zanil

[zanil @zaaniil]

Bisa muteri duniaaa

[Deny @Denald]

Hati2 klo nulis2 status di medsos ya. Bisa jd kenyataan 😅

Pas nulis status itu, masih kerja di Jkt, lembur smp subuh, keriting ngurusin angka2 budget & riset. Tentu saja belum kenal suami.

Skrng bener tinggal di desa, di eropa, meskipun ga di ujung. Jualan roti. Damai sentosa.

[zanil @zaaniil]

Job market is suck rn😮‍💨

[zanil @zaaniil]

@yh_kmal Asap😂

[zanil @zaaniil]

@patientpersonn Riil

[zanil @zaaniil]

Apa ini anj WKKWWK
MT INTERNN FAKKK

[ridho @gascumlaude]

😭😭

[zanil @zaaniil]

Riil

[HRD BACOT @hrdbacot]

Oktober 2026, Apply Apply
Februari 2027, Offering ama ngajuin resign
Maret 2027, last day tgl 6, first day tgl 15/22

[yogis @yoogiiss]

semua orang pada berusaha buat survive jadi jangan pada kek kontol

[divine✰ @diifgs]

I will win

[arawr @flllowiee]

Mnrt gw Indonesia darurat loker formal & gaji layak..

[zanil @zaaniil]

Emg bangke ngerusak job market aja

[ay @darkskiest]

w ngerasa indo ni butuh lapangan kerja anjingggg liat maganghub yaallah gak masuk akal pesaingnyaaa

[zanil @zaaniil]

@jellykumyjeya Welkam to sobat akhlak

[dedewizard @dedewizard19]

Kalo market lagi bearish setup andalan saya seperti buy on breakout itu sering banget gagal. Jadi metodenya itu harus di sesuaikan. Misal, fokus cari setup di area major support (buy on weakness) dan nunggu price action selanjutnya. Kalo saya biasanya ketika market bearish pakai setup divergence.

Kalo maksa pakai style yg biasanya kalian pakai di market enak, kalo dari pengalaman saya yg ada malah boncos. Inget, ga ngapa-ngapain juga itu sebuah strategi. Jangan ngelawan arus kalo memang belum saatnya.

Satu hal lagi yg perlu di pahami, ketika trade kalian kalah, kalah, dan kalah. Kecilin position sizing dan risk pertrade misal biasanya sekali rugi 1jt kurangin jadi 500rb sampai trade kalian itu mulai bagus lagi baru naikin ke risk awal. Kalo saya, risk pertrade itu menyesuaikan kondisi market jadi ketika market lagi enak risk saya diperbesar dan sebaliknya.

Fleksibilitas dan tahu kapan harus gas atau ngerem itu kunci biar bisa bertahan lama di market. Semoga terjawab😊

[Pink Bourbon @pinkbourbon8898]

Next week's Muktamar Online agenda.

Over the next five days, we'll hear directly from analysts, asset management professionals, and professional traders about how they think through the market from building investment theses and reading narratives to executing decisions across different market conditions.

Save the schedule, plan your time, and see you next week.

@abidamassi @BagusPerdana_ @Rudiyanto_zh @LilBroMainSaham @handierawan @thevoidwalkerr @SarjanaEksu @dedewizard19 @senimemancing @aditoss @Kutekians @tuanpasar69

[zanil @zaaniil]

PI paling ga segituan naeknya, itu ditopang sama ekspor urea.

[Milo. | #InvestasiTenang @eskepalmilosatu]

👀

[zanil @zaaniil]

Ada alumni fst uner juga loch.
Mana muda juga, keren banget si blio🫣

[Mayor Pika @pikachuasbun]

kalo dibongkar semua isi pertamina apalagi komisarisnya, lu bakal ngakak ga berhenti wk.

[zanil @zaaniil]

WKWKKWKWKWKWK

[🍀 4-leaves Clover 🍀 @WPTegar]

Ruangguru has a chance to show the funniest joke ever right now...

[Saling Jaga Warga @SalingJagaWarga]

Gelap total di satu pulau. Pocong-pocongan di pulau lain. Pola ini terlalu rapi untuk disebut kebetulan.

[Ega @thebabayega_]

Marahlah. Sbg pelaku pasar kita pantas kecewa kok. Pemerintah nambal apbn udah kek nambal ban demi program politisnya & lu diem aja? Gws cok.

[zanil @zaaniil]

Lama banget proses rekrutmennya
Nunggu dari HR ke user aja 3 bulan🫠

[Kr @karirfess]

Unpopular opinion about perusahaan Indofood.

[Cheytax Management LLC @Cheytax_1]

WRONG IS PART OF THE GAME.

Lately, a lot of portfolios are getting absolutely wrecked. Down 20%, 50%, even 75%. If we could learn a thing or two from why is that happening? Simple.. humans are wired to avoid being wrong. Nobody wants to be wrong in this world, hate it or love it, that’s just nature or by design..

"Siapa sih yang mau salah?"

You see someone down 30–40% in a "safe" name like ICBP or even BBCA. Low volatility type of stock, cash generating, ok growth is not as usual but.. hey.. low expected return too tho, daily movement average is at 1-2%, how come someone is down nearly half their money there? Not the stocks that are bad, just how they react to the market that is wrong.

Instead of cutting, people start justifying:

"Businessnya masih ada kok"
"Kata si ini mau dikerek ke xxxx"
"Bottom lah udah max fear"
"Dividend ada kok"

Technically, not wrong. But in the public market, there are two axes. Just look at the formula for Total Shareholder Return or TSR:

((P1 – P0) + D) / P0

P1 is latest price.
P0 is average price you paid.
D is dividend.

The company pays you a dividend. But the deviation between price movement and dividend is apples to oranges. Price can swing ±30%, while the dividend gives you just 5-10%. If the stock hit -30% drawdown, that dividend becomes irrelevant.

-

No matter how good your strategy, how solid your thesis, how impressive your RMSE, CI, or IR… eventually, you will be wrong. And.. you can be wrong all the time and still make life changing money. The only condition? You admit when you're wrong. Admit it that humans are DOGSHIT at investing. Dogshit at predicting where the market goes tomorrow. We're all stupid. Not just you and me, all of us. The longer you're in this market, the more you realize that "The market is RANDOM".

-

We ran a simulation, just on the JCI. Assumed we're betting on the index. Wrong 60% of the time, right 40%. In one scenario, when we were wrong, we did nothing. In the other, still wrong 60%, right 40%, but when we were wrong, we cut at 50% of the forecasted move.

*Example: you bet JCI will go up 5%. It goes down 5%. So when the loss hits -2.5%, you get out.*

The "stubborn and feeling like the smartest person in the room" strategy.. ofc smoked.

The "Okay, I'm wrong, move on, we're all dogshit at predicting price” strategy.. generated ridiculous CAGR. 19.89% from a single ticker… JCI.

So what's the catch? You can be wrong most of the time and still make life changing money. Your performance beats 99.99% of investors out there. Your alpha is unmatched. You make index returns look like SHIT.. all if you... admit when you're wrong.

Admitting you're wrong is just as important as picking the right company to buy. You take all these classes, paying 5 to 50 million for this or that, but when it's time to execute, you act like it's your first day in the market. "I'm right, the market is wrong" Stop attending expensive classes if you think you'll be right all the time. Useless.

-

And drawdown management *the thing most people take lightly* ends up destroying long term CAGR. Think of the market as binary: predictable vs unpredictable. When it's predictable, you play, fine, you make billions, maybe trillions, whatever. But when it's in the unpredictable phase, you still bet. And when you're wrong, you don't admit it. That's the crucial part. Why?? Because when the market becomes predictable again.. you're no longer playing with the same capital.

-

"Jangan cut loss"
"Kalau company-nya bagus, akan balik kok"

Not wrong... But we all know what it does to the CAGR.

[zanil @zaaniil]

Gosah tinggal di Bali, liburan aja.

[Ga @hiddenscrt30]

Unpopular opinion about Bali