When I first posted the 15% Band, I compared Republicans vs. Democrats, so it covered 30 Senate races.
Now that results are nearly final, I updated it to include every vote: Republicans, Democrats, independents, third parties, everyone, in all 35 Senate races. Then I ran a new regression analysis. Once again, the number came back .85.
34 of 35 Senate Republicans fell below President Trump's 2024 share. Red states and blue states lost the same proportion.
In some states the lost votes went to Democrats. In others, like Idaho, Nebraska and Montana, they went to independents. Different opponents, different places for the votes to go, and the Republican share still landed at about 85%.
This isn't just an average. An average can hide states scattered all over the place. A regression tests whether one rule fits every state.
Here, it does: Trump's 2024 share × .85 lands close to the Republican result state after state after state, and explains 87% of the differences between them (R² = .87).
Five nights ago, I was pretty sure. Tonight, I know.
This is real. It deserves an answer.
I've scoured the interwebs to find the entire video and this is the longest version I've been able to find.
Aside from walking down the street, crossing at a crosswalk with the right of way, with her face uncovered, and a dog at her side (obvious violations of Sharia law). I can't find anything else that this woman did to deserve this treatment.
Did the officers ever articulate a crime when they detained her and demanded ID? Was it the dog or her being uncovered that caused this stop?
SHARIA POLICING: NYPD Muslim COPS Manhandle Nurse Walking Her Dog, Threaten to Arrest Her, Seize Her Pet
They cornered her, physically restrained her and took her little dog, When confronted, they became angry but could not identify what law she had broken.
Thank Gd those passersbys came to her aid.
https://t.co/cCJwir4Dad
We see what's going on here...
1) She's out at night.
2) She's has no male guardian.
3) She's not wearing the islamic garb.
4) She's has a dog that's forbidden.
It’s happening and we warned you it would. A woman walking her dog on the streets of NYC was stopped and harassed by two Muslim cops, telling her it was wrong and that they were going to take her dog from her.
Dogs are haram and considered filthy in Islam. This ideology has no place in our nation. It’s going to get a lot worse.
It starts with your dog. Then it’s how you dress. The hemline. What you can wear on the street before someone decides it’s a problem. Then it’s the LGBT community. The bars. The music. And before you know it, you’re wondering whether you can still walk around New York at night like it’s your city.
This is just the beginning of what you voted in. I hope some of you are going to watch this video and finally ask yourselves, “What the fuck did we do?”
Around 3 a.m. in Murray Hill, two NYPD officers stopped a nurse while she was walking her leashed dog. The officers said she was in the street. She said she had the walk signal. One of them grabbed her arm, and you can hear her telling him he was hurting her. Bystanders started filming, called 911, and demanded a supervisor. Even with people asking them directly, the officers never clearly said what law she’d broken. She kept her dog.
I hope she goes after both of them hard. The two officers in the video are Asfak Mahmud, shield 10087, and Mohammed S. Ahmed, shield 22523, both of the NYPD’s 17th Precinct.
I’d file complaints with NYPD Internal Affairs and the Civilian Complaint Review Board and talk to a civil rights attorney about a possible lawsuit against the officers and the city. I want to hear exactly what justified putting hands on her.
New Arsenal Tool, EVERYONE!
The Election Cameras Tool - It shows you all the cameras at election departments around the nation, with simple click to view them.
If I'm missing any, let me know. Enjoy!
https://t.co/oakMMy3vUo
🚨 THIS IS THE STORY OF THE DECADE: Nick Shirley just dropped a 43-minute investigation into what happened to the migrant children who came across under Biden.
The federal government LOST TRACK of up to 300,000 of them.
Kids were handed off to sponsors nobody properly vetted. Nonprofits got paid hundreds of millions of tax dollars to do it.
Some of these children ended up in forced labor and abuse.
Every person who signed off on this needs to answer for it under oath. WATCH THIS.
🚨 Inside the Largest Government Funded Human Trafficking Ring in History: Your tax dollars trafficked over 300,000 children across the United States while NGOs enriched themselves with millions of dollars.
One NGO received $895 million to traffic children across the US. Others got $100+ million, and NGOs in areas like Tucson, Arizona pocketed millions but now receive nothing since the border shut down.
In this video we break down the contracts, speak with former Border Patrol, and confront the NGOs. It’s a must watch, like it and share it. Make sure no one forgets the hundreds of children lost in the government’s hands.
It is easy to deceive nice Americans who are ignorant of what Sharia law is, so Abdul has his talking points and keeps repeating everywhere that Sharia law is just like canon law.
First of all, Christians do not impose “canon law” on everyone else, not because of the Constitution, but because there is nothing in Christianity that commands them to do so.
In Islam, however, everyone must submit to Sharia, and Islam does not recognize man-made law as having authority over divine law.
No constitution can prevent Islam from trying to impose itself on society.
Abdul knows this, and it is enough to listen to his sermons in Arabic at a mosque to understand that he is on a mission to advance Islam in the United States.
Americans, especially the useful idiots, think that Abdul stands against Israel because of Gaza or because he is a leftist.
No. Abdul stands against Israel because of Islam, and that alone should tell you where his ultimate loyalties lie in relation to the Constitution of the United States.
Abdul can swear whatever oath he wants. When it comes to serving Islam, everything is justified.
Swearing an oath does not mean shit if someone believes that serving Allah takes precedence over it.
Muslims make up less than 2% of the U.S. population, yet they control the entire state of Minnesota and Columbus, Ohio, and are on the verge of controlling Michigan. They’ve utterly destroyed Lewiston, Maine, while Dearborn, MI might as well be in the sandbox.
France is 10% Muslim and on the brink of becoming a failed state. The UK is 6% Muslim and has just uncovered the rape of roughly 250,000 girls by Muslim gangs.
America needs to wake up. This is jihad.
🚨WHILE EVERYONE IS DISTRACTED BY TILLAMOOK CAVING TO SHARIA, NABISCO QUIETLY ADDED A SMALL TEAM OF IMAMS TO BLESS THE PRODUCTS COMING OUT OF ITS PLANT IN THE SUBURBS OF DETROIT!
“Nabisco went Halal and didn’t bother to tell anyone but the Muslim community,” said Activist Ben Jarroo of the Citizens United National Trust Society. “Now we have people of all faiths consuming products blessed by what most would consider blasphemers to their own beliefs. It’s not right.”
Nabisco says the Imams are there to make sure the food that goes out to the heavily Muslim communities in Dearborn and Grand Rapids is “customer friendly.”
They didn’t have an answer for all the other people unwittingly conforming to a foreign religion’s dietary restrictions.
Share this everywhere so they see Nabisco went Halal in secret and nobody was told!
Elf-Sayed ran 'Detroit Animal Care and Control' for only 16 months. So he killed 288 dogs a month, on average. Or about 10 dogs every single day. For 16 months straight. Muslims consider dogs unclean.
The CDC never sounded the alarm, not early, not late, not anytime in between. We now have evidence that they were being notified the entire time by their contractor, who could not even process all the injury reports because there were too many.
https://t.co/Wc9Pz8Qf5t
UPDATE:
@ZohranKMamdani just deleted his tweet below that I quoted after I exposed how he is discriminating against non-Muslim street food vendors and how he’s trying to spread Islamic ritual animal torture aka Halal in NYC by giving out over 10,500 more licenses to Halal street vendors, which would islamify the food supply in New York and push out the kosher hot dog stands and pretzel stands by overwhelming them with competing Islamic Halal vendors.
After he started to get ratioed following my X post, Mamdani DELETED his tweet.
Luckily I took a screenshot because I was stunned he tweeted this to begin with.
What an insane little jihadi.
Nobody in New York wants to be suffocated by the smell of shawarma and white sauce. It smells like shit and will give you explosive diarrhea and food poisoning.