Bitcoin $BTC / USD — 1M Timeframe
Zee7 BTC Market Intelligence
This chart captures the entire multi-year structur that has defined Bitcoin’s major cycle turning points with surgical precision.
Look at the yellow ovals/circles labeled 0, 1, and 2 on the lower trendline (the **Midline / Pivot Line** is also highlighted for context).
These numbers are **not random** — they literally count **how many times price had to try** before successfully retesting and bouncing off the lower boundary of this massive ascending channel:
- 2017 → 0 tries. Price hit the lower trendline cleanly and reversed straight into the parabolic 2017 top.
- 2018 → 1 try. One failed attempt, then the classic 2018 capitulation bottom formed exactly on the line.
- 2021–2022 → 2 The structure held again through the 2021 top and 2022 bottom.
Every single major turning point in Bitcoin’s history has respected this exact channel structure.
Fast-forward to **now (June 2026): Bitcoin is back at the **lower boundary once again
If the channel continues to hold — exactly as it has every prior cycle — **this becomes the foundation for the next major leg higher**.
The bigger picture hasn’t changed
This time it will take 2 tries.
The 0 → 1 → 2 progression is playing out right in front of us, completing the historical pattern inside the same channel that has governed Bitcoin since 2016.
- 2025 Top? (marked)
- Feb 6, 2026 Pivot 1
- June 6, 2026 Pivot 2
- Dec 2026 → $250K target zone
- Q4 2027 breakout
- 2028 Halving → potential $500K zone
Shmita Cycle 3 is still unfolding (Sep 2022 – Sep 2028), and we are deep in the **7-year counting period** leading into the next actual Shmita year.
The structure is intact.
The channel is holding.
The pattern is repeating.
Patience + structure = the edge.
#BTC #ETH #XRP #ALTSZN
@VECTORCP I think since $BTC broke ATH before halving, ETH not making ATH, $OTHERS also no ATH, we are in uncharted territory, and while it may seem like the cycle 🔁 is alive.. I think it's not.
@studyE45 In two of the last three bear markets, the 50-week MA crossing below the 100-week marked the bottom (2015 & 2019). Assuming we’re not there yet (33% probability on a small sample) and price & time repeat 2022, the low could come around end of August near $50K–$55K.
@EtherRawl In two of the last three bear markets, the 50-week MA crossing below the 100-week marked the bottom (2015 & 2019). Assuming we’re not there yet (33% probability on a small sample) and price & time repeat 2022, the low could come around end of August near $50K–$55K.
This is not financial advice (NFA). Everything here is my personal opinion and analysis.
HIDDEN TRUTH on the market and its functioning.
It started during COVID in 2020. While the general public received stimulus checks, business owners had access to something much bigger — the PPP loans. With just an LLC registered in places like Los Angeles or Delaware, business owners could easily borrow between $60K to $120K, This was heavily subsidized money, and in many cases, it was basically free money as long as it was used for payroll and business expenses.
Even the big crypto exchanges took advantage of this system and received massive funding. Instead of keeping that liquidity idle, they used it to aggressively pump the market. Their goal was to attract retail investors — including many ordinary people who had just received government money — and pull that capital into crypto.
In 2021, those who truly understood the game made life-changing wealth. Some turned $1,000 into $86K–$120K. Others put in $100K and walked away with roughly $20 million. When these big winners started exiting at the top, the exchanges faced a serious liquidity crisis. Some platforms even froze withdrawals because they couldn’t meet the demand. To keep paying people out and protect their reputation, they issued T-bills that ultimately had to be backed by the Federal Reserve. But the Fed pulled back the easy money early, which meant the market makers couldn’t reach the high profit levels they were targeting.
This is exactly why the 2023–2025 cycle played out the way it did. The main objective for the market makers during this period was to recover what they missed in 2021 and generate massive profits for themselves. You could see the results clearly — CZ’s net worth alone went from around $2 billion in 2020 to $120 billion by 2026.
The entire system operated like a pre-arranged game between the big players. FTX is the clearest example. Sam Bankman-Fried chose not to pay everyone out and kept the money instead, because the expected T-bill support never fully materialized. It had already been decided who would survive and who would fall. Interestingly, FTX only started paying users back in 2025 — right at the top of the market. They began distributing creditor payouts on May 30, 2025, after recovering billions of dollars in assets, with another major $1.6 billion distribution processed on September 30, 2025. This happened because their targets had been hit, and those who lost money finally got paid back.
CZ didn’t follow the original script, but he made a smart move by aligning with Justin Sun. Both survived, and their projects outperformed most of the market. Later, CZ received a pardon after the change in government.
If you understand how markets, governments, and institutions actually interact, you don’t need charts. Logic is enough. This side of how bull runs really work is rarely discussed openly. While I don’t have documents to prove every detail, the pattern matches what played out in reality.
#Crypto #Bull #Bear
I have a question, if every end point is suppose to pivot the low, since we had the low right in the middle of the layout, can it mean that this time the right end would be the top?
(if the blue drawing had happend, then 13th July would pivot the bottom, but since we front ran it, can the red happen?
Bitcoin $BTC / USD — 1M Timeframe
Zee7 BTC Market Intelligence
This chart captures the entire multi-year structur that has defined Bitcoin’s major cycle turning points with surgical precision.
Look at the yellow ovals/circles labeled 0, 1, and 2 on the lower trendline (the **Midline / Pivot Line** is also highlighted for context).
These numbers are **not random** — they literally count **how many times price had to try** before successfully retesting and bouncing off the lower boundary of this massive ascending channel:
- 2017 → 0 tries. Price hit the lower trendline cleanly and reversed straight into the parabolic 2017 top.
- 2018 → 1 try. One failed attempt, then the classic 2018 capitulation bottom formed exactly on the line.
- 2021–2022 → 2 The structure held again through the 2021 top and 2022 bottom.
Every single major turning point in Bitcoin’s history has respected this exact channel structure.
Fast-forward to **now (June 2026): Bitcoin is back at the **lower boundary once again
If the channel continues to hold — exactly as it has every prior cycle — **this becomes the foundation for the next major leg higher**.
The bigger picture hasn’t changed
This time it will take 2 tries.
The 0 → 1 → 2 progression is playing out right in front of us, completing the historical pattern inside the same channel that has governed Bitcoin since 2016.
- 2025 Top? (marked)
- Feb 6, 2026 Pivot 1
- June 6, 2026 Pivot 2
- Dec 2026 → $250K target zone
- Q4 2027 breakout
- 2028 Halving → potential $500K zone
Shmita Cycle 3 is still unfolding (Sep 2022 – Sep 2028), and we are deep in the **7-year counting period** leading into the next actual Shmita year.
The structure is intact.
The channel is holding.
The pattern is repeating.
Patience + structure = the edge.
#BTC #ETH #XRP #ALTSZN