Adam Brennan

Longer term to medium term value investor. Sharing information on all sorts of stocks, not affliated to anything

[Adam Brennan @AdamBBBAAA]

$ZG is getting hammered as part of the software bloodbath...

Crazily management has been much more positiev on 3 most recent quarters... I think this just moves with software without any regards to what management is telling

[Adam Brennan @AdamBBBAAA]

$SIMO an AI-storage winner that makes the "brains" for SSD.

For years it was a boring, cheap, dividend paying stock and now with Ai its exploding.

Now its turning into a great growth bet that is cheap vs other semiconductors (see pic)

[Adam Brennan @AdamBBBAAA]

$VSH management is very conservatie/cautious most earnings releases and I think thats actually bullish, I love a company that doesn't sugarcoat

Also had an amazing quarter most recently

[Adam Brennan @AdamBBBAAA]

$TMDX built the Organ Care System: tech that keeps organs alive, expanding the pool of usable organs and improving transplants. They even run their own fleet of 22 jets to move organs nationwide which raises the barrier to entry for any company to compete. No longer unprofitable and down a lot on most recent earnings.

After that drop, a reverse DCF implies the market now prices in barely any growth (2.6% per year) for a company still guiding 20–25% revenue growth this year.

Special company that got much cheaper

[Adam Brennan @AdamBBBAAA]

@markminervini The productivity wave that AI/robotics will cause is so much more massive than the rise of internet

[Adam Brennan @AdamBBBAAA]

$KSS is pricing in a crazy -11.7% decline in earnings over the next 5 years...

value setup?

[Adam Brennan @AdamBBBAAA]

@CryptoBrunie yes! also last 4 quarters they seem to be much more positive than in 2025

[Adam Brennan @AdamBBBAAA]

I love $PL (Planet Labs) a profitable space data company growing 30% +

Planet makes pictures of the entire Earth's every single day. because they've been doing it for years, they've built a large history of the whole planet which is a MOAT

Great growth bet, high barrier to entry, selling to interesting customers (Federal government but also commercially to Agriculture for example).

SpaceX, Rocketlab are amongst their suppliers.

[Adam Brennan @AdamBBBAAA]

@cryptosauce247 i would not make this based on an LLM ever

[Adam Brennan @AdamBBBAAA]

$SIDU is a small cap with a serious customer list...

NASA, DoD, Space Force, and the Intelligence Community (NRO, CIA ) all on the downstream (customer) side.

This isn't a speculative space play, they're already delivering to them.

Supply chain runs through $GE, $AMD, and $MMM for the hardware. Launch dependency on $SPCX ties them to the broader new space ecosystem.

The customer mix is almost entirely government. That means sticky contracts and concentration risk.. but its mega growth industry

[Adam Brennan @AdamBBBAAA]

$HPQ ranks best on deep value, its the cheapest stock out of the technology hardware.

trades at 8x earnings, 0.4x sales and a free cash flow yield near 10%. That's very cheap for a company this profitable...

No opinion on this stock, just an observation. Their high margin profit engine is printing which is in slow decline

$SMCI is also high up the list, potentially interesting wathc too

[Adam Brennan @AdamBBBAAA]

@AdityaInvests90 dont give this dude attention

[Adam Brennan @AdamBBBAAA]

The short interest of most sectors is rising.

Technology's short interest is rising the most

$QQQ

[Adam Brennan @AdamBBBAAA]

@cryptosauce247 Np :)

[Adam Brennan @AdamBBBAAA]

According to credit conditions index we are risk on, look at the returns this usually led to:

$SPY

[Adam Brennan @AdamBBBAAA]

$AAPL supply chain is basically a who's who of semis..

$TSM makes the chips, $QCOM the modems, $AVGO the wireless components, SK Hynix and Samsung the memory

The big money maker besides devices is App Store, which takes 15-30% from every developer, Apple Music, TV, Arcade, News all taking a cut too...

Pretty bullish on their business model, but priced quite on expensive side, also iphone sales are on the decline which idk how they will fix that

[Adam Brennan @AdamBBBAAA]

@NotA_Bull Why did you sell Uber? Grand mistake imo

[Adam Brennan @AdamBBBAAA]

@aleabitoreddit How come these prices are so high?

[Adam Brennan @AdamBBBAAA]

@moninvestor This is the only way

[Adam Brennan @AdamBBBAAA]

Usually, Airlines are where money goes to die. $AAL might be the exception

It's lagged $UAL and $DAL, mainly because of its high debt, a lot riskier than Delta and United. But I think it will catch up

The debt's coming down fast. $15B cut since 2021, another $2.1B last year, and they just hit their under $35B target one year early.

The business is doing fine. Record $54.6B revenue, demand's strong, and they're pushing into premium to close the margin gap with $DAL and $UAL

The risk lies in oil .. 20% of its operating revenue goes to fuel (see pic), so any escalation in middle east is trouble again

[Adam Brennan @AdamBBBAAA]

A great business at a fair price, Spotify (as per Buffett)

The market's pricing $SPOT for 8.7% free cash flow growth a year. It's grown revenue about 17% a year for the last five. So its pricing in a slowdown in growth from current levels, right as the business is turning the corner.

Spotify barely made money for years, it's solidly profitable now & margins keep hitting records. Also they keep raising prices and subscribers don't leave, which is a big sign people genuinely value it. Their brand has a huge moat and are market leader within the space.

Only 3.5% of the world pays for Spotify, which means there is a huge runway left.