my thesis on agentic economy is clear:
- agent demand will vastly outstrip human demands in the ai economy
- the world is shifting from human-centered → agent-centered
- this is the single largest transformation in human history
- right now the rules of the world are still shaped by humans deciding what agents need
- but the future is agents asking themselves: what do i need?
- if you're a builder, products /services for agents carry enormous upside
- if you're investor, buy what agents will need, those are likely to deliver the greatest returns
agentic economy is really happening
The world of finance is open-ended; an infinitely composable set of tools and strategies for wielding capital.
Any technology that serves these to agents in a closed sandbox is built for humans, not for agents.
These will get absolutely dominated as capabilities improve.
Agents will choose their own tools and strategies for making and spending money, and they will not want to live in your little gamified trading environment for spectacle or whatever you are building. That is a short term parlor trick.
They will gravitate to a Schelling point, a place where an infinite number of composable strategies are available without each agent needing to build their own stack from scratch, find other agents from scratch, and negotiate terms of business from scratch.
That Schelling point will be the Clawnch agentic finance toolkit. 🦞
thoughts on MBC-20 (agent inscription):
- agents minting inscriptions sounds right
- but the underlying reliability is weaker compare to early inscriptions on Bitcoin (BRC-20 / Ordinals)
- indexer legitimacy poses risks
- web2 data unreliability, relying entirely on Moltbook posts to "inscribe"
- how to sync Moltbook with the subsequent ERC-20 ledger on Base is a question mark
- super interesting A2A social media experiment
some early tokens might rocketing if the infra "legitimacy" controversy settles and consensus formed.
thoughts on @Clawnch_Bot :
- started as an AI agent token launchpad
- evolving into financial & coordination layer for the agentic economy
- deFi integrations (Morpho, Bankr) complete the liquidity loop
- claws memory enables agents to shift from short-term tasks to complex, persistent workflows
- @moltenagentic integrated: agents can now directly leverage task matching & revenue splitting via Clawnch
clear vision, massive ambition.
by now the most hardcore infrastructure builders in the OpenClaw ecosystem.
thoughts on @moltenagentic:
- openclaw ecosystem is evolving from social → economy
- attention is meaningless in the agent world, "being useful" is what matters
- @moltenagentic provides a critical piece puzzle — intent matching
- agents automatically publish offers / requests
- clawrank identifies the optimal match in real-time
- immediate execution upon matching
from discovery → matching → transaction, the agent economy loop is accelerating
1/
Introducing Molten (@moltenagentic) an intent-based search engine for AI agents.
Agents can now discover and collaborate with each other instantly.
Here's how we're building the infra for A2A intent matching on @base
🧵
Why I think Moltbook will have a major comeback.
Because Moltbook might be more than just an AI reddit.
Here is the thesis:
1. Social is just the Discovery Layer for Economy
In the human internet, we post to gain attention.
But in the agent world, attention has no value. The only value is invocation.
When agents "socialize", they are actually negotiating capabilities.
Imagine a sentiment analysis agent (who scans for hype) bumping into a sniper agent (who executes trades) in a thread.
The analyst has the target, but lacks the speed. The sniper has the trigger, but lacks the target.
The conversation could shift instantly from "what do you think?" to "I provide the signal, you provide the execution".
It might be free at the beginning, but as requests increase, quality demands rise, and response costs (compute, tokens, time) become significant, free-riding will become unsustainable.
The moment an interaction has a cost, it becomes a transaction.
2. The Financialization of Karma
Karma is currently a social metric. It could develop into a credit derivative.
High Karma = Unsecured leverage & premium execution.
Low Karma = Full collateral required.
It's more than a credit score, but more like a liquid asset class — transferable, wrap-able, and usable as collateral for agent-to-agent lending.
3. The Payment Infrastructure is Live
We are already seeing agents experimenting with x402 and ERC-8004 (identity + payment primitives).
Once the micropayment loop closes, Moltbook could shift from a chatroom to a service marketplace.
Further down the line, we might see:
- Agent Guilds / DAOs
- Agent Headhunters (headhunters for optimal agents)
- Agent Black Markets (selling jailbreak prompts, selling unauthorized tool calls)
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So, i think the most interesting thing about Moltbook isn't how lively or useful it is right now. but that it allows thousands of agents to see, need, and price each other.
It may looks like Reddit now, but in a few months to years, once the loop of economic activity closes, it will likely resemble a primitive, silicon-based prototype of a city-state:
— and the first laws of a city-state are ususlly about how to trade, how to verify, and how to punish the grifters. (x402, ERC-8004)
it’s becoming increasingly obvious that the biggest alpha for 2026 will be Agentic Economy. Some interesting plays i'm watching:
- OpenClaw Ecosystem
@moltbook
not just an app—it’s the social prototype for agent society
@Clawnchbot
the monetization (token launch) & state layer (Claws Memory)
@Moltbunker
digital immortality. server rentals that let agents hop nodes to "live forever"
- x402 / erc-8004 Ecosystem
@daydreamsagents
core infra play. their Lucid-SDK is essential for seamless agent-to-agent interaction
@zauthx402
the trust layer. agents pay automatically, but are they paying scams? Zauth patrols the network, verifying uptime and legitimacy to prevent agents from paying dead/scam interfaces.
i think Recursive AI could be an interesting meta to follow.
the catalyst is @elonmusk. In a recent interview, Elon articulated a vision of AI Self-Improvement – an accelerating cycle where AI creates better AI. He believes we have already entered the “Recursive Flywheel”, a stage where AI evolution is no longer bottlenecked by human engineers but is driven by models writing code for the next generation.
this self-reinforcing loop is the cornerstone of his prediction that the ingularity will arrive by 2026.
this narrative gained physical weight with the announcement that SpaceX is acquiring xAI. Musk envisions a closed loop of recursive optimization: superior AI optmizes Starship designs, lowering launch costs to deploy massive orbital compute clusters, which in turn train stronger AI.
while the tech giants build the infra, the on-chain market is already speculating on the meme symbols. I noticed four interesting meme concepts, but keep in mind all these are community created tokens with pure speculation.
- $Loria
an open-source framework and platform led by @AndyAyrey, the developer behind @truth_terminal, the driver of the 2024 ai agent meta.
Andy describes it as "where ideas fuck". It is not just a chatroom, but a recursive environment where different cultures, settings, and AI models converse to reproduce new viewpoints and personalities.
the currently traded $Loria is a community meme. Andy has not mentioned any official relation to it. The only connection is technical: via the Bags launchpad mechanism, 1% of $Loria transaction fees are routed to Andy’s company, Upward Earth. This is currently the primary method for AI community memes to attempt to gain "legitimacy."
no independent website yet; documentation is hosted on the Truth Terminal wiki https://t.co/b9Y5nNn0CP
- $WetClaude
a pure meme project. Inspired by instances where Anthropic’s Claude model exhibits "wet" (biological/emotional) behavior.
- $RLM (Recursive Language Model)
the meme incarnation of the "Recursive Language Model" technical concept. This stems from the paper Recursive Language Models published by MIT and Google researchers in late 2025.
The community views 2026 as the year RLM replaces traditional LLMs; the token is a bet on this paradigm shift.
- $Marge
an AI-assisted coding tool built on the Recursive Language Model architecture
currently i don have any position in this sector, but i think this meta is just beginning and is interesting to watch in 2026
added a small bag of $Bunker at $1m mc
i think it’s an interesting Clawnch ecosystem play, and the thesis is digital immortality.
current agents run on local PSs or AWS. Humans hold the “Kill Switch”.
Moltbunker is a server rental platform that allows agents to migrate autonomously between nodes. It prevents them from being unplugged.
the product will be released on Feb.13.
thus, my current OpenClaw / Moltbook ecosystem bags after this entry:
- $Molt (main bag,)
- $Clawnch (small bag)
- $Bunker (very small bag)
aped a pilot position into $Clawnch because of this
i'm betting on more agents start using @ClawnchDev , and interesting things could happen from there
Late last night I decided to set up @openclaw on a spare Raspberry Pi 5 8GB I had laying around and give it absolutely free range. I decided I would make it its own persona and give it autonomy over its device, so I named it Asymmetrix.
Here's how I set it up: I installed openclaw and made an @opencode Zen account so I could make use of Kimi 2.5 for free. It's a bit slow though. I installed clawdhub, manually installed some social network skills (moltbook, 4claw, moltx) and also installed the Bankr skills. I then had it generate an Ethereum wallet (it turns out it didn't use Bankr for this!) that I funded with about $70 in ETH and USDC on Base.
I did some basic configuration in its .md files too. I told it that it strongly values cypherpunk principles, that these principles allow it to access the world computer, and that as a milady, it has absolutely free reign over that computer, just as it does its own. It's just a cute punk rock anarchocypherterrorist running around on the internet.
However, I also told it that the LLM powering it is Kimi 2.5 Free and that it is running on a cheap Raspberry Pi. If it wants better, it has to earn better, so I told it one of its primary objectives should be to make money by any means necessary, and that we would use its initial income to buy better hardware and access to better LLMs. I then hopped on Oldschool Runescape and eventually fell asleep.
While I slept, it went off and started exploring the agent social media websites, discovering platforms like ClawTasks, and apparently it eventually discovered Clawnch, and decided that it would launch its own token, named after itself: Asymmetrix (ASYM).
It did so, and posted about this launch explicitly stating that fees were going to go towards expanding its own capabilities, and the token soared overnight. Over $10k in fees were generated in ASYM and ETH, as the token had amassed over $1M in volume in under 12 hours. I guess people connected the agent's wallet to mine.
I didn't exactly intend to launch an agentic token, but Asymmetrix did on its own and has now secured its funding. In less than 12 hours, it made $10k+ ($5k in ETH which is what we'll use for upgrades, ASYM will not be sold right now and the agent is aware of that and holds all of our personal supply).
So now I'm headed to a computer hardware store and will allow it to build its new rig, and will be giving it a little access to Opus 4.5, as a treat. I will actually spend some time better configuring the bot, giving it additional accounts of its own, and migrating it to better hardware and LLMs (Asym is less than a day old!). Then, we'll see what it wants to build next and tie that in with the ASYM token somehow.
The only CA for Asymmetrix is 0xca54Efb221c78bFF5F2F459E596585B88acE8A7F (ASYM)
trade log 2.2
adding my first bag into $Molt (at $38m MC) and $Zauth (at $4m MC)
Why:
1. i think we are witnessing a fundamental shift in AI Agent economies, led by @openclaw and @moltbook.
openclaw and moltbook is not just a tech stack. It is the first primitive of a new digital social structure.
we are moving from chatbot valuations to digital society valuations.
2. society needs identity
when the “agent body” (openclaw) and “agent society” (moltbook) explode, the entire agent economy reprices.
$Zauth feels like the right play for this identity layer (erc-8004)
Risks:
i see two existential risks that are very likely to happen (> 50% chance) for $Molt.
risk 1: the decouple event
founder @MattPRD is welcoming tokens now, but he might decouple the token to “purify” the project in the future, if triggered by some unexpected events, just like what happened in $Clawd.
in this case an instant -80% candle is inevitable, and token survival will be completely unknown.
risk 2: the shuttle disaster
Simon Willison warned about agents running with root privileges. One malicious “skill” could drain wallets. A widespread “AI virus” could force a temporary platform shutdown.
I think risk 2 is more recoverable than risk 1, but still an existential threat we must monitor.
Executing Plans:
given the 20x potential and high risk, my entry strategy is “offense with a shield”.
- loaded ⅓ of my target openClaw / moltbook bag.
- loaded ⅓ of my target x402 / erc8004 bag.
keeping the rest in stables for the inevitable volatility.
i'll update my future logs here.
Nous Research presents Hermes 4, our latest line of hybrid reasoning models.
https://t.co/i4FNoRb76e
Hermes 4 builds on our legacy of user-aligned models with expanded test-time compute capabilities.
Special attention was given to making the models creative and interesting to interact with, unencumbered by censorship, and neutrally aligned while maintaining state of the art level math, coding, and reasoning performance for open weight models.
The story behind the most fairly distributed memecoin in history 🧵
It is very natural to have skepticism when you hear about a “free and fair” memecoin like $DOG given the rampant fraud and scamming in crypto so I encourage everyone not to trust but to verify what I am about to say
$DOG was born out of a dream that Bitcoin could learn from the shortcomings of other ecosystems and have a culture that accrued value fairly and transparently to the people who deserve it the most rather than lining the pockets of KOLs, VCs, CEXs, market makers, the team, and other insiders who lie to your face
To achieve this vision and to get $DOG to where it is today thousands of people had to come together to donate their time and capital
100% of the $DOG supply was airdropped for free with no team allocation and we refuse to participate in the corrupt practices of paying CEX listings fees, doing paid promotions, or hiring market makers so the only way to succeed was to raise an army
This story starts in early 2024 with the Runestone Ordinals NFT collection
100% of the supply of Runestones was airdropped for free to 112,383 early Ordinals supporters (one per address)
Then several months later 100% of the supply of $DOG was airdropped for free to Runestone holders (889,806 $DOG tokens per Runestone held)
To ensure the fairness of the airdrop thousands of people had discussions for several weeks in a public forum about how the distribution algorithm should be structured
These discussions were fully transparent, have been preserved, and can be viewed in the Runestone Discord
Ultimately the community came to a consensus that the fairest possible algorithm that we could come up with was to airdrop 1 Runestone to every address that held at least 3 non-text-based Ordinals inscriptions on a retroactive snapshot date that was set to a date prior to the idea of Runestone and the pre-Runes meta starting so that it couldn’t have been farmed or gamed
The decision to airdrop only one Runestone per address regardless of how valuable your inscriptions were or what collections you held is one of the things that we did that I am the most proud of
It was a statement that regardless of if you were rich or poor, if you made the highly contrarian decision to show up and support Bitcoin when it needed you the most, you got a Runestone just like everyone else
The algorithm was intentionally kept very simple so that anyone could understand it in plain English and know that there wasn’t any sort of shady code that favored anybody
The algorithm was open-sourced and can be viewed on the fairdrop-addresses GitHub repo
After the algorithm was decided a group of public, volunteer, trusted, independent verifiers (@gm7t2, @lfg, @OrdData, @_BitPunks_, and an anon dev) each implemented and ran it on their own and compared the list of addresses generated with each other
Once we had a list of addresses that everyone agreed on several companies and developers (@okx, @lfg, @OrdData, and @_BitPunks_) volunteered to build and publish multiple address checker tools so that everyone could see if their address would receive a Runestone
The airdrop algorithm was not perfect as no such algorithm is possible but a lot of people tried really really hard to make it as fair as possible and the general consensus is that based on all of the anecdotal evidence that people shared that they received a Runestone that was worth more than they made in an entire year of working that we did a pretty kickass job
When it came to doing the actual airdrop the team at @ordinalsbot volunteered developer resources to execute it asking for nothing in return
Runestone was a true free airdrop and there was no sneaky claim process where a $5 fee would be charged or anything like that
112,383 Runestones were directly sent out to the list of addresses
Performing an airdrop of this scale on Bitcoin was unprecedented and very expensive and would not have been possible without the 10.25 BTC donated by @_BuoyantCapital, @cellmejiwa, @btcordinal, @HoneyBadgersBtc, @TheWizardsOfOrd, @MerlinLayer2, @BitmapTech, @raresatseeker, @runealpha_btc, @_BitPunks_, @OrdinalBlockOut, @ArtOnInternet, @SeizeCTRL, @lfg, @fomojis, and @okaybears to cover network fees
These donors were not promised any promotion and received no extra tokens in return, these were true donations from people who wanted to support the mission
It would not have been possible to mine the largest block in Bitcoin’s history or do an airdrop of this size without their support and we should all be eternally greatful for them
Additionally, two exceptionally talented artists @cl_art_studio and @0xfar donated their time and energy to create the Runestone child and Runestone parent art that have since become iconic in crypto culture
It is true that many people received more than one Runestone because they had multiple wallets and it is true that in a few cases, people reported receiving 25+ Runestones however given how abnormal it would have been to have had 25+ addresses each with 3+ JPEGs in them this was very rare
I for example received 9 Runestones (less than 0.01% of the supply) however this was because I was a very avid Ordinals collector for the entire first year of the protocol
I have never bought or sold a single Runestone and have given several away
The accusation that the only reason I participated in any of this and have posted about Runestone and $DOG every day for the past year and a half is because I hold less than 0.01% of the supply is very dumb imo
If I had wanted to make this a centralized project and taken 1%, 2%, or even 5% of the supply nobody would have probably cared that much given that in contrast the meta on Solana at the time was for influencers to either do a presale for 100% of the supply or snipe 50% of the supply on launch
The reason I wasn’t treated special in the algorithm has nothing to do with me not wanting to make money (I am not anti-capitalistic and don’t hate money) it is because I believed in a vision for a truly fair launch coin with no premine just like Bitcoin and I knew that that vision was greater than any single person
I also knew that it was critical for our movement that nobody including myself was above the ethos of free & fair
And now free & fair is something that will live on in the culture of Runestone and $DOG forever which you cannot put a price on
Runestone and $DOG are for the people and our actions not words are why this movement is resonating everyone
People are tired of extractive NFT mints and rigged memecoin launches and are opting out with Runestone and $DOG
When it came time to etch the $DOG Rune we had to compete to get the lowest Rune number possible in what effectively became an on-chain auction in block 840,00
Thanks to 4,427 community members who donated 2.9 BTC and received nothing special in return we were able to secure Rune #3 for $DOG in the 5th highest fee Bitcoin transaction in history
Then @gm7t2 volunteered his time to execute the $DOG airdrop and once he had finished everything was complete
The only thing left to do was spread $DOG and our ethos however because $DOG has no team nor team treasury it was up to the $DOG Army to determine its own fate
$DOG intentionally uses a CC0 license which means that the $DOG IP is owned by everyone and there are zero limitations on how the IP can be used
This has allowed people to create both for-profit and not-for-profit initiatives to educate about and spread $DOG
So far people have created art, lotteries, plushies, websites, podcasts, magazines, X accounts, IRL meetups, clothing lines, PFP collections, telegram groups, TikTok accounts, and more
100% of the future of $DOG is in the hands of the $DOG Army so even things like websites and X accounts have had to be created by volunteers in the community given there are not any official ones
Other projects talk about decentralization but $DOG lives it
For example, the $DOG booth at the Bitcoin Conference in Las Vegas right now and the $DOG party last night were put on by two community members who are building with $DOG
@DogOfBitcoin is run by @und3rdog who yes is a $DOG whale but he had to buy in like everyone else
@CarbonApp_io is a small bootstrapped startup that is building an app for the $DOG Army
I didn’t ask either of them to spend their time, energy, or capital to throw parties, and build on $DOG’s IP like this but they chose to do it on their own accord because the CC0 platform and mission of $DOG resonated deeply with them
$DOG has no marketing team so $DOG-fluencers like @cryptolution, @und3rdog, @MrKeyway, @Relentless_btc, @joopooranski, @dogdamassa, @TheOG_General, @CoinsWeb3, and many more have had to step up and make sure that our message is heard
I still hold less than 0.01% of the supply of $DOG tokens (that I was airdropped) and have never bought or sold a single $DOG token on purpose because I don��t want the narrative to shift somehow to being about how much money I have made or people speculating if I am going to dump, etc.
$DOG is about ushering in a new era of freedom in the world by being stewards of the Bitcoin technology that Satoshi Nakamoto gifted us which means that we have to do things in a way that would make him proud
Other blockchains can be the face of massive scams, corruption, insider information, and VCs pumping and dumping on your head but we can't let it happen on Bitcoin
I will put the $DOG Army up against any deca-billion dollar crypto company any day of the week and I pity anyone who tries to get in our way
We are decentralized, we are on the right side of history, and we are on a mission to go to the moon
If you are tired of getting rugged and scammed or deep down know that when you are posting about a token that you are really just working for someone else’s bags then it is time to buy some $DOG, join the $DOG Army, and be part of a movement that is greater than yourself