Drink up now while you can afford to
There is a significant story to be told on the long-term coffee chart
A 50-base has been completed
Look for Coffee to rise from 343 presently to $510+ $KC_F
Amazing chart from today's episode:
It's not just that US household exposure to equities is at a record high, but that the stock market is a SIGNIFICANTLY greater component of total household net worth than real estate now, which blows my mind.
The stock market is the economy.
🇫🇷 French corn conditions deteriorated further this week, falling to just 47% good/excellent.
The timing of this extreme heat is unfortunate, with the share of France's corn crop in the sensitive pollination stage jumping from 17% to 42% over the last week.
I know we are only halfway through the year, but I feel it will be hard to top this comment from one of the obligatory buy recommendations on $SPCX issued by one of the underwriters this week. It is truly glorious.
🇫🇷Hot and dry weather has slashed corn conditions in France.
Last week's good-to-excellent rating fell to 58%, down a whopping 26 percentage points in just two weeks.
For comparison, the sharpest two-week decline in U.S. corn conditions during the 2012 drought was 17 points.
I've been trading for 9 years and never seen so much stacked long liquidity on a single level
Once we reach 58K, dump will be brutal
There will be $2B liquidations with a final huge crash that will mark this cycle bottom
Throughout this cycles' market has been purely driven by liquidity, chopping from one imbalance to another
So far pattern continues repeating
My view remains that we must eventually drop to 55K and 50K and even eventually might get 42K and that perfectly lines both mathematically and with historical patterns right now
Plus macro bottom never feels like one, it usually comes after most aggressive liquidation event of the cycle when nobody expects it
Once that happens, when liquidity is fully taken, there's nothing left to dump and that's how bottom will be formed
Either way, I am already buying and will continue DCA at
58K
55K
52K
That’s my 9th year in crypto, I bought BTC at 16k last cycle, I called the exact 126K BTC top. swing short at 70K, called recent 20x memes
I genuinely believe I can help you make money on crypto
I post a lot of educational content and my trades, you can find everything in “highlights” tab on my profile
So make sure to follow me and turn on notifications - I’ve got plenty more profitable calls coming 🤝
Everyone is accusing Jeremy Grantham of being wrong, but everything said is accurate. He was just early.
During every market bubble there are those who warn what's coming, but when making money nobody wants to hear it.
This 2hr interview with @StevenBartlett lets him explain it
You could literally just fly to Zurich, grab a Kaffee und Gipfeli with a 63 year old Heizungsbauer in Winterthur, close your first acquisition over Kalbsfilet at the Kronenhalle, roll up 40 certified HVAC operators across DACH, ride the EU boiler phase-out like a regulatory escalator, build a recurring maintenance book worth 10x, sell to Brookfield at 14x EBITDA tax-free, park the HoldCo in Zug at 11.9%, and spend your summers in Ascona with a blonde who reads Hesse and Jünger.
- but you will not.