Aaron Sant-Miller

Believer of data driven decision making, a dominant running game, and decisive opposite field hitting. #Ravens #WhiteSox #FightingIrish

[Aaron Sant-Miller @ASantMiller]

@RavensSalaryCap I assume they only add the void year if they feel confident that an extension is looming? Otherwise they are exposing themselves to too much risk long-term?

[Aaron Sant-Miller @ASantMiller]

@ravens4dummies THIS. Worked against the Rams.

[Aaron Sant-Miller @ASantMiller]

@FilmstudyRavens I think the extended injury may be to Humphrey, not Hamilton. So, I think you're getting the favored outcome... but maybe not for a good reason.

I think another move has to be coming at EDGE.

[Aaron Sant-Miller @ASantMiller]

@FilmstudyRavens @RavensSitRoom @UKRavens @scottishravens @TheGermanFlock @DutchFlock Completely agree with punt on the 4th & 1 (Q2, 2:00) - Multiple negative outcomes (e.g., failure to convert) were the only way CLE would have won. The interesting question to me: Win Probability delta btwn 5yd delay of game with three TOs vs two TOs and the 5yds.

[Aaron Sant-Miller @ASantMiller]

@jeffzrebiec Is there any chance they go into the game with just two TEs (with Likely and Ricard most likely out)? Mitchell-Paden or Scott a more likely activation if not?

[Aaron Sant-Miller @ASantMiller]

@HoodieRamey You don’t restructure Marlo if you’re moving Andrews at this point in the offseason. He’s probably staying on the existing contract

[Aaron Sant-Miller @ASantMiller]

@RavensSalaryCap Is eligibility for this contact impacted if a player has previously signed one? Ie is Ricard available for it again next year?

[Aaron Sant-Miller @ASantMiller]

@RavensSalaryCap Feels like a two year deal with an option to extend after that? Overall, for Stanley, it's probably a two-year deal for $44M, but functionally gives the Ravens a team option in the third year that will likely convert to an extension if he plays well Y1 and Y2.

[Aaron Sant-Miller @ASantMiller]

@ColeJacksonFB FA is the way you account for draft challenges (IMO). The Ravens consistently draft DBs well (with a rare exception). Spending on tier 1-2 DB FAs would be an anti pattern, and may not be where they need repairs that can’t be fixed with good college scouting.

[Aaron Sant-Miller @ASantMiller]

@FilmstudyRavens @JSRFortunes Love Watts as a fit, both skill and culture. His sweet spot might be higher than 59, so it might have to be a trade up (~5-10 slots) to get him. Might take 128 and a little bit more? Trading back from the 1st feels unlikely with so many picks already and the need for blue chips

[Aaron Sant-Miller @ASantMiller]

@FilmstudyRavens Good sign that people are in line early. From my experience, indicates a “present@ crowd that makes it difficult on the opponent

[Aaron Sant-Miller @ASantMiller]

@BarstoolIrish @buckedup @CuttDeez

[Aaron Sant-Miller @ASantMiller]

@FilmstudyRavens @RavensTalkPod It’s been discussed, but I find it unlikely that the Ravens trade/cut Andrews. I understand the financials, but it reminds me of Boldin (which BAL Brass has said they regret). They see Andrews as a culture / tone setter, along with exceptional play on the field #filmstudymailbag

[Aaron Sant-Miller @ASantMiller]

@MikeMonaco_ Hate to admit it, but with the renovations, LGA is actually on the up with JFK construction

[Aaron Sant-Miller @ASantMiller]

@FilmstudyRavens @1057TheFan On OverTheCap, cutting Williams with a post-June 1 designation looks to save $12M in 2025 (more than the $5.3M with pre-June 1 designation). Any reason why you don't think they would use the post-June 1st? Spreading the hit over two years seems appealing with 2025 cap situation

[Aaron Sant-Miller @ASantMiller]

@jeffzrebiec Have to think, after watching SNF, the decision was to preserve him against Barkley... given the Chargers have been relatively low in running efficiency all year.

[Aaron Sant-Miller @ASantMiller]

@FilmstudyRavens @BCroxton99 There is an argument for it - what percent do you think they need to expect to convert to make a compelling argument? I have to think the number is closer to 70% than 50%.

[Aaron Sant-Miller @ASantMiller]

@jacksettleman Ojulari for a 5th conditional and Campbell for a 7th conditional would do wonders. Taking a flier on Forbes is interesting too, but the first two are must gets.

[Aaron Sant-Miller @ASantMiller]

@ColeJacksonFB Would you rather be giving a tired Washington snaps? Or Chris Wormley? ... Or how about Campbell? This is a no-brainer move to me as a depth piece. He's not a front-line guy, but a huge improvement for 20 snaps a game

[Aaron Sant-Miller @ASantMiller]

@MikeMonaco_ @ObserverSports @NHL @NotreDame @MDeFranks dawgs