Ethan 🌌

🇭🇰🇬🇧
aka ATPM.

[Ethan 🌌 @ATPMstealsO2]

a non-exhaustive list of 2028 endings

[Ethan 🌌 @ATPMstealsO2]

@kamalacrat Walz as VP is probably the one place he'd have been even less relevant that he's become

[Ethan 🌌 @ATPMstealsO2]

@intentionalisms -Richard Hanania

[Christopher Hooks @cd_hooks]

I don't know what the EV numbers mean yet. I have guesses. but the level of cope you're seeing from guys like this is rapidly approaching the darkest days of the D coconutreich

[Ethan 🌌 @ATPMstealsO2]

@adame2kill4 @PanasonicDX4500 smaller economic rescue, which *might* mean less inflation

and Dobbs helps Dems either way

[one dozen bats at a keyboard @PanasonicDX4500]

“Democrats NEED Joe Manchins!”

No, they don’t. He spent four years either watering down or outright blocking Joe Biden’s agenda, took every national media appearance he could get to say “Republicans are right, my party is crazy!”, and then quit without running for re-election.

[Ethan 🌌 @ATPMstealsO2]

@SoapsandSciFi @AlbenbarkleyFan @PollTracker2024 i don't think seeing sky-high voting in Atlanta is "mixed at worst"

[Ethan 🌌 @ATPMstealsO2]

@bdquinn State Navigate is doing a few gubernatorial ones! (GA the big one)

[Ethan 🌌 @ATPMstealsO2]

@HausofSweets @AnthonyMKreis yes, but no third party this time, so very improbable that both candidates miss 50%

[Anthony Michael Kreis, FRHistS @AnthonyMKreis]

I think KLB may well pull this one off, and cleaner than folks think.

[Ethan 🌌 @ATPMstealsO2]

@AlbenbarkleyFan @PollTracker2024 the early vote is anything but good for the GOP

[Ethan 🌌 @ATPMstealsO2]

@walkeri141 @AndrewDahDude yeah MI is less polarized, not that Dems lose either race

[Isaiah Walker @walkeri141]

If Collins actually loses by 10 or more than it doesn’t matter what Jackson does, he’s fried. Collins’ collapse is KLB’s best campaign tool right now.

My priors were Jackson can outrun up to 8 - 8 was what Walker underran by. And truth be told, KLB isn’t nearly Walker bad

[Cassie Pritchard @hecubian_devil]

It’s notable that Turek polling well behind Sand gets much less attention from the chattering class than AES polling behind Benson

[David J. Bier @David_J_Bier]

It sure seems like when there's a national campaign of racial profiling targeting a certain demographic, it's unpopular with that demographic

[Ben Yelin @byelin]

Reminder for us real ones: Final Rasmussen generic ballot in 2018 had Rs up 1 (they lost by 8.5).

[Ethan 🌌 @ATPMstealsO2]

@bdquinn well, once the floor falls out, you start finding funny results

[Kenny🔆⏹️ @gaslightyourmom]

I don’t like fascism nor do I want the rainforest destroyed, Lula is closer to me politically

[Ethan 🌌 @ATPMstealsO2]

@freakpapi23 what the fuck is your problem, you big baby

[Ethan 🌌 @ATPMstealsO2]

The Nock of War

[Ethan 🌌 @ATPMstealsO2]

@roon0292 crucially she’s quieter than Herschel, which makes it easier for people to vote single-party

[Eric Heggie @EricHeggie]

Absolutely cooked. Any dems not at 50% this point in 2010 didn’t make it.