The “Everything Is Priced In” chart.
It documents the biggest catalysts and news events throughout each cycle, and more importantly, what tends to happen shortly after them.
During every bear market, $BTC gets hit with endless bad news that fuels downside. But once the HTF trend starts shifting, that same negative news becomes what I call FUD through the bull cycle.
People become so conditioned to shorting bad news because throughout the bear cycle, negative headlines usually led to lower prices. But when BTC enters a bull cycle and begins doing the inverse, (absorbing the bad news and moving higher), they get caught completely off guard.
The headlines still create panic. People still expect lower. But instead of continuing the downtrend, BTC begins absorbing the fear and trending higher regardless.
There is usually one major catalyst that confirms the continuation. Last cycle, it was the ETF approval. This cycle, I believe it will be the Clarity Act.
We have already seen the early signs of it. The rate hike, Clarity Act speculation and then the failure of the Act were all treated as reasons for BTC to sell off further. Instead, BTC swept the lows and showed strength.
That is the difference between a bear market and a bull market. In a bear market, bad news pushes price lower. In a bull market, bad news is used to make people capitulate before price moves higher.
Now we have had the rate hike, the Clarity Act failure, and even World War 3 narratives trending. Yet BTC is starting to react positively to the fear rather than negatively.
To me, that resilience is one of the clearest signs that the trend has changed. I see no reason these catalysts should play out any differently to previous bull cycle FUD events.
Likes/RTs are appreciated, spent a while creating this.
悟空在取经路经历了九九八十一难之后,这段旅途经历本身也把他从五指山下的顽猴,塑造成了配得上真经的斗战胜佛。
当你通过智慧和勇气赚过一次一千万,他不光是在你的账户里增加了一千万能花的钱这么简单。你的自尊自信自我都会被重构,化为低谷时的午夜虽然流着泪但依然坚定相信自己还能再挣回一个两个无数个一千万的底气。
self-confidence starts with a self, 发自内心的坚定自信是别人给不了的,只有成功过的自己能给。