10 Lessons I've learnt from 18 months of trading equities
1. Valuations are a function of two things - EPS or Fwd P/E; you can boil any idea into one of these two - make sure which one you're betting on, and have clear invalidations for it
2. Execution makes 80% of the trade work. An idea is nothing without good execution. And the best way to execute is always using limit scale orders through certain levels. Also, NEVER cancel your limit orders, especially your stink bids
3. Selling to sidestep a dip for whatever reasons just introduces more ways to be wrong. 1 - whether the decline occurs, 2 - when to get back in, 3 - what to do with the cash when you're waiting
4. Losing money is the worst thing not because you lose money, but because you miss the next opportunity.
5. If it goes down on non-stock related reasons (i.e macro), it's usually a great buy - macro is unknowable and impossible to predict for most people, and should be treated as noise
6. Value traps are real. Time invalidations are important - if something isn't going up after a certain amount of time, you have to re-evaluate. The market is always right.
7. You should check your accounts at the frequency you trade. If you have a month long timeframe for your investment, don't check it every day.
8. Selling to remove the red P&L, and then evaluating whether to get back in, is a great way to "psychologically reset"
9. Act fast to defend your money, slow to grow your money. Most people do the opposite - slow to protect, fast to make money
10. As Jesse Livermore says, "The point is not so much to buy as cheap as possible or go short at top price, but to buy or sell at the right time.
When some of my stock trading operations are given, you will notice I made my first trade… when the force of movement was so strong that it simply had to carry through.”
this is the single most important pivot point for Bitcoin since January 2023
reclaiming the compression proves a failed breakdown aka a deviation
it officially ends the bear market as we know it and personally forces me fully flip bullish, as I did in 2023 at 19k
Godspeed.
Abraxas:
A composite deity, typically shown with a human torso in armor, a rooster’s head (vigilance, solar dawn), and serpentine legs (chthonic power).
He often holds a whip (authority) and shield. In Basilides’ 2nd-century system, the name’s Greek gematria equals 365 - the number of heavens he rules and days in the year.
Abraxas embodies the unity of opposites and was popular on protective amulets across the Roman world.
How different places react to you being Jacked:
- Australia: expected
- Italy: suspicious
- England: assumed to be a bouncer
- Japan: treated like an exhibit
- Ohio: local celebrity
- France: openly resented
- Germany: asked for your program in a spreadsheet
- Brazil: barely top 50% at the beach
- Sweden: normal, nobody mentions it
- Ireland: “would ya fight me though”
- Russia: assumed to have a past
- Texas: assumed
- Netherlands: irrelevant, they mog you vertically anyway
- Greece: treated as a return to form
- India: God tier status
- Miami: entry-level requirement
- Scotland: bought a pint by strangers
- Dubai: assumed to be someone’s bodyguard
How to turn $100 into $1,000,000 trading memecoins.
No, it's not by looking for one lucky 10,000x.
It's By building habits almost nobody has.
• Start with $1-$5 buys.
You're not trying to get rich.
You're learning.
Learn which wallets always farm.
Learn which wallets always ape runners.
Learn what real organic volume looks like.
Learn when to walk away.
Treat your first losses as tuition.
• Stop taking every trade.
The best traders have the highest quality entries.
Missing a runner hurts less than funding 20 rugs.
• Stop chasing 2x's. Because you missed out.
If you can consistently make 10% on a $20 trade, you've built something far more valuable than one lucky moonshot.
Scale consistency before you scale size.
Scale out.
Take profits into strength.
Sell 10-20% on the way up instead of trying to sell the exact top.
Nobody consistently nails the top.
• Earn the right to size up.
When you can stay profitable with $20...
Trade $50.
Then $100.
Then $500.
The market doesn't care how much money you have.
All that matters is you have an edge.
Most people are trying to flip $100 into millions overnight.
The people who actually make it spend months learning before they ever bet big.
Had a good chat with a founder of a well-known blockchain today. Some thoughts I can offer for crypto as someone who used to be in the investing seat:
- Context: Right now, because I don't have to pitch tokens ideas, I am extremely divorced from price action. And because of that, I now understand why people are bullish crypto. It is a truly unique PoV and I am grateful for it - because it has made me very bullish the industry
- The tech is genuinely good. Growth on the institutional side is genuinely good. The aggregate MC of just tokenized stocks grew from 46.4x in the past year, from $36.0m in July 2025 to $1.67bn in Aug 26. And we have growth in https://t.co/slCF1ooVEF, in stablecoins, in so many other verticals
- Despite all of this, people are bearish the industry. Why? Because the barometer is price. And it always has been. Now that I am watching from an operator seat, I can see both sides of the aisle. Value is accruing, TVL is growing, but prices aren't going up. The sad truth I will say is simply: the industry is going to continue growing, but prices may not
- Token holders and public market investors are divorced. The best thing to do as a company is probably to not launch a token. There's a reason why companies are staying private for longer in equities. The same reason works in crypto. You launch a token, it probably goes down, people get upset.
- And if you have a token, the truth is, you can't have your cake and eat it. If you focus on token, the business probably doesn't do well - you either spend $ on growth on buybacks, or too much attention and no real work gets done. If you focus on business, the token doesn't do well because people will complain "no value accrual, no alignment, etc."
- And so, if you're an operator, at the end of the day it's what you're optimizing for. And frankly, I think optimizing for business growth makes more sense. Even Hyperliquid went down 70% at the start. It'll be tough for token holders in the short term, but your choices are really - die now, or die a little later with a shot at surviving.
A 26-year-old runs 4 AI girls on Instagram and clears $31,000 a month.
He has never met any of them, and neither have the 412,000 followers on the biggest account.
The best clip runs 8 seconds desert range, black bikini, rifle on a bipod, 9.2M views, 340,000 comments begging for a face reveal.
On his desk sit 1 monitor, cold coffee and a terminal, no Photoshop, no editor opened in 7 months.
At 6:40 every morning the pipeline wakes, pulls yesterday's retention curve, keeps the 3 hooks that held past 2 seconds, writes 40 prompts, renders 120 frames, queues 6 posts, and he approves them from his phone in 4 minutes, still in bed.
Compute runs $190 a month, and the rest splits clean: $14,000 in brand deals, $11,000 in fan subs, $6,000 in affiliate links to a shooting range in Arizona and 2 swimwear labels that never asked who she was.
3 agencies want to book her for a Vegas expo in October.
Now go back to those 8 seconds and watch the shadow under the mat it falls toward the sun, and nobody caught it, not once in 9.2M views.
There was never a body behind the account, only a loop: numbers in, prompts out, 6 posts a day, forever.
She never existed, the money did.
> Be a crypto investor
> Have lots of cash after the bear market
> Think bear market is over
> Excited to invest again
> Go through all tokens
> Realise tokens still have the same problems of infinite supply, monthly unlocks, no clear equity <> token alignment
> Realise that after 2 years, there are still < 10 investable tokens
99% of these charts are horrific on higher time frames. Buying a spot basket of these have pros and cons:
Pros:
-You get a good price
-You are buying spot so you can have a longer time horizon and therefore lower execution mistakes
-Many of these coins have high float / no VC unlocks (XPL exception obv)
-Even if conditions ease just a little bit, it won't take much to move these things just a few x. I'm not saying they'll go back to ATH but 2-5x is certainly possible in the right conditions
Cons:
-It could take a very long time for these to move. Weeks or months
-Opportunity cost in that money when it just sits there
-These coins might not be the leader and will just move at market average
-These could still drop another 50% from current prices and it's very hard to 'buy the bottom'
All in all, I think that you still make money if you buy coins at current prices and wait 6 months ish. prices will be solidly higher sometime during that stretch IMO. But there are certainly risks involved. I think everyone should have some sort of longer term hold basket, even if it's a smaller % of your portfolio.
things to research when you have nothing to do:
the great filter
boltzmann brains
the library of alexandria
the black knight satellite
simulation hypothesis
the toba catastrophe
gödel's incompleteness theorems
the antikythera mechanism
the dyatlov pass incident
why octopuses seem so alien
the silk road
pareidolia
the great attractor
the bloop
buena suerte 👍
'Only insiders bought'
Is something I keep reading today after the Robinhood listing.
Now, as someone who bought the lows, here's how I got in:
As you can see in the screenshots below, I was waiting for the price to:
a) flatten out
b) deviate below
c) reclaim → that was my entry trigger
Targets were set exactly at the top of this move, simply: the range high.
It's all simple cycle structure -> go to 2nd tweet (5 tweets total)
Small list of what cucks men
Social media (create only)
Not working out
Speaking before thinking
Dressing poorly
Not doing enough logged work (I time how many minutes of deep work I do per day)
Investing in washed women
Acting through lust
Living through emotions
Spending money needlessly
Not smelling good
Not speaking through masculine core
Not sharpening mind
Lack of reflection
Lack of identifying high leverage skills
Toothless psychological profiling tools for women (makes them a mark to be exploited)
Agreeableness
Unchecked and unmeasured metrics
Lack of spiritual awareness
Low truth tolerance
Lack of focus and presence day to day (easy to miss learning opportunities and get caught off guard)
Inability to take risks
Supplicating to people
Not establishing independence
No defined creed or values
Not ripping a cig
In Greek philosophy, phantasia is the metaphysical mirror and boundary between the sensory world and pure intellect. Where mental images (phantasmata) are generated and projected; and sensory data, memory, symbols, and psychic patterns are stored before the rational mind (1/3)
“crypto” will be a main part of the next meta of content
making money on the internet, digital assets/identity, those will be the things the general public will care about within 12 months
it’ll no longer be a niche market and will truly be mainstream
position accordingly
Never save a woman from domestic violence. White knights lose their lives. She will cry to her friends and then orgasm with her abuser later that night.
Looking at Bitcoin right now, purely from intuition, it feels a lot like the summer of 2022. Price grinding sideways, no real direction, and almost nobody talking about crypto. Discretionary-wise, a lot of things remind me of that range.
Back then I was overtrading the 17K-19K range like a retard. What I was really doing was trying to make up for the mistakes I'd made earlier in the bear market. It took me a few years to admit that and to see that I had completely lost sight of the bigger picture.
So take this as a reminder: don't lose the bigger picture, and don't revenge trade some shitty range. Make peace with the mistakes you made, but still take the lesson with you.
intelligence doesn’t matter anymore
before the industrial revolution, physical strength factored into how much money you made
then it became about how smart you were
ai makes intelligence free
what’s left is agency. decide what you want and be relentless about it