@TweetinderKaul 2/2 In the event India were to target Turkey in response to its assistance to Pakistan, Turkey will not be at liberty to invoke NATO protection. But India will also not target Turkey militarily. Weapon and training assistance is happening in all kinds of war theatre.
@TweetinderKaul 1/2 The complications of this arrangement will take time to unfold. This is likely to have US backing but will be Iran focused. US wouldn’t sanction an attack on Israel. W.r.t Indo-Pak conflicts, Turkey will be confined to arms delivery/training. Saudi will keep a distance.
@tavleen_singh Disagree. What Pakistan did in Punjab/Kashmir; what can be done by reigniting naxals and trouble in north-east (by any external force - Pakistan standalone or with tactical help from China/B’desh) is nothing but destabilizing. Agencies will fight but there’s no absolute defence.
@_sabanaqvi An ideological militia (IRGC) has shown that if you have a people and a nation to wager and let die, you can pawn them for your own survival. This, at top of your own internal kill fest.
@sushantsareen 3. Pak may have even offered to help US in getting Bagram back - though it will never do so, since China wouldn’t approve of it and even Pak wouldn’t want a US base close by. Also, Any armed conflict keeps Munir relevant in Pak.
@sushantsareen 2. Also, for US, Pak is helpful in keeping India on its toes. It is likely that the Pakistani attacks on Afg since last year were already pre-approved by US, as a larger concession sought by Pak in its fight against terrorism (just as US designated BLA as terror organisation)
@sushantsareen 1. From a US perspective, It is to be seen differently. Between Taliban n Pak, there are no better moral choices. Taliban r not so malleable but Pak and its agencies are available for rent. If paid well, Pak can kill Palestinians, give airbases and access route to attack Iran/Afg
@Iyervval The logic of this argument is not senseless. This was one of the important factors behind the Agniveer Scheme. Though, part of his statement about getting the soldiers to do other work is disingenuous. That makes it seem like his statement is not coming from a point of sincerity.
@MoeedNj 7. Notice, how since Bajwa’s time military has been saying (though not doing) that it wouldn’t interfere in political process. And now Munir with all his smarts is aware that an open coup and throwing away political
Govt. Will be counterproductive.
@MoeedNj 6. Khan, in the person he is, is not a worthy candidate to shoulder this hope (given he will easily compromise with the military) but this growing public disenchantment may slowly further delegitimise military’s political intervention.
@MoeedNj 5. There could be one spark of light, however - One can see the large public support for Khan as an indication of a growing eagerness to resist military’s control of polity and policy.
@MoeedNj 4. If only he was allowed to complete his term (and not thrown out in an orchestrated no-confidence vote), he would have lost the next election. Munir will also perish sooner than later, I believe, and then the process of another round of election/selection will keep rolling on.
@MoeedNj 3. But for outsiders, say Indians, it is generally all one and the same. Khan is perhaps more conceited, bigoted, regressive and anti-India than Nawaz. Also, the corruptions of his regime are well documented.
@MoeedNj 2. Khan will happily lap-up the establishment if he is in-turn lapped up. He was ‘selected’ and ran a corrupt, incompetent govt. Pakistani people and elites, who are within the overall establishment universe, have the privilege of repenting more for one politician than the other.
@MoeedNj 1. Today Khan is in jail due to Munir. But in a normal rule of law country he would mostly be in jail anyways for the kind of corruption his govt. indulged in. Khan only has a personal grudge against the military, not a principled one.
@sardesairajdeep Some people may agree with the spirit of the game argument - but u shockingly went on to draw parallels between Pahalgam and Pak’s rant on Baluchistan. U need to realize that ur entire Pak philosophy is misplaced, unless ofcourse you strengthen these false equivalences knowingly.