@weary_centurion 3. ROIC is very uncertain
4. The valuation is highly questionable
5. There are major risks nobody is talking about
Compelling 😂
You would have said more by saying nothing, somehow.
$OUST has been upgraded by Northland to a $60 PT.
Northland analyst Tim Savageaux raised the firm's price target on Ouster to $60 from $38 and keeps an Outperform rating on the shares, citing the emergence of large new markets for LIDAR sensors and software, including humanoid robotics.
What is most ineresting is that he cited Agility Robotics ( $CCXI ) as a potential customer for $OUST given the inclusion of two LIDAR sensors on each robot, the analyst tells investors.
$OUST is up 10% today.
@Alex70848763197@crux_capital_ IP licenses, an actual balance sheet, and a 4-5 year head start on verticals that gave them a…wait for it…healthy balance sheet.
Add the built in America theme and no one is remotely close. Their LiDAR monopoly in smart infrastructure is one of the best kept secrets on WS.
@BirthrightMargs@f0xh00d@Yeah_Dave It means that the multiple assigned to 2026 ARR is really low. Unjustifiable so.
FWIW, I think the the AI business is currently being valued around 25bn, not 15bn, but even so, that’s like 2.5x 2027 revenue.
CHEAP.
@LiebermanAustin Less than 1x backlog?
Less than 6x current year ARR?
At what point can you reward nearly 800% YoY revenues growth?
Let us know when we you give permission to expand.
H100 rental prices are up 21 percent over the trailing six months. The A100, a 2020 chip, is up 5 percent. Six-year-old compute is appreciating in price while $1 trillion of new demand stacks on top. That is scarcity in one chart.
The read-through goes past $NVDA.
$MU supplies HBM4 for Rubin, confirmed by Jensen Huang last month alongside SK hynix and Samsung. The roadmap moves to HBM4e on Rubin Ultra and custom HBM on Feynman in 2028. Memory content climbs every generation, and Micron’s 2026 HBM capacity is already sold out.
$IREN $NBIS $CRWV and $CHRN sit on the other side of that pricing chart. When GPUs hold or gain rental value, fleet economics extend and financing gets easier. NVIDIA’s framing is that AI clouds get bankability, a platform that helps them raise capital and scale.
$APLD captures it one layer up. The GPU cloud moved into $CHRN in the May spinoff, but Applied Digital still owns about 97 percent of it, and as the landlord, longer hardware life and better funded tenants make its long-duration leases easier to underwrite.
Same conclusion I keep landing on. You do not need to pick the single winner. Own the supply layer.
Sentiment: bullish.
@wallstengine This is the $NBIS flywheel at work. These types of smaller deals at scale will soon be more meaningful than the MSFT and META deals.
That’s the business.