に他時間足の20MAいない？」

を必ず確認します。

目の前の値動きだけじゃなく、
少し先にある“壁”を見る。

これだけでも
無駄なエントリーはかなり減らせます🤤

20MAは多ければいいわけじゃない。

同じ20MAを
複数時間足で見るからシンプルで使いやすいんです！

[Richard Moglen @RichardMoglen]

These are the setups of the best traders I’ve interviewed:

Catalyst Gaps
Base Breakouts
Mean Reversion Long
Mean Reversion Short
Pullback/Undercut & Rally

They allow you to manage risk versus a key level/turning point where you can expect significant expansion from your entry

[Sean trades @SRxTrades]

How do you tell the difference between a healthy pullback and the beginning of a reversal?

Pay attention to HOW price is pulling back....

A healthy pullback should be boring:

Price slowly and methodically drifts lower into key moving averages while volume continues to decline.

There’s no urgency from sellers
No aggressive downside candles
No major increase in volume

The stock is simply digesting the previous move and allowing the moving averages to catch back up to price

A reversal looks completely different:

-Price action becomes wild and aggressive.
-Downside candles start expanding
-Volume INCREASES as the stock sells off
-Key moving averages and previous support levels begin getting broken with force

That’s telling you selling pressure is increasing rather than drying up

This is why I always analyze price AND volume together....

Slow pullback + declining volume = constructive

Aggressive selling + increasing volume = warning sign

Don’t just look at the fact that a stock is pulling back

Pay attention to HOW it’s pulling back

The structure will more likely than not tell you exactly everything you need to know

[iain @ohiain]

You don’t need to invent a single original concept to become a great trader.

@OliverKell_ taught me the cycle of price action, 15min pivots + “the trend is your friend.” @1ChartMaster taught me the 30min pivot. @LanesWRLD_ taught me effort vs. result. @ShakePryzby1 taught me layers of probability + timeframe continuity. @RealSimpleAriel taught me to focus on leading groups + cut my weeds.

And there are probably 100+ other traders on here I’ve stolen little nuggets from over the years. The important part is I tested everything, kept what fit my personality, and slowly molded those pieces into MY system.

You don’t need to reinvent the wheel to become a great trader. Learn from people ahead of you, verify it yourself, then make it yours!!

You do not need to become the next ICT furu.

[HaseebBadar_Stocks @hb_stocks]

At 26 years old, Chris Creamer made 100% in a single month and won the World Trading Championship.

He just revealed the exact strategy he used, step by step, for the first time ever 👇

[Lorwen Harris Nagle, PhD @LORWEN108]

Seneca cured anxiety 2,000 years before therapy existed.

He was the richest man in Rome and advisor to an emperor. And yet he spent his life writing about how to calm the mind.

If your mind keeps turning tomorrow into an emergency, read this: ↓

[投机实验室 @LabSpeculation]

只用了几天就把账户翻了一倍，26岁的美国交易员克里斯，在七月拿下了罗宾斯杯日内赛的冠军，要说账户翻倍其实很多人都做到过，并不稀奇🧐🤑

但他的方法一说出来，几天就吸引了180多万次观看，直接就火了，他的方法大多数人好像都没见过。。

他交易是看订单流，按他的统计胜率能到60%以上，他说自己最长连赢过31天，他交易的逻辑是等一方发力失败再进场，比如空头在低位拼命卖，价格却跌不下去，这些空头就被套住了，空头止损要买回来的时候，价格就会被推上去。

他把交易分成四步，趋势，位置，确认，执行，前两步都是在开盘前做完，他看盘用小时图和十五分钟图看方向，五分钟图找进场。

第一步是判断趋势，看两样东西，一是大级别的结构。用一小时图和四小时图，看每天的价值区是一天比一天高，或一天比一天低，还是横着走，价值区就是一天里70%的成交量所在的价格区间。

二是伽马敞口，也就是 GEX，这是根据期权持仓估算出来的做市商对冲方向。

正伽马的时候，做市商涨了卖跌了买，波动会被压小，突破就容易失败，负伽马的时候，做市商涨了买跌了卖，波动会被放大，行情走得就会非常快，所以正负伽马看的是波动大小，跟涨跌方向没关系。

另外要标出三个价位，看涨期权墙、看跌期权墙和零伽马线，两面墙是期权仓位最集中的价位，零伽马线是正负伽马的分界线。

开盘前把计划写好，盘中不能临时改变计划。

第二步是找位置，第三步是等确认，价格到了进场区就要看订单流，直接看视频吧，讲的很细：https://t.co/cOPyCakfuD

[Kyna Kosling @KynaKosling]

Someone today asked me for an overview of @Qullamaggie’s strategy.

…which is a great reminder that it’s been 3 years since I did that kind of writing.

I covered breakouts here: https://t.co/c7OjDoZ6GI

And EPs here: https://t.co/VRTUibN3jQ

(Don’t judge the writing. I had much to learn.)

But I can’t stress enough that you cannot just blindly copy someone else’s strategy and expect the same results. The environment isn’t the same.

More importantly, *you* are not *them*.

Your success depends on ingredients that revolve around YOU — because this business takes hard work and acceptance of suboptimal decision-making.

Trading means taking risk. And that’s uncomfortable. Particularly because, by design, the markets show you just how money you left on the table.

So, how much discomfort can you stomach? What kind can you stomach?

Not going through the hard work of idea clarity + refinement, along with a good amount of introspection, is a recipe for failure. Because you’ll be unable to stick with your (uncomfortable) approach.

Develop an approach that brings out your strengths, mitigates your weaknesses, and generally just works for your personality, goals and lifestyle.

You’re not Qullamaggie.

But you’re you.

And no one can beat you at being you.

[Oliver Wiedmaier @Ollie_AllCaps]

Everything I do is explained in this book.

The real distinction between the way I trade vs other "breakout traders" is I am not lookking for 'breakout pattern' to form.

Instead, I focus on stocks that have a pause in momentum, then resumes higher.

This has many different looks

[Trading Hustler 📈 @tradinghustlr]

Catch & Ride a Winner.

The goal isn't to catch every breakout.

It's to identify a strong stock, enter at the right moment, and have the patience to ride the trend.

Look for:

➜ Prior uptrend
➜ Long base/accumulation
➜ Tight range near breakout
➜ Breakout with strong volume

But the real game starts after the breakout.

Watch for strong follow-through, price holding above the breakout, and healthy volume.

Then be patient.

A strong stock may repeatedly hold the 10 EMA, contract in range, and then expand again.

Contraction → Expansion → Contraction → Expansion

As long as the trend remains intact, let the stock work.

Find strength. Catch the move. Manage risk. Ride the trend.

The big money often comes from the winners you had the patience not to sell too early.

[Julian Komar @BlogJulianKomar]

Here's the truth:

You can't change your last 20 trades.

But you can improve your next 100.

Whenever I get frustrated with my trading, I try to use that frustration as a trigger to improve.

It usually means I've gotten off track somewhere.

That happened to me again over the last few weeks.

The market was difficult and going sideways. I tried to get into the leaders, but looking back at my trades, I could see that I had become too loose with my entries.

Some stocks were too extended.

Some bases weren't tight enough.

I wasn't necessarily breaking my rules. But my standards had slipped.

So I did what I always do when I feel I'm getting off track:

1. Reduce my trading frequency.
2. Review my recent trades.
3. Compare the winners with the losers.
4. Look especially at setup and entry quality.
5. Identify the 1-2 problems that keep repeating.
6. Review my journal and mental preparation.
7. Turn those findings into a focus for my daily routine.

For me, "refocusing" also means spending more time with my chart books, setups and rules.

I want to remind myself what has actually made me money in the past instead of trying harder to make something work now.

That's something I also recommend to traders I coach:

Don't waste a difficult period just being frustrated about what happened.

You can't undo those trades.

Study them.

Find where you got off track.

Then use what you learned to make your next 100 trades better.

[The Swing Report @TheSwingReport]

Step one of Oliver Kell's Cycle of Price Action: the Reversal Extension.

Price reaches a support level on a higher timeframe while stretched far below the 10 EMA. A reversal bar prints on heavy volume, and that's the entry. Stop goes below the low of the reversal bar, and the first target is the 20 EMA.

Victory in Stock Trading by @OliverKell_

[Lima @limalemonnn]

"You can cry all right, but you can't quit."

In his final interview, 99-year-old Charlie Munger spoke about losses that cannot be undone. His nine-year-old son, Teddy, had died of leukemia.

"I cried all the time when my first child died."

Munger said you cannot bring back the dead or fix every tragedy. If you have to walk through the streets crying for hours, you can keep going that way.

He called it "soldiering through." His words offer reassurance when you're struggling: crying doesn't mean you've given up.

Decades later, he described the pleasure it had given him to watch doctors learn to save children with leukemia. He couldn't bring Teddy back, but he could feel joy for families who now had a chance.

His words are in the two-minute clip below.

[Jeff Sun, CFTe @jfsrev]

The only way to make big strides in your trading performance is via a quantifiable adjustment of your statistical trading behavior.

It's perfectly normal to experience losing weeks, months, or even quarters. The key is to remember that trading is a long-term endeavor. The 'holy grail' everyone seeks begins with shifting focus from just solely studying charts to also analyzing your trading statistics. This is the only way to identify and fine-tune your issues on a law of large number perspective.

Your good and bad trading behavior can't escape your journal if you are diligent with this process. Some things you can start identifying;

1. That 1-3 days duration (MoM) that you are 'hyper' actively executing new position, what is the spot of the market index? what was the previous 10 days trend at breadth level? Are the outcome desirable? If not, that's a major area you could fixed immediately.

2. Track your longest consecutive losing streaks every month. My average is around 11 to 13 (yes 13 straight losses, it's normal for me). There was a standout recent month in 2023 where the number was 25 (That's +200% more than my usual proficiency), and I was able to correct the issue immediately the following month (back down to 11) from such end of month review. What the journal told me was my losing streak largely stern from 13 new trades in 3 days when $SPY was already extended from 10 and 20-MA spot, which all got stopped out within a 2 days period from a minor pullback. That 'chasing' behavior was largely because I just came out of a losing month when most are profitable (i knew because my ranking dropped out of top 10 in USIC period while those within my placing +gain% in performance).

3. Work on reducing your average R loss, and track the progress MoM. You need to accept that outcome of a trade cannot be controlled, but you can absolutely control your risk. A reduced average R loss is another method to push your up your monthly profit factor. If you size your risk via R-concept approach, the conventional understanding is stop loss is equivalent to 1R loss. Be creative, you can reduce this number easily via scaling down size in unprofitable trades even before it hit the eventual stop. In my experience, my best trade are often the ones that never re-visit your entry-stop range, it will just go and give your a tidy profit by day #1 market close.

4. Track the progress of your monthly Profit Factor (I use R factor so Avg R Gain / Avg R Loss). Improvement stern from this number. Don't be satisfied with catching 1 big winning trade, that is not trading proficiency. If I were to hire, I will hire someone not making money but with PF improvement for 6 consecutive months. It is just a matter of time he becomes a money printing machine.

5. Your monthly Max R loss (maximum $ loss also). Go study it and find out the reason why you lose more than you expected. It is a good reminder not to let such behavior repeat again because these are potential account blow up behavior. My max R loss was -8.4 in a single trade 7 years ago. It was an execution prior to earnings with a perfect setup that seemingly meant for a gap up, I was wrong but i never allow myself to be in that spot again. My last 5 years max R loss is only at -2.45 on an unannounced earnings guidance (warning), unavoidable.

Breaking down and studying your trading journal is really necessary. If you are not doing the above 5, which imho are the most impactful to your performance and proficiency growth as a trader, you can only blame yourself if you don't make it.

[Jøta m|c|a @jota_mca]

🚫 La ciudad de Japón que visitas DELATA tu clase social:

🥉 Clase baja

· 🇯🇵 Osaka (Dotonbori comiendo takoyaki)
· 🇯🇵 Nara (excursión exprés a ver ciervos)
· 🇯🇵 Tokio (dormido en habitación compartida)
· 🇯🇵 Kamakura (el viaje que entra en el pase)

🥈 Clase media ↓↓

[HaseebBadar_Stocks @hb_stocks]

I fed Minervini's entire book into ChatGPT and asked it to design the lessons onto one real chart.

This is what it built 👇

[生腌 | Evan @shengyango]

强烈建议所有的男人，这段视频至少看三次以上。

2倍速刷完李嘉诚的访谈
不得不佩服，他的成功，绝不是偶然
看完才知道他靠的是近乎变态的自律与极度冷静的判断力

[Aksel Kibar, CMT @TechCharts]

200 day EMA (on daily), 40 week EMA (on weekly) is my trend filter.

I use trend filter with classical chart pattern breakouts and breakdowns. Interested in only long signals that take place above the long-term average and short signals that take place below the average.

In this case I am monitoring this symmetrical triangle for a long signal that can take place above the year-long average.

[Alex Desjardins @PrimeTrading_]

I put my entire trading process into a free GitBook—the resource I wish I had when I started: https://t.co/k30oDCQCUB

[iain @ohiain]

5/15/30min ORBs, 6/20s, 15/30min pivots + VWAP reclaims off major daily/weekly pivots... that’s basically my entire entry playbook.

Backtest each, figure out which ones actually fit your personality & beat them to death. You don’t need 10+ entry models. Keep it stupid simple.